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The species is predominantly distributed in parts of southern Europe, North Africa and West Asia. However, due to ongoing climate change and increasing reports of\n                    <jats:italic>H. marginatum<\/jats:italic>\n                    in central and northern Europe, the expansion of this range poses a potential future risk. In this study, an ecological niche modelling approach to model the current and future climatic suitability of\n                    <jats:italic>H. marginatum<\/jats:italic>\n                    was followed. Using high-resolution climatic variables from the Chelsa dataset and an updated list of locations for\n                    <jats:italic>H. marginatum<\/jats:italic>\n                    , ecological niche models were constructed under current environmental conditions using MaxEnt for both current conditions and future projections under the ssp370 and ssp585 scenarios. Models show that the climatically suitable region for\n                    <jats:italic>H. marginatum<\/jats:italic>\n                    matches the current distributional area in the Mediterranean basin and West Asia. When applied to future projections, the models suggest a considerable expansion of\n                    <jats:italic>H. marginatum<\/jats:italic>\n                    's range in the north in Europe as a result of rising temperatures. However, a decline in central Anatolia is also predicted, potentially due to the exacerbation of drought conditions in that region.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0031182023000689","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,7,31]],"date-time":"2023-07-31T03:56:47Z","timestamp":1690775807000},"page":"883-893","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/policypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":27,"title":["Predicting climate-driven distribution shifts in\n                    <i>Hyalomma marginatum<\/i>\n                    (Ixodidae)"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"150","author":[{"given":"Olcay","family":"Hekimoglu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6153-5602","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Can","family":"Elverici","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3685-8044","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Arda Cem","family":"Kuyucu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,7,31]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref107","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ttbdis.2016.08.002"},{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref112","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pecon.2020.03.002"},{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref59","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1948-7134.2014.12080.x"},{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref97","first-page":"108","article-title":"Hard tick species of livestock and their bioecology in Golestan province, north of Iran","volume":"8","author":"Sofizadeh","year":"2014","journal-title":"Journal of Arthropod-borne Diseases"},{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref92","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/femsle\/fnx244"},{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/01647950808683704"},{"key":"S0031182023000689_ref76","unstructured":"Open Source Geospatial Foundation (2022) GDAL, Geospatial Data Abstraction Software Library. 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