{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,19]],"date-time":"2026-10-19T13:10:44Z","timestamp":1792415444297,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":44,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","issue":"13","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,19]],"date-time":"2019-09-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1568851200000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["cambridge.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Psychol. Med."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2020,10]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"S0033291719002319_sec_a1\">\n                    <jats:title>Background<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Risk prediction algorithms have long been used in health research and practice (e.g. prediction of cardiovascular disease and diabetes). However, similar tools have not been developed for mental health. For example, for psychotic disorders, attempts to sum environmental risk are rare, unsystematic and dictated by available data. In light of this, we sought to develop a valid, easy to use measure of the aggregate environmental risk score (ERS) for psychotic disorders.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"S0033291719002319_sec_a2\" sec-type=\"methods\">\n                    <jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>We reviewed the literature to identify well-replicated and validated environmental risk factors for psychosis that combine a significant effect and large-enough prevalence. Pooled estimates of relative risks were taken from the largest available meta-analyses. We devised a method of scoring the level of exposure to each risk factor to estimate ERS. Relative risks were rounded as, due to the heterogeneity of the original studies, risk effects are imprecisely measured.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"S0033291719002319_sec_a3\" sec-type=\"results\">\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Six risk factors (ethnic minority status, urbanicity, high paternal age, obstetric complications, cannabis use and childhood adversity) were used to generate the ERS. A distribution for different levels of risk based on simulated data showed that most of the population would be at low\/moderate risk with a small minority at increased environmental risk for psychosis.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec id=\"S0033291719002319_sec_a4\" sec-type=\"conclusions\">\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>This is the first systematic approach to develop an aggregate measure of environmental risk for psychoses in asymptomatic individuals. This can be used as a continuous measure of liability to disease; mostly relevant to areas where the original studies took place. Its predictive ability will improve with the collection of additional, population-specific data.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0033291719002319","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,19]],"date-time":"2019-09-19T05:30:07Z","timestamp":1568871007000},"page":"2213-2220","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/policypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":74,"title":["The Maudsley environmental risk score for psychosis"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"50","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6363-0438","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Evangelos","family":"Vassos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Pak","family":"Sham","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Matthew","family":"Kempton","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Antonella","family":"Trotta","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Simona A.","family":"Stilo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Charlotte","family":"Gayer-Anderson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Marta","family":"Di Forti","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Cathryn M.","family":"Lewis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robin M.","family":"Murray","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Craig","family":"Morgan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291710001406"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sbw003"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.schres.2016.10.014"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(09)60072-6"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamapsychiatry.2017.0284"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sbs050"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archinte.167.10.1068"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291706008774"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.2016.15070890"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.39609.449676.25"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref13","unstructured":"European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (2017) European Drug Report: Trends and Developments. EMCDDA."},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pgen.1003348"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nature13595"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.2016.15121565"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCULATIONAHA.107.699579"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref43","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1161\/01.CIR.97.18.1837"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.i2416"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2215-0366(15)00152-2"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.schres.2013.11.018"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sby118"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref32","first-page":"1","article-title":"Migration and psychosis: a meta-analysis of incidence studies","author":"Selten","year":"2019","journal-title":"Psychological Medicine"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.60.12.1187"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.162.1.12"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000495697"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archgenpsychiatry.2010.100"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajhg.2011.04.001"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291715000574"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sbr091"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/acps.12423"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2215-0366(14)70379-7"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.62.9.975"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.biopsych.2016.06.028"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref27","first-page":"e123","article-title":"Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement","volume":"3","author":"Moher","year":"2009","journal-title":"Open Medicine"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sbq011"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamapsychiatry.2018.0577"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.159.7.1080"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sbt065"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.schres.2016.12.011"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.f185"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/schbul\/sbs096"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.58.4.361"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1161\/hc0302.102575"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/ije\/dym159"},{"key":"S0033291719002319_ref39","unstructured":"United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (2014) United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, 2014 Revision United Nations."}],"container-title":["Psychological Medicine"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/S0033291719002319","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2020,10,14]],"date-time":"2020-10-14T09:06:01Z","timestamp":1602666361000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/product\/identifier\/S0033291719002319\/type\/journal_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,19]]},"references-count":44,"journal-issue":{"issue":"13","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2020,10]]}},"alternative-id":["S0033291719002319"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/s0033291719002319","relation":{"has-preprint":[{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.1101\/453936","asserted-by":"object"}]},"ISSN":["0033-2917","1469-8978"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0033-2917","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-8978","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,19]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Copyright \u00a9 The Author(s) 2019","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.","name":"license","label":"License","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This content has been made available to all.","name":"free","label":"Free to read"}]}}