{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,23]],"date-time":"2026-08-23T15:45:08Z","timestamp":1787499908191,"version":"build-2736575974"},"reference-count":24,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2009,10,19]],"date-time":"2009-10-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1255910400000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":8115,"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/terms"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["journals.cambridge.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Epidemiol. Infect."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[1987,8]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>SUMMARY<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>Mathematical models and statistical analyses of epidemiological data are employed to assess the potential impact of mass vaccination on the incidences of cases of mumps infection and cases of mumps related complications. The analyses reveal that in the United Kingdom the average age at infection with the mumps virus is currently between 6\u20137 years and that the inter-epidemic period of the infection is approximately 3 years. The critical level of vaccine uptake to eliminate mumps virus transmission is predicted to be approximately 85% of each cohort of boys and girls by the age of 2 years. Analyses of published data show that the risk of complication arising from mumps infection is markedly age- and sex-related. Model predictions suggest that the incidence of orchitis will be increased, over the level pertaining prior to mass vaccination, by levels of vaccine uptake (by 2 years of age) that are less than 70% of each yearly cohort of boys and girls. Moderate (over 00%) to high (75%) levels of vaccine uptake, however, are predicted to reduce the overall incidence of cases of mumps related complications (especially those with CNS involvement).<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0950268800066875","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2009,10,19]],"date-time":"2009-10-19T08:46:45Z","timestamp":1255942005000},"page":"65-84","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/policypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":62,"title":["The epidemiology of mumps in the UK: a preliminary study of virus transmission, herd immunity and the potential impact of immunization"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"99","author":[{"given":"R. M.","family":"Anderson","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"J. A.","family":"Crombie","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"B. T.","family":"Grenfell","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2009,10,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref012","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(84)90015-1"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref001","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0022172400066079"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref015","volume-title":"Surveillance des Oreillons en lielgique","year":"1985"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref021","first-page":"1240","article-title":"Transfer of measles, mumps and rubella antibodies from mother to infant","volume":"113","author":"Sato","year":"1979","journal-title":"A merican Journal of Infectious Diseases of Children"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref004","first-page":"410","article-title":"The logic of vaccination","volume":"96","author":"Anderson","year":"1982","journal-title":"Xew Scientist"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref020","first-page":"552","article-title":"A retrospective survey of the complications of mumps","volume":"24","year":"1974","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref018","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.2.6151.1523"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref016","first-page":"503","volume-title":"Comparative Diagnosis of Viral Diseases. 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Human and Related Viruses Part A","author":"Kalen","year":"1977"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref010","volume-title":"Mumps surveillance, January, 1977-December, 1982","year":"1984"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref002","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0022172400065177"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref003","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.7063839"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref006","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/318323a0"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref007","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S002217240006160X"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref008","first-page":"3","article-title":"The incidence and outcome of mumps orchitis in Rochester, Minnisota, 1935\u20131974","volume":"52","author":"Beard","year":"1977","journal-title":"Mayo Clinic Proceedings"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref009","volume-title":"Control of Communicable Diseases in Man","author":"Benenson","year":"1975"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref011","first-page":"xi","article-title":"Epidemiology of mumps in Scotland","volume":"42","author":"Donaghy","year":"1984","journal-title":"Communicable Diseases (Scotland) Unit Weekly Report"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref013","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0022172400062859"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref017","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(85)92976-9"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref019","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0022172400066067"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref023","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0022172400063385"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref024","first-page":"1501","article-title":"Measles, mumps and rubella: the need for a change in immunisation policy","volume":"229","author":"Walker","year":"1980","journal-title":"British Medical Journal"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref005","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S002217240002893X"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref022","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/imammb\/1.2.169"},{"key":"S0950268800066875_ref014","first-page":"605","volume-title":"Antiviral Agents and Viral Infections of Man","author":"Ho","year":"1979"}],"container-title":["Epidemiology and Infection"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/S0950268800066875","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,5,20]],"date-time":"2019-05-20T17:46:25Z","timestamp":1558374385000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/product\/identifier\/S0950268800066875\/type\/journal_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[1987,8]]},"references-count":24,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[1987,8]]}},"alternative-id":["S0950268800066875"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/s0950268800066875","relation":{},"ISSN":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0950-2688","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-4409","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[1987,8]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Cambridge University Press 1987","name":"license","label":"License","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}}]}}