{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,11]],"date-time":"2026-03-11T02:24:31Z","timestamp":1773195871415,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":38,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2012,1,11]],"date-time":"2012-01-11T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1326240000000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/terms"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Epidemiol. Infect."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2012,10]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>SUMMARY<\/jats:title><jats:p>We present a mathematical transmission model of tuberculosis in the USA. The model is calibrated to recent trends of declining incidence in the US-born and foreign-born populations and is used in assessing relative impacts of treatment of latently infected individuals on elimination time, where elimination is defined as annual incidence &lt;1 case\/million. Provided current control efforts are maintained, elimination in the US-born population can be achieved before the end of this century. However, elimination in the foreign-born population is unlikely in this timeframe even with higher rates of targeted testing and treatment of residents of and immigrants to the USA with latent tuberculosis infection. Cutting transmission of disease as an interim step would shorten the time to elimination in the US-born population but foreign-born rates would remain above the elimination target.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s095026881100286x","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2012,1,11]],"date-time":"2012-01-11T11:07:04Z","timestamp":1326280024000},"page":"1862-1872","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":98,"title":["Modelling tuberculosis trends in the USA"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"140","author":[{"given":"A. N.","family":"HILL","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"J. E.","family":"BECERRA","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"K. G.","family":"CASTRO","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2012,1,11]]},"reference":[{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref037","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1086\/516495"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref006","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nm0895-815"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref028","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1164\/ajrccm.158.6.9804029"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref021","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1164\/rccm.200701-057OC"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref013","first-page":"130","article-title":"The impact of immigration on the elimination of tuberculosis in the Netherlands: a model based approach","volume":"6","author":"Wolleswinkel-van den Bosch","year":"2002","journal-title":"International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref038","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1164\/rccm.200510-1563OC"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref020","unstructured":"20. Camarota SA .Backgrounder. Immigrants in the United States, 2007: a profile of America's foreign-born population. Center for Immigration Studies, November 2007 (http:\/\/www.cis.org\/immigrants_profile_2007). Accessed 17 October 2011."},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref010","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268898001113"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref032","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1164\/rccm.200408-1081OC"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref026","first-page":"213","article-title":"Global tuberculosis incidence and mortality during 1990\u20132000","volume":"72","author":"Dolin","year":"1994","journal-title":"Bulletin of the World Health Organization"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref016","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tpb.2007.12.007"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref031","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJM199406163302402"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref029","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"405","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.300.4.405","article-title":"Tuberculosis among foreign-born persons in the United States","volume":"300","author":"Cain","year":"2008","journal-title":"Journal of the American Medical Association"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref018","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0901720106"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref034","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMsa043194"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref019","unstructured":"19. U.S. Census Bureau. Current population survey, 2010 (http:\/\/www.census.gov\/cps\/). Accessed 7 July 2011."},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref033","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/scitranslmed.3000346"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref008","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1006\/tpbi.1998.1366"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref036","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/0272989X10369001"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref025","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1137\/0904010"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref004","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4419-6064-1_9"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref027","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0025-5564(01)00057-8"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref024","unstructured":"24. R Development Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing, version 2.10.0. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, 2009 (http:\/\/www.r-project.org\/)."},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref030","first-page":"333","article-title":"Trends in tuberculosis \u2013 United States","volume":"60","year":"2010","journal-title":"Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref012","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/153.4.381"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref022","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/1403510"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref035","first-page":"1238","article-title":"Global tuberculosis trends: a reflection of changes in tuberculosis control or in population health?","volume":"13","author":"Oxlade","year":"2009","journal-title":"International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref003","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"477","DOI":"10.1038\/nrmicro1845","article-title":"Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission","volume":"6","author":"Grassly","year":"2008","journal-title":"Nature Reviews Microbio-logy"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref002","unstructured":"2. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Reported tuberculosis in the United States, 2008. Atlanta, GA: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, September 2009 (http:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/tb\/statistics\/reports\/2008\/default.htm). Accessed 7 July 2011."},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref007","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(98)03199-7"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref009","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.aje.a009463"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref023","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.aje.a009076"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref015","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsif.2007.1138"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref001","first-page":"1","article-title":"A strategic plan for the elimination of tuberculosis in the United States","volume":"38","year":"1989","journal-title":"Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref011","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/ije\/28.2.327"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref005","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1142\/9789812708779_0008"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref014","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jtbi.2007.04.015"},{"key":"S095026881100286X_ref017","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jtbi.2008.05.026"}],"container-title":["Epidemiology and Infection"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/S095026881100286X","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,4,24]],"date-time":"2019-04-24T22:48:06Z","timestamp":1556146086000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/product\/identifier\/S095026881100286X\/type\/journal_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2012,1,11]]},"references-count":38,"journal-issue":{"issue":"10","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2012,10]]}},"alternative-id":["S095026881100286X"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/s095026881100286x","relation":{},"ISSN":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0950-2688","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-4409","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2012,1,11]]}}}