{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,26]],"date-time":"2026-02-26T16:10:34Z","timestamp":1772122234272,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":36,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,19]],"date-time":"2019-07-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1563494400000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":199,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Epidemiol. Infect."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2019]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    Non-cholera\n                    <jats:italic>Vibrio<\/jats:italic>\n                    (NCV) species are important causes of disease. These pathogens are thermophilic and climate change could increase the risk of NCV infection. The El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a \u2018natural experiment\u2019 that may presage ocean warming effects on disease incidence. In order to evaluate possible climatic contributions to observed increases in NCV infection, we obtained NCV case counts for the United States from publicly available surveillance data. Trends and impacts of large-scale oceanic phenomena, including ENSO, were evaluated using negative binomial and distributed non-linear lag models (DNLM). Associations between latitude and changing risk were evaluated with meta-regression. Trend models demonstrated expected seasonality (\n                    <jats:italic>P<\/jats:italic>\n                    &lt; 0.001) and a 7% (6.1%\u20138.1%) annual increase in incidence from 1999 to 2014. DNLM demonstrated increased vibriosis risk following ENSO conditions over the subsequent 12 months (relative risk 1.940, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.298\u20132.901). The \u2018relative\u2013relative risk\u2019 (RRR) of annual disease incidence increased with latitude (RRR per 10\u00b0 increase 1.066, 95% CI 1.027\u20131.107). We conclude that NCV risk in the United States is impacted by ocean warming, which is likely to intensify with climate change, increasing NCV risk in vulnerable populations.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0950268819001316","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,19]],"date-time":"2019-07-19T02:51:32Z","timestamp":1563504692000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":32,"title":["Effects of large-scale oceanic phenomena on non-cholera vibriosis incidence in the United States: implications for climate change"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"147","author":[{"given":"Chlo\u00eb","family":"Logar-Henderson","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Rebecca","family":"Ling","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Ashleigh R.","family":"Tuite","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5009-6926","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"David N.","family":"Fisman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jam.13246"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.h2750"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0809654105"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.286.5447.2126"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref29","first-page":"93","article-title":"Cholera in endemic districts in Uganda during El Nino rains: 2002\u20132003","volume":"6","author":"Alajo","year":"2006","journal-title":"African Health Sciences"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1462-2920.2004.00601.x"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1128\/CMR.15.4.757-770.2002"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref25","volume-title":"R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing","year":"2018"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1289\/ehp.1002302"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref16","volume-title":"State Population Totals and Components of Change: 2010\u20132017","year":"2018"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nature10311"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3310\/hta17370"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.289.5485.1766"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1604980113"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1086\/529148"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2018.19684"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-015-0959-z"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.3940"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMc1305535"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4615-5327-4_6"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nclimate1628"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.1980.03310060043023"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref18","volume-title":"National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)","year":"2018"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref34","first-page":"103","article-title":"El Nino 1997\u20131998 impact on the plankton dynamics in the Gulf of Nicoya, Pacific coast of Costa Rica","volume":"49","author":"Morales-Ramirez","year":"2001","journal-title":"Revista de Biologia Tropical"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.1996.03540040051032"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.annemergmed.2005.11.038"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"6895","DOI":"10.1002\/2017GL073573","article-title":"El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation-time scale covariation of sea surface salinity and freshwater flux in the western tropical and northern subtropical Pacific","volume":"44","author":"Hasegawa","year":"2017","journal-title":"Geophysical Research Letters"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1289\/EHP2198"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref14","volume-title":"Cholera and Other Vibrio Illness Surveillance (COVIS)","year":"2016"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref15","volume-title":"WebPlotDigitizer","author":"Rohatgi","year":"2019"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.9778\/cmajo.20120002"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/0471722146"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref17","volume-title":"Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI)","author":"Wolter","year":"2018"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/cid\/cis243"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.csr.2015.06.005"},{"key":"S0950268819001316_ref20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1175\/JCLI-3186.1"}],"container-title":["Epidemiology and Infection"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/S0950268819001316","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,7,19]],"date-time":"2019-07-19T02:51:35Z","timestamp":1563504695000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/product\/identifier\/S0950268819001316\/type\/journal_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2019]]},"references-count":36,"alternative-id":["S0950268819001316"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/s0950268819001316","relation":{"has-preprint":[{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.1101\/528893","asserted-by":"object"}]},"ISSN":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0950-2688","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-4409","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2019]]},"article-number":"e243"}}