{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,28]],"date-time":"2026-09-28T23:35:48Z","timestamp":1790638548961,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":30,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,19]],"date-time":"2020-08-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1597795200000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":231,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["cambridge.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Epidemiol. Infect."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2020]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:p>Purpose: The novel coronavirus (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2)) first appeared in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, and rapidly spread across the globe. Since most respiratory viruses are known to show a seasonal pattern of infection, it has been hypothesised that SARS-CoV-2 may be seasonally dependent as well. The present study looks at a possible effect of atmospheric temperature, which is one of the suspected factors influencing seasonality, on the evolution of the pandemic. Basic procedures: Since confirming a seasonal pattern would take several more months of observation, we conducted an innovative day-to-day micro-correlation analysis of nine outbreak locations, across four continents and both hemispheres, in order to examine a possible relationship between atmospheric temperature (used as a proxy for seasonality) and outbreak progression. Main findings: There was a negative correlation between atmospheric temperature variations and daily new cases growth rates, in all nine outbreaks, with a median lag of 10 days. Principal conclusions: The results presented here suggest that high temperatures might dampen SARS-CoV-2 propagation, while lower temperatures might increase its transmission. Our hypothesis is that this could support a potential effect of atmospheric temperature on coronavirus disease progression, and potentially a seasonal pattern for this virus, with a peak in the cold season and rarer occurrences in the summer. This could guide government policy in both the Northern and Southern hemispheres for the months to come.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0950268820001831","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,19]],"date-time":"2020-08-19T03:22:02Z","timestamp":1597807322000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/policypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":23,"title":["COVID-19: relationship between atmospheric temperature and daily new cases growth rate"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"148","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1098-6611","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"A.","family":"Rouen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"J.","family":"Adda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"O.","family":"Roy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"E.","family":"Rogers","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"P.","family":"L\u00e9vy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijid.2020.03.030"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev-virology-012420-022445"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268805005054"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/jech.2004.020180"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0054445"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref8","unstructured":"8. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2014\u20132016 Ebola outbreak in West Africa [Internet]. Available at https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/vhf\/ebola\/history\/2014-2016-outbreak\/index.html."},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref28","first-page":"113","article-title":"A case-crossover analysis of the impact of weather on primary cases of Middle East respiratory syndrome","volume":"19","author":"Gardner","year":"2019","journal-title":"British Medical Journal Infectious Diseases"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"5. de \u00c1ngel Sol\u00e1, DE (2020) Weathering the pandemic: how the Caribbean Basin can use viral and environmental patterns to predict, prepare and respond to COVID-19. Journal of Medical Virology [Internet]. [cited 25 April 2020]; Available at http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/jmv.25864.","DOI":"10.1002\/jmv.25864"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/01.inf.0000108193.91607.34"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/INF.0000000000000235"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/jtm\/taaa037"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/irv.12022"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref6","unstructured":"6. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Outbreak of swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus infection \u2013 Mexico, March\u2013April 2009 [Internet]. Available at https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/mmwr\/preview\/mmwrhtml\/mm58d0430a2.htm."},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.910135"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref3","unstructured":"3. Coronavirus update (Live): 2,661,506 cases and 185,504 deaths from COVID-19 virus pandemic \u2013 worldometer [Internet]. 2020 [cited 23 April 2020]. Available at https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/."},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref2","unstructured":"2. World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports. [Internet]. Available at https:\/\/www.who.int\/emergencies\/diseases\/novel-coronavirus-2019\/situation-reports\/ (Accessed 19 March 2020)."},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref1","unstructured":"1. National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (2020) Update on the novel coronavirus pneumonia outbreak (08 February 2020). [Internet]. Available at http:\/\/www.nhc.gov.cn\/xcs\/yqtb\/list_gzbd.shtml."},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1411030112"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0224813"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1086\/605435"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.97.4.1438"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1183\/13993003.00517-2020"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMoa2001316"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.abb7566"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nchembio.77"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"852","DOI":"10.1183\/09031936.93.01090852","article-title":"Nasal mucociliary transport in healthy subjects is slower when breathing dry air","volume":"1","author":"Salah","year":"1988","journal-title":"European Respiratory Journal"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.ppat.0030151"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1128\/JVI.02186-10"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.7326\/M20-0504"},{"key":"S0950268820001831_ref22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.coviro.2011.12.003"}],"container-title":["Epidemiology and Infection"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/S0950268820001831","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,5]],"date-time":"2023-10-05T23:20:49Z","timestamp":1696548049000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/product\/identifier\/S0950268820001831\/type\/journal_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2020]]},"references-count":30,"alternative-id":["S0950268820001831"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/s0950268820001831","relation":{},"ISSN":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0950-2688","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-4409","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2020]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Copyright \u00a9 The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.","name":"license","label":"License","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This content has been made available to all.","name":"free","label":"Free to read"}],"article-number":"e184"}}