{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,26]],"date-time":"2026-09-26T06:23:46Z","timestamp":1790403826877,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":47,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,30]],"date-time":"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1751241600000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":180,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-sa\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["cambridge.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Epidemiol. Infect."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n\t  <jats:p>Dengue, the most prevalent urban arbovirus in the world, has triggered recurrent epidemics in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, since the 1980s. This study aimed to describe the spatial\u2013temporal patterns of dengue spread during the epidemic years of 2002, 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2024 in Rio de Janeiro. This is an ecological study using secondary data on notified confirmed dengue cases aggregated by neighbourhood. The incidence rates were estimated via the local empirical Bayes method. The local spatial autocorrelation indicators assessed incidence clusters, and the monthly geographic trajectory was outlined for each year. The results revealed changes in the spatial distribution of dengue over time, with clusters of high incidences predominating in the northern and central neighbourhoods in 2002 and 2008, and in the western zone in 2011, 2012, and 2013. In 2024, the distribution was predominant throughout the city, with emphasis in the central and western zones. The monthly geographic centre of dengue cases shifted from the west to the north during the peak of the epidemic. These results highlight the heterogeneous nature of dengue transmission in Rio de Janeiro. The incorporation of spatial and temporal analyses in epidemiological studies can enhance targeted and localized dengue control strategies.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0950268825100162","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,30]],"date-time":"2025-06-30T02:19:09Z","timestamp":1751249949000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/policypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue spread in Rio de Janeiro during epidemic periods"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"153","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1663-7394","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"B\u00e1rbara","family":"Campos Silva Valente","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ana Paula Razal","family":"Dalvi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1169-1436","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Guilherme Loureiro","family":"Werneck","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,30]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0950268825100162_r10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0074-02761999000300004"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r20","unstructured":"[20] Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estat\u00edstica Cidades IBGE. https:\/\/cidades.ibge.gov.br\/brasil\/rj\/rio-de-janeiro\/panorama (accessed 20 August 2023)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r23","unstructured":"[23] Anselin, L (2020) Local Spatial Autocorrelation 2. https:\/\/geodacenter.github.io\/workbook\/6b_local_adv\/lab6b.html (accessed 20 August 2023)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.actatropica.2010.01.001"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s43017-020-0040-3"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0011811"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r19","unstructured":"[19] Instituto Pereira Passos Divis\u00e3o Administrativa Geral do Munic\u00edpio do Rio de Janeiro. https:\/\/www.data.rio\/documents\/0755b235c16f40febe5fc199ab2d4800 (accessed 20 August 2023)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/trstmh\/trv006"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r27","first-page":"205","volume-title":"Statistical Analysis with ArcView GIS","author":"Lee","year":"2001"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0034-89102009000400013"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r14","unstructured":"[14] Secretaria de Estado de Sa\u00fade do Rio de Janeiro (2000) Dengue \u2013 casos notificados e residentes no Rio de Janeiro a partir de 2000. https:\/\/sistemas.saude.rj.gov.br\/tabnetbd\/dhx.exe?sinan\/tf_dengue.def (accessed 21 July 2024)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r43","first-page":"151","volume-title":"Estratifica\u00e7\u00e3o de \u00e1reas priorit\u00e1rias Para O Controle da Dengue na Cidade Do Rio de Janeiro no per\u00edodo de 2008 a 2014","author":"dos Santos","year":"2018"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1109.041043"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/210093"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0074-02762003000700002"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r33","unstructured":"[33] Brasil. Minist\u00e9rio da Sa\u00fade (2024) Centro de Opera\u00e7\u00f5es de Emerg\u00eancias (COE). Informe Semanal, edi\u00e7\u00e3o n. 2 | semana 01 a 07\/2024. https:\/\/www.gov.br\/saude\/pt-br\/assuntos\/saude-de-a-a-z\/a\/arboviroses\/informe-semanal\/informe-semanal-no-02-coe (accessed 26 August 2024)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0037-86822009000200008"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r44","first-page":"136","volume-title":"An\u00e1lise Espacial e Temporal da infesta\u00e7\u00e3o Por Aedes aegypti Mensurada Por Ovitrampas Para gera\u00e7\u00e3o de Alerta Precoce de Dengue no munic\u00edpio Do Rio de Janeiro","author":"Oliveira","year":"2016"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r45","unstructured":"[45] Prefeitura do Rio de Janeiro (2025) Wolbachia. Rio without Dengue. https:\/\/riosemdengue.prefeitura.rio\/wolbachia\/ (accessed 27 March 2025)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/0103-11042017s11"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S1982-45132009000300003"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0102-311X2001000700018"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r21","unstructured":"[21] Instituto Pereira Passos Data Rio. https:\/\/www.data.rio\/ (accessed 20 August 2023)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r36","unstructured":"[36] Prefeitura da Cidade do Rio de Janeiro (2025) Dados pluviom\u00e9tricos \u2013 Sistema Alerta Rio. https:\/\/www.sistema-alerta-rio.com.br\/download\/dados-pluviometricos\/ (accessed 27 March 2025)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0104-12902011000300020"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r3","unstructured":"[3] World Health Organization (2024) Dengue and Severe Dengue. https:\/\/www.who.int\/news-room\/fact-sheets\/detail\/dengue-and-severe-dengue (accessed 10 July 2024)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0037-86822004000400002"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.abh1558"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nature12060"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r15","unstructured":"[15] Brasil. Minist\u00e9rio da Sa\u00fade (2024) Informe Semanal \u2013 Centro de Opera\u00e7\u00f5es de Emerg\u00eancias (COE), edi\u00e7\u00e3o n. 2 | semana 01 a 07\/2024. https:\/\/www.gov.br\/saude\/pt-br\/assuntos\/saude-de-a-a-z\/a\/arboviroses\/informe-semanal\/informe-semanal-no-02-coe (accessed 26 August 2024)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000545"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0103-40142008000300005"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0074-02761994000200023"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r37","unstructured":"[37] Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (2024) El Ni\u00f1o 2024 \u2013 Boletim de junho. https:\/\/portal.inmet.gov.br\/noticias\/el-ni%C3%B1o-2024-boletim-de-junho (accessed 27 March 2025)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r41","first-page":"58","volume-title":"Conference Paper. IX Semin\u00e1rio Nacional Do Centro de Mem\u00f3ria-Unicamp. IX Semin\u00e1rio Nacional Do Centro de Mem\u00f3ria-Unicamp \u2013 Resumos e Programa\u00e7\u00e3o","volume":"1","author":"Pasquotto","year":"2019"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-985X.2005.00372.x"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/0102-311X00070112"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.14393\/RCG217449605"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-024-56044-y"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r18","unstructured":"[18] Secretaria Municipal de Sa\u00fade (2020) Plano Municipal de Conting\u00eancia Dengue, Chikungunya e Zika 2021\u20132023. http:\/\/www.rio.rj.gov.br\/documents\/73801\/a73c12c9-89c9-4611-9220-e0986541f6ab (accessed 30 March 2024)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/S0102-311X1998000400013"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1410.071164"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r38","unstructured":"[38] World Meteorological Organization (2024) WMO Confirms 2024 as the Warmest Year on Record, About 1.55\u00b0C above Pre-industrial Levels. https:\/\/wmo.int\/media\/news\/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-year-record-about-155degc-above-pre-industrial-level (accessed 27 March 2025)."},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r32","first-page":"73","volume-title":"A dispers\u00e3o Temporal e Espacial da Dengue 4 no Estado Do Rio de Janeiro no per\u00edodo de 2011 a 2013 (Dissertation)","year":"2015"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2149\/tmh.2011-S05"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r28","first-page":"105","volume-title":"Caracteriza\u00e7\u00e3o cl\u00ednico- epidemiol\u00f3gica Do Dengue Grave Em crian\u00e7as e Adolescentes, Rio de Janeiro, 2007\u20132008 (Thesis)","author":"Pone","year":"2015"},{"key":"S0950268825100162_r9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1590\/0102-311x00186615"}],"container-title":["Epidemiology and Infection"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/S0950268825100162","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,18]],"date-time":"2025-07-18T08:03:25Z","timestamp":1752825805000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/product\/identifier\/S0950268825100162\/type\/journal_article"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025]]},"references-count":47,"alternative-id":["S0950268825100162"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/s0950268825100162","relation":{},"ISSN":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0950-2688","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-4409","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025]]},"assertion":[{"value":"\u00a9 The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike licence (http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-sa\/4.0), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the same Creative Commons licence is used to distribute the re-used or adapted article and the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained prior to any commercial use.","name":"license","label":"License","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This content has been made available to all.","name":"free","label":"Free to read"}],"article-number":"e78"}}