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Using data for 278 municipalities for the 2000\u20132016 period, we find a considerable negative impact of burned areas on the number of tourist arrivals, both domestic and inbound. We go beyond the traditional impact analysis and provide predictions for 2030 and 2050. The estimated annual costs to the Portuguese economy due to the impact of burned areas in 2030 range between \u20ac17.03 and 24.18 million for domestic tourist arrivals and between \u20ac18.26 and 38.08 million for inbound ones. In 2050, those costs will increase at least fourfold. These findings underscore the importance of taking the forest fire risks into account when planning local investments.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s1355770x21000012","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,9]],"date-time":"2021-03-09T11:16:14Z","timestamp":1615288574000},"page":"86-101","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":37,"title":["Fire takes no vacation: impact of fires on tourism"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"27","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2957-8741","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Vladimir","family":"Otrachshenko","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Luis C.","family":"Nunes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,9]]},"reference":[{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"9","DOI":"10.1093\/jof\/99.11.9","article-title":"What is the price of catastrophic wildfire?","volume":"99","author":"Butry","year":"2001","journal-title":"Journal of Forestry"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref24","first-page":"1","volume-title":"A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change","author":"Nakicenovic","year":"2000"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2008.01.040"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2139\/ssrn.504362"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/jeg\/lbu033"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tourman.2012.10.011"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolecon.2016.10.021"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2737\/PSW-GTR-79"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-6435.2011.00520.x"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref11","volume-title":"State of the World's Forests 2016","year":"2016"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agrformet.2004.12.007"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0169-2070(95)00591-7"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/1912352"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5194\/bg-12-887-2015"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/ecin.12936"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref33","volume-title":"OECD Tourism Trends and Policies 2018","year":"2018"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref28","first-page":"508","article-title":"Testing for differential effects of forest fires on hiking and mountain biking demand and benefits","volume":"26","author":"Loomis","year":"2001","journal-title":"Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref2","article-title":"Changes in mainland Portuguese forest areas since the last decade of the XXth century","volume":"130","author":"Bento-Gon\u00e7alves","year":"2018","journal-title":"M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref42","volume-title":"Wildfire Impact Analysis","author":"Rahn","year":"2009"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/jts.2490020105"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.annals.2010.08.009"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tourman.2005.07.015"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref7","article-title":"Portugal And galicia in Spain see wildfire deaths mount","year":"2017","journal-title":"CBS News"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tourman.2012.11.006"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1375\/jhtm.13.1.44"},{"key":"S1355770X21000012_ref45","unstructured":"SNIRH (2019) Dados de base. 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