{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,19]],"date-time":"2026-01-19T09:02:28Z","timestamp":1768813348151,"version":"3.49.0"},"reference-count":18,"publisher":"American Geophysical Union (AGU)","issue":"2","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2008,1,26]],"date-time":"2008-01-26T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1201305600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":25,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Geophysical Research Letters"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2008,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>The semi\u2010empirical relationship between global surface air temperature and mean sea level first developed by Rahmstorf is here applied to the latest generation of Coupled Global Climate Models (CGCMs) used for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Our results produce a broader range of sea level rise projections, especially at the higher end, than outlined in IPCC AR4. The range of sea level rise results is CGCM and emissions\u2010scenario dependent, and not sensitive to initial conditions or how the data are filtered temporally. Both the IPCC AR4 and the semi\u2010empirical sea level rise projections described here are likely to underestimate future sea level rise if recent trends in the polar regions accelerate.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1029\/2007gl032486","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2008,1,25]],"date-time":"2008-01-25T21:01:05Z","timestamp":1201294865000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":120,"title":["Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi\u2010empirical method"],"prefix":"10.1029","volume":"35","author":[{"given":"Radley","family":"Horton","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Climate Systems Research Columbia University  New York New York USA"},{"name":"NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies  New York New York USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Celine","family":"Herweijer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Risk Management Solutions  London UK"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Cynthia","family":"Rosenzweig","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies  New York New York USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jiping","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Georgia Institute of Technology  Atlanta Georgia USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Vivien","family":"Gornitz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Climate Systems Research Columbia University  New York New York USA"},{"name":"NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies  New York New York USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Alex C.","family":"Ruane","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies  New York New York USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"13","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2008,1,26]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_6_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1145956"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/342637a0"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.288.5468.1033"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsta.2007.2052"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1140942"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2006GL028024"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_8_1","volume-title":"Emissions Scenarios 2000","author":"Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)","year":"2000"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_9_1","volume-title":"Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis","author":"Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)","year":"2001"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511546013","volume-title":"Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Reportof the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change","author":"Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)","year":"2007"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1130\/0091-7613(2003)031<0067:SOMPAT>2.0.CO;2"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-005-5372-y"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1135456"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1141283"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1121381"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.114328"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1136776"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nature03301"},{"key":"e_1_2_6_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1123785"}],"container-title":["Geophysical Research Letters"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.wiley.com\/onlinelibrary\/tdm\/v1\/articles\/10.1029%2F2007GL032486","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1029\/2007GL032486","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,31]],"date-time":"2023-10-31T14:55:07Z","timestamp":1698764107000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1029\/2007GL032486"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2008,1]]},"references-count":18,"journal-issue":{"issue":"2","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2008,1]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1029\/2007GL032486"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2007gl032486","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["0094-8276","1944-8007"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0094-8276","type":"print"},{"value":"1944-8007","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2008,1]]},"article-number":"2007GL032486"}}