{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,24]],"date-time":"2026-06-24T15:53:22Z","timestamp":1782316402576,"version":"3.54.5"},"reference-count":46,"publisher":"American Geophysical Union (AGU)","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,7]],"date-time":"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1780790400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":6,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,1]],"date-time":"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1780272000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100003725","name":"National Research Foundation of Korea","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["RS\u20102026\u201025470040"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["RS\u20102026\u201025470040"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100003725","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["GeoHealth"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,6]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>Forecast errors of severe weather events aggravate economic damage and degrade public mental health. Whether forecast errors are underestimated or overestimated can shape public emotional responses differently, which remains unknown. In this study, we investigate the socio\u2010psychological impacts of forecast errors during the landfall of Typhoon Khanun over the Korean Peninsula. We evaluate the predictive performance of multiple lead\u2010hour precipitation forecasts against observational data and conduct a sentimental analysis of over 43,000 online discourses from the NAVER Weather Report Talk platform. Multiple lead\u2010hour precipitation forecasts demonstrate underestimation in the eastern and southeastern regions of the Korean Peninsula and overestimation in the western and southwestern regions. The spatial discrepancies of precipitation forecasts are associated with distinct emotional responses: overestimation (underestimation) makes anxiety and worry (stress and confusion) the dominant emotion types in the discourses from the NAVER Report Talk platform. The findings of this study suggest that expectation\u2013reality mismatch is a key mechanism in risk communication, and the direction of this mismatch differentiates public response. This study provides insights into the potential value of improved forecast accuracy on reducing emotional distress and strengthening public resilience during extreme weather events.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1029\/2026gh001837","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,8]],"date-time":"2026-06-08T04:21:27Z","timestamp":1780892487000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Associations of Emotional Divergence in Risk Communication With Forecast Error Type During Typhoon Khanun"],"prefix":"10.1029","volume":"10","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0009-4456-5154","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kiru","family":"Kim","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Environmental Science and Engineering Pohang University of Science and Technology  Pohang South Korea"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7967-7705","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jonghun","family":"Kam","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Environmental Science and Engineering Pohang University of Science and Technology  Pohang South Korea"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"13","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,7]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/10615806.2011.603048"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/13669877.2022.2127851"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41545\u2010024\u201000373\u2010y"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-030-76247-6_1"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/10615806.2022.2045013"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1175\/wcas\u2010d\u201019\u20100074.1"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/1963405.1963500"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1155\/2016\/5051476"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1057\/s41599-025-06398-z"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1057\/s41599\u2010024\u201003397\u20104"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/10417940802219702"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1175\/bams\u2010d\u201023\u20100291.1"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.18653\/v1\/2020.acl-main.471"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1192\/bjb.2021.18"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijdrr.2024.104980"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0160592"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1037\/a0038822"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/2567948.2577034"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.63317\/2snmd5hc4bxe"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.clp.2017.05.005"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Kam J. &Kim K.(2026).Replication data for: Associations of emotional divergence in risk communications with forecast error types during Typhoon Khanun[Dataset].Harvard Dataverse. 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