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Hence, this work assesses the influence of the land\u2010surface processes, particularly the contribution of soil moisture, when projecting future changes for temperature, precipitation and wind over a complex area as the Iberian Peninsula, which, in addition, shows great sensitivity to climate change. The main signals are found for the summer season, when the results indicate a strengthening in the increases projected for both mean temperature and temperature variability as a consequence of the future intensification of the positive soil moisture\u2010temperature feedback. The more severe warming over the inner dry Iberian Peninsula further implies an intensification of the Iberian thermal low and, thus, of the cyclonic circulation. Furthermore, the land\u2010atmosphere coupling leads to the projection of a wider future daily temperature range, since maximum temperatures are more affected than minima, a feature absent in non\u2010coupled simulations. Regarding variability, the areas where the land\u2010atmosphere coupling introduces larger changes are those where the reduction in the soil moisture content is more dramatic in future simulations, i.e., the so\u2010called transitional zones. As regards precipitation, weaker positive signals for convective precipitation and more intense negative signals for non\u2010convective precipitation are obtained as a result of the soil moisture\u2010atmosphere interactions. These results highlight the crucial contribution of soil moisture to climate change projections and suggest its plausible key role for future projections of extreme events.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1029\/2011jd016576","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2011,11,23]],"date-time":"2011-11-23T08:57:16Z","timestamp":1322038636000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":42,"title":["The role of the land\u2010surface model for climate change projections over the Iberian Peninsula"],"prefix":"10.1029","volume":"117","author":[{"given":"S.","family":"Jerez","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"J. P.","family":"Montavez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"J. J.","family":"Gomez\u2010Navarro","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"P. 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