{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,1]],"date-time":"2026-04-01T21:19:53Z","timestamp":1775078393409,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":49,"publisher":"American Geophysical Union (AGU)","issue":"8","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2018,8,27]],"date-time":"2018-08-27T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1535328000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":26,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["JGR Earth Surface"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2018,8]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:p>Sediment transport in suspension can represent more than 90% of a river's total annual flux of sediment. In the case of the Yangtze River, more than 99% of the sediment supplied to the sea is suspended load. Suspended sediment is thus an important component of the total sediment load, with implications for channel dynamics, landscape evolution, ecology, and human\u2010related activities. For hydrological management of large basins such as the Yangtze River, knowledge of the processes governing suspended sediment concentration (SSC) is essential. An analysis of the temporal variation of SSC for the Upper Yangtze basin (defined at Pingshan station) is presented here. For this purpose, a database of 50\u00a0years of concurrent discharge and SSC measurements, made by the Yangtze River Commission, is used. The analysis is made using a novel probabilistic data\u2010driven technique, the Generalized Pareto Uncertainty (GPU). This technique allows for the testing of several strategies of prediction and forecast applied to a time series of SSC and streamflow. Changing between local or seasonal variables to feed these strategies, we inferred that although the main driver of the SSC transport is flow (as reported by previous authors), sediment storage is also a major control. Furthermore, the maximum necessary time lag for forecasts made with the data is on the order of one week, which provides one indication of the time scale of the local processes of SSC transport in the Upper Yangtze. In this paper, limitations and data requirements of the GPU methodology are also discussed.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1029\/2017jf004240","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,6,20]],"date-time":"2018-06-20T12:59:41Z","timestamp":1529499581000},"page":"1982-2003","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":12,"title":["Probabilistic Prediction and Forecast of Daily Suspended Sediment Concentration on the Upper Yangtze River"],"prefix":"10.1029","volume":"123","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4592-1455","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jos\u00e9 Pedro","family":"Matos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratoire de Constructions Hydrauliques \u00c9cole Polytechnique F\u00e9d\u00e9rale de Lausanne  Lausanne Switzerland"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6856-5989","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Marwan A.","family":"Hassan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Geography Department The University of British Columbia  Vancouver British Columbia Canada"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2528-4631","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Xi Xi","family":"Lu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography National University of Singapore  Singapore"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0265-8581","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"M\u00e1rio J.","family":"Franca","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Water Science and Engineering Department IHE Delft Institute for Water Education  Delft Netherlands"}]}],"member":"13","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,8,27]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/CEC.2005.1554902"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0309\u20101708(93)90028\u2010E"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/asl.170"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","first-page":"20","article-title":"Building the flood\u2010protection system in Schaun province: The role of soil conservation (in Chinese)","volume":"4","author":"Cai Z. X.","year":"1998","journal-title":"Soil Conservation Yangtze River Basin"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cageo.2010.07.005"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169\u2010555X(01)00109\u2010X"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169\u2010555X(01)00106\u20104"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169\u2010555X(01)00105\u20102"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5194\/hess\u201015\u20103253\u20102011"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_12_1","volume-title":"An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values. Springer Series in Statistics","author":"Coles S.","year":"2001"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/2015JF003436"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/4235.996017"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1086\/344665"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1061\/(ASCE)1084\u20100699(2000)5:2(115)"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1061\/(ASCE)1084\u20100699(2000)5:2(124)"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/3-540-32494-1_4"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2010WR009228"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/hyp.7996"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_21_1","volume-title":"Neural networks: A comprehensive foundation","author":"Haykin S.","year":"1994"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1175\/1520\u20100434(2000)015<0559:DOTCRP>2.0.CO;2"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_23_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/hyp.1299"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_24_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1257\/jep.15.4.143"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_25_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/1999WR900099"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_26_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2000WR900108"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_27_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2011WR010608"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_28_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169\u2010555X(01)00110\u20106"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_29_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2015.11.028"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_30_1","unstructured":"Matos J. P.(2014).Hydraulic\u2010hydrologic model for the Zambezi River using satellite data and artificial intelligence techniques(doctoral dissertation no. 6225). \u00c9cole Polytechnique F\u00e9d\u00e9rale de Lausanne and the University of Lisbon Lausanne Switzerland.https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5075\/epfl\u2010thesis\u20106225"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_31_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/91JC02933"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_32_1","unstructured":"Ministry of Water Resources. (1992).Code for measurements of suspended sediment in open channels GB50159\u20131992(in Chinese). Beijing China."},{"key":"e_1_2_9_33_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2012JF002400"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_34_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1175\/MWR2906.1"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_35_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2009WR008328"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_36_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/323533a0"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_37_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2495\/978-1-84564-091-0\/05"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_38_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2009WR008933"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_39_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2011GM001085"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_40_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1109454"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_41_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/15715124.2008.9635342"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_42_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1061\/(ASCE)0733\u20109429(1984)110:11(1613)"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_43_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2005WR004838"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_44_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/TEVC.2008.924428"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_45_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1029\/2006WR005012"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_46_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5194\/hess\u201015\u2010255\u20102011"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_47_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.geomorph.2008.09.004"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_48_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0022\u20101694(02)00028\u20108"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_49_1","first-page":"521","volume-title":"Progress in Astronautics and Aeronautics","author":"Zarchan P.","year":"2009"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_50_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1061\/(ASCE)0733\u20109429(1994)120:9(1021)"}],"container-title":["Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.wiley.com\/onlinelibrary\/tdm\/v1\/articles\/10.1029%2F2017JF004240","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1029\/2017JF004240","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1029\/2017JF004240","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1029\/2017JF004240","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,22]],"date-time":"2023-08-22T12:44:39Z","timestamp":1692708279000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1029\/2017JF004240"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2018,8]]},"references-count":49,"journal-issue":{"issue":"8","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2018,8]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1029\/2017JF004240"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2017jf004240","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["2169-9003","2169-9011"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2169-9003","type":"print"},{"value":"2169-9011","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2018,8]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2017-02-01","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2018-05-28","order":1,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2018-08-27","order":2,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}