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However, evaluating the global\u2010scale temporal variability of fires in response to climate presents a challenge due to the intricate processes at play and the limitation of fire data. Here, we investigate the links between year\u2010to\u2010year variability of burned area (BA) and climate using BA data, the Fire Weather Index (FWI), and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) from 2001 to 2021 at ecoregion scales. Our results reveal complex spatial patterns in the dependence of BA variability on antecedent and concurrent weather conditions, highlighting where BA is mostly influenced by either FWI or SPEI and where the combined effect of both indicators must be considered. Our findings indicate that same\u2010season weather conditions have a more pronounced relationship with BA across various ecoregions, particularly in climatologically wetter areas. Additionally, we note that BA is also significantly associated with periods of antecedent wetness and coolness, with this association being especially evident in more arid ecoregions. About 60% of the interannual variations in BA can be explained by climatic variability in a large fraction (\u223c77%) of the world's burnable regions.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1029\/2023ef004334","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,8]],"date-time":"2024-07-08T12:30:29Z","timestamp":1720441829000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":21,"title":["The Interannual Variability of Global Burned Area Is Mostly Explained by Climatic Drivers"],"prefix":"10.1029","volume":"12","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6212-2087","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Andrina","family":"Gincheva","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Physics Regional Atmospheric Modelling Group Regional Campus of International Excellence Campus Mare Nostrum University of Murcia  Murcia Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3533-5786","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Juli G.","family":"Pausas","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificaci\u00f3n (CIDE, CSIC\u2010UV\u2010GVA), Spanish National Research Council  Valencia Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8897-9337","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Miguel \u00c1ngel","family":"Torres\u2010V\u00e1zquez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Physics Regional Atmospheric Modelling Group Regional Campus of International Excellence Campus Mare Nostrum University of Murcia  Murcia Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6219-4312","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Joaqu\u00edn","family":"Bedia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Departamento de Matem\u00e1tica Aplicada y Ciencias de la Computaci\u00f3n, Grupo de Meteorolog\u00eda y Computaci\u00f3n, Universidad de Cantabria, Unidad Asociada al CSIC  Santander Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2892-518X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sergio M.","family":"Vicente\u2010Serrano","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Instituto Pirenaico de Ecolog\u00eda (IPE\u2010CSIC) Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cient\u00edficas  Zaragoza Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7599-9750","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"John T.","family":"Abatzoglou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Management of Complex Systems University of California  Merced CA USA"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8195-1913","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Josep A.","family":"S\u00e1nchez\u2010Espigares","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Statistics and Operations Research Polytechnic University of Catalonia  Barcelona Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5618-4759","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Emilio","family":"Chuvieco","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geology, Geography and the Environment Universidad de Alcal\u00e1 Environmental Remote Sensing Research Group  Alcal\u00e1 de Henares Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2153-1658","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sonia","family":"Jerez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Physics Regional Atmospheric Modelling Group Regional Campus of International Excellence Campus Mare Nostrum University of Murcia  Murcia Spain"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0882-5261","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Antonello","family":"Provenzale","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Geosciences and Earth Resources National Research Council  Pisa Italy"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4183-9852","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ricardo M.","family":"Trigo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculdade de Ci\u00eancias Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL) Universidade de Lisboa  Lisboa Portugal"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8589-7459","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Marco","family":"Turco","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Physics Regional Atmospheric Modelling Group Regional Campus of International Excellence Campus Mare Nostrum University of Murcia  Murcia Spain"}]}],"member":"13","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,8]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_7_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1607171113"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14405"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365\u20102486.2008.01679.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5194\/hess\u201023\u2010207\u20102019"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5194\/hess\u201021\u2010589\u20102017"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Beck H. 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