{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,23]],"date-time":"2026-01-23T00:01:38Z","timestamp":1769126498078,"version":"3.49.0"},"reference-count":67,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,19]],"date-time":"2025-12-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1766102400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,20]],"date-time":"2026-01-20T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1768867200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":32,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100010724","name":"Health Systems Research Institute","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["HSRI 67-067"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["HSRI 67-067"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100010724","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Commun Med"],"DOI":"10.1038\/s43856-025-01299-3","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,19]],"date-time":"2025-12-19T13:45:39Z","timestamp":1766151939000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["A case study integrating scenario thinking with dialysis policymaking in Thailand"],"prefix":"10.1038","volume":"6","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8204-2065","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Siobhan","family":"Botwright","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0004-9283-8819","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Natcha","family":"Yongphiphatwong","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2217-2930","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Yot","family":"Teerawattananon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3385-6919","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jiratorn","family":"Sutawong","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0002-3274-0591","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kinanti Khansa","family":"Chavarina","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Tanainan","family":"Chuanchaiyakul","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"John","family":"Quigley","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8391-6660","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Itamar","family":"Megiddo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Abigail","family":"Colson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"1299_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"675","DOI":"10.1177\/0272989X11409240","volume":"31","author":"J Bilcke","year":"2011","unstructured":"Bilcke, J., Beutels, P., Brisson, M. & Jit, M. Accounting for methodological, structural, and parameter uncertainty in decision-analytic models: a practical guide. Med. Decis. Mak. 31, 675\u2013692 (2011).","journal-title":"Med. Decis. Mak."},{"key":"1299_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1007\/s40273-014-0201-7","volume":"33","author":"JPC Grutters","year":"2015","unstructured":"Grutters, J. P. C., van Asselt, M. B. A., Chalkidou, K. & Joore, M. A. Healthy decisions: towards uncertainty tolerance in healthcare policy. Pharmacoeconomics 33, 1\u20134 (2015).","journal-title":"Pharmacoeconomics"},{"key":"1299_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"69","DOI":"10.1177\/1524839903257692","volume":"5","author":"JA Neiner","year":"2004","unstructured":"Neiner, J. A., Howze, E. H. & Greaney, M. L. Using scenario planning in public health: anticipating alternative futures. Health Promot Pract. 5, 69\u201379 (2004).","journal-title":"Health Promot Pract."},{"key":"1299_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1007\/s12199-012-0294-6","volume":"18","author":"IN Soyiri","year":"2013","unstructured":"Soyiri, I. N. & Reidpath, D. D. An overview of health forecasting. Environ. Health Prev. Med. 18, 1\u20139 (2013).","journal-title":"Environ. Health Prev. Med."},{"key":"1299_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Morgan, M. G. & Henrion, M. Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/CBO9780511840609. (Cambridge University Press, 1990).","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511840609"},{"key":"1299_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"154","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envsoft.2016.03.014","volume":"81","author":"HR Maier","year":"2016","unstructured":"Maier, H. R. et al. An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together? Environ. Model. Softw. 81, 154\u2013164 (2016).","journal-title":"Environ. Model. Softw."},{"key":"1299_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1111\/1467-9566.13160","volume":"42","author":"N Mackintosh","year":"2020","unstructured":"Mackintosh, N. & Armstrong, N. Understanding and managing uncertainty in health care: revisiting and advancing sociological contributions. Socio. Health Illn. 42, 1\u201320 (2020).","journal-title":"Socio. Health Illn."},{"key":"1299_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Cairns, G. & Wright, G. Scenario Thinking, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-3-319-49067-0. (Springer International Publishing, 2018).","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-319-49067-0"},{"key":"1299_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"537","DOI":"10.1111\/psj.12028","volume":"41","author":"M Lubell","year":"2013","unstructured":"Lubell, M. Governing institutional complexity: the ecology of games framework. Policy Stud. J. 41, 537\u2013559 (2013).","journal-title":"Policy Stud. J."},{"key":"1299_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"97","DOI":"10.1111\/risa.13827","volume":"42","author":"J Derbyshire","year":"2022","unstructured":"Derbyshire, J. Increasing preparedness for extreme events using plausibility-based scenario planning: lessons from COVID-19. Risk Anal. 42, 97\u2013104 (2022).","journal-title":"Risk Anal."},{"key":"1299_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"352","DOI":"10.1057\/rm.2015.19","volume":"17","author":"D Fischbacher-Smith","year":"2015","unstructured":"Fischbacher-Smith, D. Through a glass darkly: expertise, evidence, and the management of uncertainty. Risk Manag. 17, 352\u2013372 (2015).","journal-title":"Risk Manag."},{"key":"1299_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"835","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jval.2012.04.014","volume":"15","author":"AH Briggs","year":"2012","unstructured":"Briggs, A. H. et al. Model parameter estimation and uncertainty: a report of the ISPOR-SMDM modeling good research practices task Force-6. Value Health 15, 835\u2013842 (2012).","journal-title":"Value Health"},{"key":"1299_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Pagel, C., Robertson, D. A. & Yates, C. A. Foresight approaches for future health shocks: integration into policy making and accompanying research priorities. BMJ e078647 https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1136\/bmj-2023-078647 (2024)","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj-2023-078647"},{"key":"1299_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12874-015-0083-1","volume":"15","author":"HC Vollmar","year":"2015","unstructured":"Vollmar, H. C., Ostermann, T. & Reda\u00e8lli, M. Using the scenario method in the context of health and health care \u2013 a scoping review. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 15, 89 (2015).","journal-title":"BMC Med. Res. Methodol."},{"key":"1299_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Walker, W. E., Lempert, R. J. & Kwakkel, J. H. Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-1-4419-1153-7. (Springer. 2013).","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4419-1153-7"},{"key":"1299_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"955","DOI":"10.3390\/su5030955","volume":"5","author":"W Walker","year":"2013","unstructured":"Walker, W., Haasnoot, M. & Kwakkel, J. Adapt or Perish: a review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty. Sustainability 5, 955\u2013979 (2013).","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"key":"1299_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12913-020-05304-4","volume":"20","author":"GH Rees","year":"2020","unstructured":"Rees, G. H., Crampton, P., Gauld, R. & MacDonell, S. Rethinking workforce planning for integrated care: using scenario analysis to facilitate policy development. BMC Health Serv. Res. 20, 429 (2020).","journal-title":"BMC Health Serv. Res"},{"key":"1299_CR18","unstructured":"Willis, G. Robust workforce planning framework: Update from practice. in CfWI technical paper series no. 0010 (Centre for Workforce Intelligence, 2014)."},{"key":"1299_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"365","DOI":"10.1093\/cje\/28.3.365","volume":"28","author":"D Dequech","year":"2004","unstructured":"Dequech, D. Uncertainty: individuals, institutions and technology. Camb. J. Econ. 28, 365\u2013378 (2004).","journal-title":"Camb. J. Econ."},{"key":"1299_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"369","DOI":"10.1080\/09537320802000146","volume":"20","author":"O Da Costa","year":"2008","unstructured":"Da Costa, O., Warnke, P., Cagnin, C. & Scapolo, F. The impact of foresight on policy-making: insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process. Technol. Anal. Strat. Manag. 20, 369\u2013387 (2008).","journal-title":"Technol. Anal. Strat. Manag."},{"key":"1299_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Standards of Futures Research, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-3-658-35806-8. (Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, Wiesbaden. 2022).","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-658-35806-8"},{"key":"1299_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"709","DOI":"10.1016\/S0377-2217(03)00068-7","volume":"152","author":"FA O\u2019Brien","year":"2004","unstructured":"O\u2019Brien, F. A. Scenario planning\u2013\u2013lessons for practice from teaching and learning. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 152, 709\u2013722 (2004).","journal-title":"Eur. J. Oper. Res."},{"key":"1299_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"869","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jval.2022.03.018","volume":"25","author":"W Oortwijn","year":"2022","unstructured":"Oortwijn, W. et al. Designing and implementing deliberative processes for health technology assessment: a good practices report of a joint HTAi\/ISPOR Task Force. Value Health 25, 869\u2013886 (2022).","journal-title":"Value Health"},{"key":"1299_CR24","unstructured":"Bertram, M., Dhaene, G. & Tan-Torres Edejer, T. (eds) Institutionalizing Health Technology Assessment Mechanisms: A How to Guide. (World Health Organization, Geneva, 2021). https:\/\/www.who.int\/publications\/i\/item\/9789240020665."},{"key":"1299_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"631","DOI":"10.1016\/j.techfore.2012.09.003","volume":"80","author":"G Wright","year":"2013","unstructured":"Wright, G., Bradfield, R. & Cairns, G. Does the intuitive logics method \u2013 and its recent enhancements \u2013 produce \u201ceffective\u201d scenarios? Technol. Forecast Soc. Change 80, 631\u2013642 (2013).","journal-title":"Technol. Forecast Soc. Change"},{"key":"1299_CR26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"119801","DOI":"10.1016\/j.techfore.2019.119801","volume":"151","author":"D Frith","year":"2020","unstructured":"Frith, D. & Tapinos, E. Opening the \u2018black box\u2019 of scenario planning through realist synthesis. Technol. Forecast Soc. Change 151, 119801 (2020).","journal-title":"Technol. Forecast Soc. Change"},{"key":"1299_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12960-023-00861-1","volume":"21","author":"N Benahmed","year":"2023","unstructured":"Benahmed, N., Lef\u00e8vre, M. & Stordeur, S. Managing uncertainty in forecasting health workforce demand using the Robust Workforce Planning Framework: the example of midwives in Belgium. Hum. Resour. Health 21, 75 (2023).","journal-title":"Hum. Resour. Health"},{"key":"1299_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1478-4491-12-7","volume":"12","author":"IF Crettenden","year":"2014","unstructured":"Crettenden, I. F. et al. How evidence-based workforce planning in Australia is informing policy development in the retention and distribution of the health workforce. Hum. Resour. Health 12, 7 (2014).","journal-title":"Hum. Resour. Health"},{"key":"1299_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1478-4491-12-58","volume":"12","author":"J Greg\u00f3rio","year":"2014","unstructured":"Greg\u00f3rio, J., Cavaco, A. & Velez Lap\u00e3o, L. A scenario-planning approach to human resources for health: the case of community pharmacists in Portugal. Hum. Resour. Health 12, 58 (2014).","journal-title":"Hum. Resour. Health"},{"key":"1299_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"234","DOI":"10.1024\/1012-5302.19.4.234","volume":"19","author":"I Eberl","year":"2006","unstructured":"Eberl, I. & Schnepp, W. Familiengesundheitspflege in Deutschland: Konsensfindung als Grundlage. Pflege 19, 234\u2013243 (2006).","journal-title":"Pflege"},{"key":"1299_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1472-6947-11-1","volume":"11","author":"JJ Bierbooms","year":"2011","unstructured":"Bierbooms, J. J., Bongers, I. M. & van Oers, H. A. A scenario analysis of the future residential requirements for people with mental health problems in Eindhoven. BMC Med. Inf. Decis. Mak. 11, 1 (2011).","journal-title":"BMC Med. Inf. Decis. Mak."},{"key":"1299_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1756-0500-5-442","volume":"5","author":"VP Ret\u00e8l","year":"2012","unstructured":"Ret\u00e8l, V. P., Joore, M. A., Linn, S. C., Rutgers, E. J. & van Harten, W. H. Scenario drafting to anticipate future developments in technology assessment. BMC Res. Notes 5, 442 (2012).","journal-title":"BMC Res. Notes"},{"key":"1299_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"284","DOI":"10.1016\/j.futures.2008.11.016","volume":"41","author":"A Wiek","year":"2009","unstructured":"Wiek, A., Gasser, L. & Siegrist, M. Systemic scenarios of nanotechnology: sustainable governance of emerging technologies. Futures 41, 284\u2013300 (2009).","journal-title":"Futures"},{"key":"1299_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"103153","DOI":"10.1016\/j.futures.2023.103153","volume":"149","author":"K Cordova-Pozo","year":"2023","unstructured":"Cordova-Pozo, K. & Rouwette, E. A. J. A. Types of scenario planning and their effectiveness: a review of reviews. Futures 149, 103153 (2023).","journal-title":"Futures"},{"key":"1299_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"5","DOI":"10.1186\/s12992-015-0090-3","volume":"11","author":"R Swanson","year":"2015","unstructured":"Swanson, R. et al. Strengthening health systems in low-income countries by enhancing organizational capacities and improving institutions. Glob. Health 11, 5 (2015).","journal-title":"Glob. Health"},{"key":"1299_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Barasteh, S. et al. Future scenarios of palliative care in health system of Iran: a multi-method study. Front. Public Health 12, 1346234 (2024).","DOI":"10.3389\/fpubh.2024.1346234"},{"key":"1299_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12913-022-08774-w","volume":"22","author":"M Emami","year":"2022","unstructured":"Emami, M., Haghdoost, A. A., Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V. & Mehrolhassani, M. H. Drivers, uncertainties, and future scenarios of the Iranian health system. BMC Health Serv. Res. 22, 1402 (2022).","journal-title":"BMC Health Serv. Res."},{"key":"1299_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Nguyen, V., Nguyen-Viet, H., Pham-Duc, P. & Wiese, M. Scenario planning for community development in Vietnam: a new tool for integrated health approaches? Glob Health Action 7, 24482 (2014).","DOI":"10.3402\/gha.v7.24482"},{"key":"1299_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"97","DOI":"10.2989\/16085900709490404","volume":"6","author":"P Fourie","year":"2007","unstructured":"Fourie, P. The future of AIDS in Africa: lessons from two scenario projects. Afr. J. AIDS Res. 6, 97\u2013107 (2007).","journal-title":"Afr. J. AIDS Res."},{"key":"1299_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e382","DOI":"10.1016\/S2214-109X(23)00570-3","volume":"12","author":"AK Bello","year":"2024","unstructured":"Bello, A. K. et al. An update on the global disparities in kidney disease burden and care across world countries and regions. Lancet Glob. Health 12, e382\u2013e395 (2024).","journal-title":"Lancet Glob. Health"},{"key":"1299_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"273","DOI":"10.1016\/j.semnephrol.2017.02.007","volume":"37","author":"VA Luyckx","year":"2017","unstructured":"Luyckx, V. A., Miljeteig, I., Ejigu, A. M. & Moosa, M. R. Ethical challenges in the provision of dialysis in resource-constrained environments. Semin. Nephrol. 37, 273\u2013286 (2017).","journal-title":"Semin. Nephrol."},{"key":"1299_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e63","DOI":"10.1016\/j.kisu.2019.11.004","volume":"10","author":"W Van Biesen","year":"2020","unstructured":"Van Biesen, W. et al. Considerations on equity in management of end-stage kidney disease in low- and middle-income countries. Kidney Int. Suppl. 10, e63\u2013e71 (2020).","journal-title":"Kidney Int. Suppl."},{"key":"1299_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"m82","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.m82","volume":"368","author":"Y Teerawattananon","year":"2020","unstructured":"Teerawattananon, Y., Dabak, S. V., Khoe, L. C., Bayani, D. B. S. & Isaranuwatchai, W. To include or not include: renal dialysis policy in the era of universal health coverage. BMJ 368, m82 (2020).","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"1299_CR44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjgh-2024-015179","volume":"9","author":"K Damrongplasit","year":"2024","unstructured":"Damrongplasit, K. & Melnick, G. Utilisation, out-of-pocket payments and access before and after COVID-19: Thailand\u2019s Universal Health Coverage Scheme. BMJ Glob. Health 9, e015179 (2024).","journal-title":"BMJ Glob. Health"},{"key":"1299_CR45","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1152","DOI":"10.1093\/heapol\/czu120","volume":"30","author":"V Tangcharoensathien","year":"2015","unstructured":"Tangcharoensathien, V. et al. Achieving universal health coverage goals in Thailand: the vital role of strategic purchasing. Health Policy Plan 30, 1152\u20131161 (2015).","journal-title":"Health Policy Plan"},{"key":"1299_CR46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1163","DOI":"10.34067\/KID.0002102021","volume":"2","author":"N Larpparisuth","year":"2021","unstructured":"Larpparisuth, N., Cheungpasitporn, W. & Lumpaopong, A. Global perspective on kidney transplantation: Thailand. Kidney360 2, 1163\u20131165 (2021).","journal-title":"Kidney360"},{"key":"1299_CR47","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Chan-on, C. & Sarwal, M. M. A comprehensive analysis of the current status and unmet needs in kidney transplantation in Southeast Asia. Front. Med. 4, 84 (2017).","DOI":"10.3389\/fmed.2017.00084"},{"key":"1299_CR48","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"8","DOI":"10.1111\/nep.14201","volume":"28","author":"T Chanchairujira","year":"2023","unstructured":"Chanchairujira, T., Kanjanabuch, T., Pongskul, C., Sumethkul, V. & Supaporn, T. Dialysis and kidney transplant practices and challenges in Thailand. Nephrology 28, 8\u201313 (2023).","journal-title":"Nephrology"},{"key":"1299_CR49","unstructured":"The Nephrology Society of Thailand. TRT System Version 3. https:\/\/www.trtregistry.org\/ (2024)."},{"key":"1299_CR50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"19","DOI":"10.1038\/s41591-024-03448-y","volume":"31","author":"Y Teerawattananon","year":"2025","unstructured":"Teerawattananon, Y. et al. The access to dialysis in low- and middle-income Countries Commission: lessons for universal health coverage. Nat. Med. 31, 19\u201321 (2025).","journal-title":"Nat. Med."},{"key":"1299_CR51","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"323","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejor.2007.12.003","volume":"194","author":"G Wright","year":"2009","unstructured":"Wright, G., Cairns, G. & Goodwin, P. Teaching scenario planning: Lessons from practice in academe and business. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 194, 323\u2013335 (2009).","journal-title":"Eur. J. Oper. Res."},{"key":"1299_CR52","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1009","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1539-6924.2007.00940.x","volume":"27","author":"RJ Lempert","year":"2007","unstructured":"Lempert, R. J. & Collins, M. T. Managing the risk of uncertain threshold responses: comparison of robust, optimum, and precautionary approaches. Risk Anal. 27, 1009\u20131026 (2007).","journal-title":"Risk Anal."},{"key":"1299_CR53","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1186\/s12962-021-00290-8","volume":"19","author":"R Millar","year":"2021","unstructured":"Millar, R. et al. Assessing the performance of health technology assessment (HTA) agencies: developing a multi-country, multi-stakeholder, and multi-dimensional framework to explore mechanisms of impact. Cost. Effectiv. Resour. Allocat. 19, 1\u201314 (2021).","journal-title":"Cost. Effectiv. Resour. Allocat."},{"key":"1299_CR54","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1909","DOI":"10.2215\/CJN.04840516","volume":"11","author":"FEM Murtagh","year":"2016","unstructured":"Murtagh, F. E. M., Burns, A., Moranne, O., Morton, R. L. & Naicker, S. Supportive Care: comprehensive conservative care in end-stage kidney disease. Clin. J. Am. Soc. Nephrol. 11, 1909\u20131914 (2016).","journal-title":"Clin. J. Am. Soc. Nephrol."},{"key":"1299_CR55","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"S83","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ekir.2024.11.208","volume":"10","author":"N Chawla","year":"2025","unstructured":"Chawla, N. et al. WCN25-4040 systematic review of strategies to increase uptake of comprehensive conservative care for advanced chronic kidney disease patients. Kidney Int. Rep. 10, S83\u2013S84 (2025).","journal-title":"Kidney Int. Rep."},{"key":"1299_CR56","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"169","DOI":"10.1186\/s12882-025-04072-9","volume":"26","author":"N Yongphiphatwong","year":"2025","unstructured":"Yongphiphatwong, N. et al. The way home: a scoping review of public health interventions to increase the utilization of home dialysis in chronic kidney disease patients. BMC Nephrol. 26, 169 (2025).","journal-title":"BMC Nephrol."},{"key":"1299_CR57","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Botwright, S. et al. Balancing patient choice and health system capacity: a system dynamics model of dialysis in Thailand. BMC Med. 23, 646 (2025).","DOI":"10.1186\/s12916-025-04522-z"},{"key":"1299_CR58","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.futures.2013.09.006","volume":"53","author":"B Enserink","year":"2013","unstructured":"Enserink, B., Kwakkel, J. H. & Veenman, S. Coping with uncertainty in climate policy making: (Mis)understanding scenario studies. Futures 53, 1\u201312 (2013).","journal-title":"Futures"},{"key":"1299_CR59","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"607","DOI":"10.1016\/j.futures.2009.04.008","volume":"41","author":"P van der Duin","year":"2009","unstructured":"van der Duin, P., van Oirschot, R., Kotey, H. & Vreeling, E. To govern is to foresee: an exploratory study into the relationship between futures research and strategy and policy processes at Dutch ministries. Futures 41, 607\u2013618 (2009).","journal-title":"Futures"},{"key":"1299_CR60","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"431","DOI":"10.1016\/j.futures.2012.03.005","volume":"44","author":"N Rijkens-Klomp","year":"2012","unstructured":"Rijkens-Klomp, N. Barriers and levers to future exploration in practice experiences in policy-making. Futures 44, 431\u2013439 (2012).","journal-title":"Futures"},{"key":"1299_CR61","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1057\/s41599-017-0046-8","volume":"3","author":"P Cairney","year":"2017","unstructured":"Cairney, P. & Kwiatkowski, R. How to communicate effectively with policymakers: combine insights from psychology and policy studies. Palgrave Commun. 3, 37 (2017).","journal-title":"Palgrave Commun."},{"key":"1299_CR62","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Goetghebeur, M. & Cellier, M. Deliberative processes by health technology assessment agencies: a reflection on legitimacy, values and patient and public involvement comment on \u2018use of evidence-informed deliberative processes by health technology assessment agencies around the globe\u2019. Int. J. Health Policy Manag. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.34172\/ijhpm.2020.46 (2020).","DOI":"10.34172\/ijhpm.2020.46"},{"key":"1299_CR63","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1113","DOI":"10.5465\/amj.2016.4004","volume":"59","author":"KM Eisenhardt","year":"2016","unstructured":"Eisenhardt, K. M., Graebner, M. E. & Sonenshein, S. Grand challenges and inductive methods: Rigor without Rigor Mortis. Acad. Manag. J. 59, 1113\u20131123 (2016).","journal-title":"Acad. Manag. J."},{"key":"1299_CR64","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"15","DOI":"10.1177\/1094428112452151","volume":"16","author":"DA Gioia","year":"2013","unstructured":"Gioia, D. A., Corley, K. G. & Hamilton, A. L. Seeking qualitative Rigor in inductive research. Organ Res. Methods 16, 15\u201331 (2013).","journal-title":"Organ Res. Methods"},{"key":"1299_CR65","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"837","DOI":"10.1177\/1077800410383121","volume":"16","author":"SJ Tracy","year":"2010","unstructured":"Tracy, S. J. Qualitative quality: eight \u201cbig-tent\u201d criteria for excellent qualitative research. Qual. Inq. 16, 837\u2013851 (2010).","journal-title":"Qual. Inq."},{"key":"1299_CR66","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jval.2024.09.001","volume":"28","author":"S Botwright","year":"2025","unstructured":"Botwright, S. et al. Good Practices for Health Technology Assessment Guideline Development: A Report of the Health Technology Assessment International, HTAsiaLink, and ISPOR Special Task Force. Value Health 28, 1\u201315 (2025).","journal-title":"Value Health"},{"key":"1299_CR67","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1099","DOI":"10.1080\/08941920.2018.1547852","volume":"32","author":"DN Bengston","year":"2019","unstructured":"Bengston, D. N. Futures research methods and applications in natural resources. Soc. Nat. Resour. 32, 1099\u20131113 (2019).","journal-title":"Soc. Nat. Resour."}],"container-title":["Communications Medicine"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43856-025-01299-3","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43856-025-01299-3.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43856-025-01299-3.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,20]],"date-time":"2026-01-20T17:03:11Z","timestamp":1768928591000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43856-025-01299-3"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,19]]},"references-count":67,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,12]]}},"alternative-id":["1299"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s43856-025-01299-3","relation":{},"ISSN":["2730-664X"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2730-664X","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,19]]},"assertion":[{"value":"18 February 2025","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"1 December 2025","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"19 December 2025","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"The author declares no competing interests.","order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Competing interests"}}],"article-number":"44"}}