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These early, accurate forecasts of dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence could help public health officials determine where to allocate their resources in the future.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1714457115","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,2,20]],"date-time":"2018-02-20T14:32:52Z","timestamp":1519137172000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.cm10313","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":60,"title":["Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010\u20132014"],"prefix":"10.1073","volume":"115","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2948-630X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Stephen A.","family":"Lauer","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Krzysztof","family":"Sakrejda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Evan L.","family":"Ray","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Mount Holyoke College, South Hadley, MA 01075;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Lindsay T.","family":"Keegan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Qifang","family":"Bi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Paphanij","family":"Suangtho","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Bureau of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi 11000, Thailand;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Soawapak","family":"Hinjoy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Bureau of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi 11000, Thailand;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sopon","family":"Iamsirithaworn","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Disease Control, Bureau of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi 11000, Thailand;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Suthanun","family":"Suthachana","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Bureau of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi 11000, Thailand;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yongjua","family":"Laosiritaworn","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Bureau of Epidemiology, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi 11000, Thailand;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9437-1907","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Derek A.T.","family":"Cummings","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology and the Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Justin","family":"Lessler","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nicholas G.","family":"Reich","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003;"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"341","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,2,20]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_4_1_2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"504","DOI":"10.1038\/nature12060","article-title":"The global distribution and burden of dengue","volume":"496","author":"Bhatt S","year":"2013","unstructured":"S Bhatt, , The global distribution and burden of dengue. 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