{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,26]],"date-time":"2026-10-26T12:52:31Z","timestamp":1793019151208,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":109,"publisher":"National Academy of Sciences","issue":"35","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,8,22]],"date-time":"2022-08-22T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1661126400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.pnas.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,8,30]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>\n                    Disease transmission prediction across wildlife is crucial for risk assessment of emerging infectious diseases. Susceptibility of host species to pathogens is influenced by the geographic, environmental, and phylogenetic context of the specific system under study. We used machine learning to analyze how such variables influence pathogen incidence for multihost pathogen assemblages, including one of direct transmission (coronaviruses and bats) and two vector-borne systems (West Nile Virus [WNV] and birds, and malaria and birds). Here we show that this methodology is able to provide reliable global spatial susceptibility predictions for the studied host\u2013pathogen systems, even when using a small amount of incidence information (i.e.,\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\" display=\"inline\" overflow=\"scroll\">\n                        <mml:mrow>\n                          <mml:mo>&lt;<\/mml:mo>\n                          <mml:mn>20<\/mml:mn>\n                          <mml:mo>%<\/mml:mo>\n                        <\/mml:mrow>\n                      <\/mml:math>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    of information in a database). We found that avian malaria was mostly affected by environmental factors and by an interaction between phylogeny and geography, and WNV susceptibility was mostly influenced by phylogeny and by the interaction between geographic and environmental distances, whereas coronavirus susceptibility was mostly affected by geography. This approach will help to direct surveillance and field efforts providing cost-effective decisions on where to invest limited resources.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.2122851119","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,8,22]],"date-time":"2022-08-22T15:14:57Z","timestamp":1661181297000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.cm10313","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":22,"title":["Wildlife susceptibility to infectious diseases at global scales"],"prefix":"10.1073","volume":"119","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4674-4270","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"\u00c1ngel L.","family":"Robles-Fern\u00e1ndez","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Facultad de F\u00edsica, Universidad Veracruzana, 91000 Xalapa, M\u00e9xico"},{"name":"School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4914-5580","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Diego","family":"Santiago-Alarcon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Integrative Biology, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL 33620"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3219-0019","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Andr\u00e9s","family":"Lira-Noriega","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Red de Estudios Moleculares Avanzados, Instituto de Ecolog\u00eda, A.C., 91073 Xalapa, M\u00e9xico"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"341","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2022,8,22]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_4_1_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2016.0129"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_2_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsos.190883"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_3_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/sciadv.1602422"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_4_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14159"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_5_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511981050"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_6_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41586-020-2562-8"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_7_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1408.071430"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_8_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsif.2014.0950"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_9_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S003118201800077X"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_10_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tree.2016.09.012"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_11_2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"487","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-030-51633-8_15","volume-title":"The Role of Malaria Parasites in Invasion Biology in Avian Malaria and Related Parasites in the Tropics","author":"Marzal A.","year":"2020","unstructured":"A. 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