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Biogeographic theory assumes predictable variation in power model parameters in relation principally to system isolation, but these assumptions are only weakly supported by previous work, which has been limited in considering the two parameters separately and oversimplistically. By developing and testing a hierarchical (structural equation) model of factors influencing ISAR form, we show that island species diversity patterns are shaped by intra-archipelago processes more strongly than by isolation from mainland source pools. These findings point to a need to quantify the role of differing scales of isolation in influencing propagule exchange among insular systems to develop improved predictive diversity models.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1818190116","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,5,31]],"date-time":"2019-05-31T00:44:21Z","timestamp":1559263461000},"page":"12337-12342","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.cm10313","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":87,"title":["A global model of island species\u2013area relationships"],"prefix":"10.1073","volume":"116","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7624-244X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Thomas J.","family":"Matthews","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, B15 2TT Birmingham, United Kingdom;"},{"name":"Birmingham Institute of Forest Research, University of Birmingham, B15 2TT Birmingham, United Kingdom;"},{"name":"Azorean Biodiversity Group, Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes (CE3C), Departamento de Ci\u00eancias Agr\u00e1riase Engenharia do Ambiente, Universidade dos A\u00e7ores, PT-9700-042 Angra do Hero\u00edsmo, A\u00e7ores, Portugal;"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6882-1591","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Fran\u00e7ois","family":"Rigal","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Azorean Biodiversity Group, Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes (CE3C), Departamento de Ci\u00eancias Agr\u00e1riase Engenharia do Ambiente, Universidade dos A\u00e7ores, PT-9700-042 Angra do Hero\u00edsmo, A\u00e7ores, Portugal;"},{"name":"CNRS, Universit\u00e9 de Pau et des Pays de l\u2019Adour, Energy Environment Solutions (E2S), Institut des Sciences Analytiques et de Physico-Chimie pour l\u2019Environnement et les Materiaux, UMR5254, Milieux et ressources aquatiques (MIRA), 64000 Pau, France;"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2737-8890","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kostas A.","family":"Triantis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Ecology and Taxonomy, Faculty of Biology, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, GR-15784 Athens, Greece;"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7775-3383","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Robert J.","family":"Whittaker","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, OX1 3QY Oxford, United Kingdom;"},{"name":"Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark"}]}],"member":"341","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,5,30]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_3_1_2","volume-title":"The Theory of Island Biogeography","author":"MacArthur R. 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