{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,17]],"date-time":"2026-07-17T22:31:00Z","timestamp":1784327460302,"version":"3.55.0"},"reference-count":91,"publisher":"Informa UK Limited","issue":"8","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,11,1]],"date-time":"2024-11-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1730419200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["www.tandfonline.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of the Operational Research Society"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,3]]},"DOI":"10.1080\/01605682.2024.2421339","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,11,1]],"date-time":"2024-11-01T08:29:16Z","timestamp":1730449756000},"page":"1564-1583","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/tandf_crossmark_01","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":12,"title":["Wielding Occam\u2019s razor: Fast and frugal retail forecasting"],"prefix":"10.1080","volume":"76","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3039-4955","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Fotios","family":"Petropoulos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Bath","place":["Bath, UK"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yael","family":"Grushka-Cockayne","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Virginia","place":["Charlottesville, USA"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Enno","family":"Siemsen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Wisconsin-Madison","place":["Madison, USA"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1854-1206","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Evangelos","family":"Spiliotis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"National Technical University of Athens","place":["Athens, Greece"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"301","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,11]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_4_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/2573234X.2019.1645574"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2008.07.004"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2012.01.039"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0378-3758(98)00220-1"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2005.08.002"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2020.07.007"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-642-36318-4_3"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_9_1","volume-title":"Time series analysis forecasting and control","author":"Box G. E. P.","year":"1970","unstructured":"Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. (1970). Time series analysis forecasting and control (1st ed.). AbeBooks.","edition":"1"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/9781118619193"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2284333"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_12_1","volume-title":"Exponential smoothing for predicting demand","author":"Brown R. G.","year":"1956","unstructured":"Brown, R. G. (1956). Exponential smoothing for predicting demand. Little."},{"key":"e_1_3_4_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/msom.2019.0824"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/opre.2022.2301"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/poms.12707"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2345327"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1198\/jasa.2011.tm09771"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.11.006"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.trd.2021.102815"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/msom.2015.0561"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2008.11.010"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/1392565"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_23_1","unstructured":"Flamm K. (2020). Measuring Moore\u2019s law: Evidence from price cost and quality indexes. NBER Research Paper. https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/chapters\/c13897\/c13897.pdf"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_24_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2015.03.008"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_25_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1006\/jcss.1997.1504"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_26_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0167-9473(01)00065-2"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_27_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2006.03.005"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_28_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.31.10.1237"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_29_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1057\/jors.1988.146"},{"issue":"29","key":"e_1_3_4_30_1","first-page":"14","article-title":"FVA: A reality check on forecasting practices","author":"Gilliland M.","year":"2013","unstructured":"Gilliland, M. (2013). FVA: A reality check on forecasting practices. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 29, 14\u201318.","journal-title":"Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_31_1","volume-title":"White paper: Forecast value added analysis: Step by step. Tech. rep","author":"Gilliland M.","year":"2015","unstructured":"Gilliland, M. (2015). White paper: Forecast value added analysis: Step by step. Tech. rep. SAS."},{"key":"e_1_3_4_32_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1198\/016214506000001437"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_33_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2009.05.010"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_34_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/(SICI)1099-0771(199903)12:1<37::AID-BDM319>3.3.CO;2-#"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_35_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2006.01.001"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_36_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9892.1980.tb00297.x"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_37_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jbusres.2015.03.026"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_38_1","first-page":"19","volume-title":"Quantile forecasts of product life cycles using exponential smoothing","author":"Guo X.","year":"2018","unstructured":"Guo, X., Lichtendahl, Jr, K. C., & Grushka-Cockayne, Y. (2018). Quantile forecasts of product life cycles using exponential smoothing. Harvard Business School Working Paper. 19\u2013038."},{"key":"e_1_3_4_39_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2335288"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_40_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(96)00719-4"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_41_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2003.09.015"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_42_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.2517-6161.1980.tb01115.x"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_43_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2335817"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_44_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.csda.2011.03.006"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_45_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.18637\/jss.v027.i03"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_46_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2006.03.001"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_47_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-540-71918-2"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_48_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(01)00110-8"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_49_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.11.007"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_50_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.05.008"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_51_1","first-page":"3146","volume-title":"Advances in neural information processing systems 30","author":"Ke G.","year":"2017","unstructured":"Ke, G., Meng, Q., Finley, T., Wang, T., Chen, W., Ma, W., Ye, Q., & Liu, T.-Y. (2017). Lightgbm: A highly efficient gradient boosting decision tree. In I. Guyon, U. V. Luxburg, S. Bengio, H. Wallach, R. Fergus, S. Vishwanathan, & R. Garnett (Eds.), Advances in neural information processing systems 30 (pp. 3146\u20133154). Curran Associates, Inc."},{"key":"e_1_3_4_52_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(02)00062-6"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_53_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2010.04.006"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_54_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2015.12.004"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_55_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.08.006"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_56_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2335657"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_57_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejor.2020.05.038"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_58_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3980010202"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_59_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(00)00057-1"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_60_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2345077"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_61_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.05.011"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_62_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0194889"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_63_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.04.014"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_64_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.11.013"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_65_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.07.007"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_66_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.10.009"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_67_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.29.9.987"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_68_1","unstructured":"Naughton J. (2019). Can the planet really afford the exorbitant power demands of machine learning? Retrieved Novemeer 2019 11 from https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2019\/nov\/16\/can-planet-afford-exorbitant-power-demands-of-machine-learning"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_69_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2334723"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_70_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0169-2070(94)90025-6"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_71_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cor.2017.05.007"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_72_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2965433"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_73_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2346970"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_74_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.15.5.311"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_75_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jom.2018.05.005"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_76_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2018.01.004"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_77_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3980030308"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_78_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/poms.13811"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_79_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2684955"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_80_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2018.03.001"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_81_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.06.002"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_82_1","volume-title":"International Symposium on Forecasting 2017","author":"Seaman B.","year":"2017","unstructured":"Seaman, B. (2017). Retail sales forecasting at walmart [Paper presentation]. International Symposium on Forecasting 2017, Cairns, Australia."},{"key":"e_1_3_4_83_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2020.11.009"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_84_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s12351-020-00605-2"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_85_1","unstructured":"Svetunkov I. & Kourentzes N. (2018). Complex exponential smoothing for seasonal time series. Working Paper of Department of Management Science Lancaster University 2018:1 1\u201320."},{"key":"e_1_3_4_86_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(00)00065-0"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_87_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(03)00003-7"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_88_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1057\/palgrave.jors.2601589"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_89_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.1070.0786"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_90_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.6.3.324"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_91_1","first-page":"10","article-title":"Forecasting at scale: The architecture of a modern retail forecasting system","volume":"55","author":"Yelland P.","year":"2019","unstructured":"Yelland, P., Baz, Z. E., & Serafini, D. (2019). Forecasting at scale: The architecture of a modern retail forecasting system. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 55, 10\u201318.","journal-title":"Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting,"},{"key":"e_1_3_4_92_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsta.1927.0007"}],"container-title":["Journal of the Operational Research Society"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1080\/01605682.2024.2421339","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,20]],"date-time":"2026-01-20T16:31:41Z","timestamp":1768926701000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/01605682.2024.2421339"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2024,11]]},"references-count":91,"journal-issue":{"issue":"8","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,3]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1080\/01605682.2024.2421339"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/01605682.2024.2421339","relation":{},"ISSN":["0160-5682","1476-9360"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0160-5682","type":"print"},{"value":"1476-9360","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2024,11]]},"assertion":[{"value":"The publishing and review policy for this title is described in its Aims & Scope.","order":1,"name":"peerreview_statement","label":"Peer Review Statement"},{"value":"http:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/action\/journalInformation?show=aimsScope&journalCode=tjor20","URL":"http:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/action\/journalInformation?show=aimsScope&journalCode=tjor20","order":2,"name":"aims_and_scope_url","label":"Aim & Scope"},{"value":"2024-10-08","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2024-10-17","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2024-11-01","order":3,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}