{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,18]],"date-time":"2026-01-18T05:25:57Z","timestamp":1768713957826,"version":"3.49.0"},"reference-count":25,"publisher":"IOP Publishing","issue":"11","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,11,23]],"date-time":"2020-11-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1606089600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":22,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,11,23]],"date-time":"2020-11-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1606089600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":22,"URL":"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/info\/page\/text-and-data-mining"}],"funder":[{"name":"The Swedish Foundation for Humanities and Social Sciences","award":["M14-0138:1"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["M14-0138:1"]}]},{"name":"OP RDE","award":["\u2018EVA4.0\u2019 No. CZ.02.1.01\/0.0\/0.0\/16_019\/0000803"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["\u2018EVA4.0\u2019 No. CZ.02.1.01\/0.0\/0.0\/16_019\/0000803"]}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001862","name":"The Swedish Research Council Formas","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["2019-00165"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2019-00165"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001862","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"name":"The German Federal Office for Agriculture and Food","award":["2816ERA06S"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2816ERA06S"]}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100005357","name":"Agent\u00fara na Podporu V\u00fdskumu a V\u00fdvoja","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["APVV-18-0305"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["APVV-18-0305"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100005357","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100000921","name":"European Cooperation in Science and Technology","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND (Towards Robust Projec"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND (Towards Robust Projec"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100000921","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"name":"The German Federal Ministry of Education and Research","award":["73 01LS1201A1"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["73 01LS1201A1"]}]},{"name":"The Swedish Energy Agency","award":["45808-1"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["45808-1"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["iopscience.iop.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Environ. Res. Lett."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2020,11,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Beliefs, expectations and values are often assumed to drive decisions about climate change adaptation. We tested hypotheses based on this assumption using survey responses from 508 European forest professionals in ten countries. We used the survey results to identify communication needs and the decision strategies at play, and to develop guidelines on adequate communications about climate change adaptation. We observed polarization in the positive and negative values associated with climate change impacts accepted by survey respondents. We identified a mechanism creating the polarization that we call the \u2018blocked belief\u2019 effect. We found that polarized values did not correlate with decisions about climate change adaptation. Strong belief in the local impacts of climate change on the forest was, however, a prerequisite of decision-making favoring adaptation. Decision-making in favor of adaptation to climate change also correlated with net values of expected specific impacts on the forest and generally increased with the absolute value of these in the absence of \u2018tipping point\u2019 behavior. Tipping point behavior occurs when adaptation is not pursued in spite of the strongly negative or positive net value of expected climate change impacts. We observed negative and positive tipping point behavior, mainly in SW Europe and N-NE Europe, respectively. In addition we found that advice on effective adaptation may inhibit adaptation when the receiver is aware of effective adaptation measures unless it is balanced with information explaining how climate change leads to negative impacts. Forest professionals with weak expectations of impacts require communications on climate change and its impacts on forests before any advice on adaptation measures can be effective. We develop evidence-based guidelines on communications using a new methodology which includes Bayesian machine learning modeling of the equivalent of an expected utility function for the adaptation decision problem.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1088\/1748-9326\/abc2fa","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,10,20]],"date-time":"2020-10-20T22:30:25Z","timestamp":1603233025000},"page":"114061","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":20,"title":["The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation\u2014implications for communications with European forest professionals"],"prefix":"10.1088","volume":"15","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7602-5322","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"K","family":"Blennow","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4568-1850","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"J","family":"Persson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"L M S","family":"Gon\u00e7alves","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"A","family":"Borys","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"I","family":"Dutc\u0103","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"J","family":"Hynynen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"E","family":"Janeczko","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"M","family":"Lyubenova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"J","family":"Mergani\u010d","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"K","family":"Mergani\u010dov\u00e1","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"M","family":"Peltoniemi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"M","family":"Petr","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"F","family":"Reboredo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"G","family":"Vacchiano","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"C P O","family":"Reyer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"266","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,11,23]]},"reference":[{"key":"erlabc2fabib1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1014","DOI":"10.1038\/nclimate2728","article-title":"Predictors of public climate change awareness and risk perception around the world","volume":"11","author":"Lee","year":"2015","journal-title":"Nat. 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Published by IOP Publishing Ltd","name":"copyright_information","label":"Copyright Information"},{"value":"2020-06-25","name":"date_received","label":"Date Received","group":{"name":"publication_dates","label":"Publication dates"}},{"value":"2020-10-20","name":"date_accepted","label":"Date Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_dates","label":"Publication dates"}},{"value":"2020-11-23","name":"date_epub","label":"Online publication date","group":{"name":"publication_dates","label":"Publication dates"}}]}}