{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,2]],"date-time":"2026-05-02T09:20:19Z","timestamp":1777713619602,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":45,"publisher":"IOP Publishing","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,29]],"date-time":"2020-12-29T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1609200000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,29]],"date-time":"2020-12-29T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1609200000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/info\/page\/text-and-data-mining"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000879","name":"Alfred P. Sloan Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["G-2017-9928"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["G-2017-9928"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000879","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["iopscience.iop.org"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Environ. Res. Lett."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Most studies of deep decarbonization find that a diverse portfolio of low-carbon energy technologies will be required, including carbon capture and storage (CCS) that mitigates emissions from fossil fuel power plants and industrial sources. While many projects essential to commercializing the technology have been proposed, most (&gt;80%) end in failure. Here we analyze the full universe of CCS projects attempted in the U.S. that have sufficient documentation (<jats:italic>N<\/jats:italic>=39)\u2014the largest sample ever studied systematically. We quantify 12 project attributes that the literature has identified as possible determinants of project outcome. In addition to costs and technological readiness, which prior research has emphasized, we develop metrics for attributes that are widely thought to be important yet have eluded systematic measurement, such as the credibility of project revenues and policy incentives, and the role of regulatory complexity and public opposition. We build three models\u2014two statistical and one derived through the elicitation of expert judgment\u2014to evaluate the relative influence of these 12 attributes in explaining project outcome. Across models, we find the credibility of revenues and incentives to be among the most important attributes, along with capital cost and technological readiness. We therefore develop and elicit experts\u2019 judgment of 14 types of policy incentives that could alter these attributes and improve the prospects for investment in CCS. Knowing which attributes have been most responsible for past successes and failures allows developers to avoid past mistakes and identify clusters of near-term CCS projects that are more likely to succeed.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1088\/1748-9326\/abd19e","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,29]],"date-time":"2020-12-29T15:24:12Z","timestamp":1609255452000},"page":"014036","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":68,"title":["Explaining successful and failed investments in U.S. carbon capture and storage using empirical and expert assessments"],"prefix":"10.1088","volume":"16","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1623-3912","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ahmed","family":"Abdulla","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8120-8676","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ryan","family":"Hanna","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Kristen R","family":"Schell","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9141-8872","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Oytun","family":"Babacan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"David G","family":"Victor","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"266","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,29]]},"reference":[{"key":"erlabd19ebib1","author":"","year":"2020"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib2","author":"","year":"2015"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib3","author":"Gupta","year":"2014"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib4","article-title":"Strengthening and implementing the global response","author":"de Coninck","year":"2018"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib5","author":"","year":"2005"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib6","author":"Bennaceur","year":"2008"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib7","article-title":"Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5\u00b0C in the context of sustainable development","author":"Rogelj","year":"2018"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib8","author":"Rassool","year":"2020"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib9","author":"Cohen","year":"2020"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib10","author":"Zapantis","year":"2019"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib11","author":"Jones","year":"2020"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3141","DOI":"10.1016\/j.egypro.2009.02.096","article-title":"Carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery injection operations technologies","volume":"1","author":"Parker","year":"2009","journal-title":"Energy Proc."},{"key":"erlabd19ebib13","author":"","year":"2019"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib14","author":"","year":"2018"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib15","article-title":"Going underground","year":"2012"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"7581","DOI":"10.1016\/j.egypro.2017.03.1890","article-title":"The politics of large-scale CCS deployment","volume":"114","author":"Lipponen","year":"2017","journal-title":"Energy Proc."},{"key":"erlabd19ebib17","author":"Jenkins","year":"2015"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib18","author":"Redman","year":"2020"},{"key":"erlabd19ebib19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"91","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijggc.2019.02.006","article-title":"Best practices and recent advances in CCS cost engineering and economic analysis","volume":"83","author":"van der Spek","year":"2019","journal-title":"Intl. 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Published by IOP Publishing Ltd","name":"copyright_information","label":"Copyright Information"},{"value":"2020-09-09","name":"date_received","label":"Date Received","group":{"name":"publication_dates","label":"Publication dates"}},{"value":"2020-12-08","name":"date_accepted","label":"Date Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_dates","label":"Publication dates"}},{"value":"2020-12-29","name":"date_epub","label":"Online publication date","group":{"name":"publication_dates","label":"Publication dates"}}]}}