{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,15]],"date-time":"2026-07-15T06:51:40Z","timestamp":1784098300282,"version":"3.55.0"},"reference-count":219,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,18]],"date-time":"2023-08-18T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1692316800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/journals\/pages\/open_access\/funder_policies\/chorus\/standard_publication_model"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"NIH","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["U19AI171292"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["U19AI171292"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"NIH","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["R01 AI108197"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["R01 AI108197"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,5]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Understanding the origins of past and present viral epidemics is critical in preparing for future outbreaks. Many viruses, including SARS-CoV-2, have led to significant consequences not only due to their virulence, but also because we were unprepared for their emergence. We need to learn from large amounts of data accumulated from well-studied, past pandemics and employ modern informatics and therapeutic development technologies to forecast future pandemics and help minimize their potential impacts. While acknowledging the complexity and difficulties associated with establishing reliable outbreak predictions, herein we provide a perspective on the regions of the world that are most likely to be impacted by future outbreaks. We specifically focus on viruses with epidemic potential, namely SARS-CoV-2, MERS-CoV, DENV, ZIKV, MAYV, LASV, noroviruses, influenza, Nipah virus, hantaviruses, Oropouche virus, MARV, and Ebola virus, which all require attention from both the public and scientific community to avoid societal catastrophes like COVID-19. Based on our literature review, data analysis, and outbreak simulations, we posit that these future viral epidemics are unavoidable, but that their societal impacts can be minimized by strategic investment into basic virology research, epidemiological studies of neglected viral diseases, and antiviral drug discovery.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1093\/femsre\/fuad048","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,19]],"date-time":"2023-08-19T01:37:20Z","timestamp":1692409040000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":13,"title":["<i>Praemonitus praemunitus<\/i>: can we forecast and prepare for future viral disease outbreaks?"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"47","author":[{"given":"Zoe","family":"Sessions","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tesia","family":"Bobrowski","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Holli-Joi","family":"Martin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jon-Michael T","family":"Beasley","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Aneri","family":"Kothari","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Trevor","family":"Phares","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"},{"name":"School of Chemistry, University of Louisville , 2320 S Brook St, Louisville, KY 40208 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Michael","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Vinicius M","family":"Alves","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Marcus T","family":"Scotti","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Federal University of Paraiba , Campus I Lot. Cidade Universitaria, PB, 58051-900 , Brazil"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nathaniel J","family":"Moorman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of North Carolina , 116 Manning Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ralph","family":"Baric","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina , 401 Pittsboro St, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3802-8896","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Alexander","family":"Tropsha","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4616-7036","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Eugene N","family":"Muratov","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory for Molecular Modeling, Division of Chemical Biology and Medicinal Chemistry, UNC Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina , 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 , United States"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,18]]},"reference":[{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1038\/s41426-018-0163-5","article-title":"Mayaro: an emerging viral threat?","volume":"7","author":"Acosta-Ampudia","year":"2018","journal-title":"Emerg Microbes Infect"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib13","volume-title":"What's Next? Predicting The Frequency and Scale of Future Pandemics","author":"Agyarko","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1145\/3381014","article-title":"FluSense","volume":"4","author":"Al\u00a0Hossain","year":"2020","journal-title":"Proc ACM Interact Mob Wearable Ubiquitous Technol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"744","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jiph.2016.09.007","article-title":"Building predictive models for MERS-CoV infections using data mining techniques","volume":"9","author":"Al-Turaiki","year":"2016","journal-title":"J Infect Publ Health"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1483","DOI":"10.1038\/s41564-021-00999-5","article-title":"The science of the host\u2013virus network","volume":"6","author":"Albery","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1109\/ICC.2018.8422886","article-title":"EPIC: efficient privacy-preserving contact tracing for infection detection","volume-title":"Proceedings of the 2018 IEEE International Conference on Communications (ICC)","author":"Altuwaiyan","year":"2018"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib215_1693915124748","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"574","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1961.10.574","article-title":"Oropouche virus: a new human disease agent from Trinidad, West Indies","volume":"10","author":"Anderson","year":"1961","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1012","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1957.6.1012","article-title":"Mayaro virus: a new human disease agent","volume":"6","author":"Anderson","year":"1957","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib19","article-title":"Virus Outbreak Simulator for The US","author":"Andrews","year":"2019"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib20","first-page":"1947","article-title":"Infectious disease and climate change: detecting contributing factors and predicting future outbreaks","volume-title":"Proceedings of the 1997 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Proceedings. Remote Sensing \u2013 A Scientific Vision for Sustainable Development, IGARSS'97","author":"Andrick","year":"1997"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e01875","DOI":"10.1128\/JCM.01875-17","article-title":"Nipah Virus Infection","volume":"56","author":"Ang","year":"2018","journal-title":"J Clin Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"326","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scs.2018.04.014","article-title":"Privacy preserving data by conceptualizing smart cities using MIDR-Angelization","volume":"40","author":"Anjum","year":"2018","journal-title":"Sustain Cities Soc"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib23","article-title":"Omicron variant may end up saving lives","author":"Arnott","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"50","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epidem.2017.02.009","article-title":"Forecasting Ebola with a regression transmission model","volume":"22","author":"Asher","year":"2018","journal-title":"Epidemics"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib36","article-title":"Bolivian hospitals under strain as dengue kills dozens","author":"Associated Press","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib25","article-title":"Outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics\u2014what you need to know","author":"Association of Professionals in Infection Control and Epidemiology, APIC","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"912","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1306.061114","article-title":"Reemergence of Oropouche fever, Northern Brazil","volume":"13","author":"Azevedo","year":"2007","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"193","DOI":"10.1038\/s41579-021-00639-z","article-title":"Infectious disease in an era of global change","volume":"20","author":"Baker","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Rev Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4275","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1120453109","article-title":"Structural dissection of Ebola virus and its assembly determinants using cryo-electron tomography","volume":"109","author":"Bharat","year":"2012","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib31","first-page":"431","article-title":"First confirmed cases of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infection in the United States, updated information on the epidemiology of MERS-CoV infection, and guidance for the public, clinicians, and public health authorities \u2013 May 20","volume":"63","author":"Bialek","year":"2014","journal-title":"Morb Mortal Wkly Rep"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4968","DOI":"10.1021\/acs.jcim.9b00683","article-title":"ROBOKOP KG and KGB: integrated knowledge graphs from federated sources","volume":"59","author":"Bizon","year":"2019","journal-title":"J Chem Inf Model"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4055","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1701410114","article-title":"Emerging infectious diseases: a proactive approach","volume":"114","author":"Bloom","year":"2017","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"873","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ymthe.2020.12.016","article-title":"Synergistic and antagonistic drug combinations against SARS-CoV-2","volume":"29","author":"Bobrowski","year":"2021","journal-title":"Mol Ther"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1604","DOI":"10.1016\/j.drudis.2020.07.008","article-title":"Learning from history: do not flatten the curve of antiviral research!","volume":"25","author":"Bobrowski","year":"2020","journal-title":"Drug Discov Tod"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib2","article-title":"HealthMap","author":"Boston\u2019s Children Hospital Researchers","year":"2006"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"997","DOI":"10.2741\/4630","article-title":"Drug repurposing approaches to fight Dengue virus infection and related diseases","volume":"23","author":"Botta","year":"2018","journal-title":"Front Biosci Landmark"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"D49","DOI":"10.1016\/j.vaccine.2008.07.039","article-title":"The biology of influenza viruses","volume":"26","author":"Bouvier","year":"2008","journal-title":"Vaccine"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib39","first-page":"1","article-title":"The English \u201csweate\u201d (Sudor Anglicus) and Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome \u2013 PubMed","volume":"58","author":"Bridson","year":"2001","journal-title":"Br J Biomed Sci"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0009418","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0009418","article-title":"The epidemiology of Mayaro virus in the Americas: a systematic review and key parameter estimates for outbreak modelling","volume":"15","author":"Caicedo","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"287","DOI":"10.1111\/jrh.12556","article-title":"Rural and urban differences in COVID-19 prevention behaviors","volume":"37","author":"Callaghan","year":"2021","journal-title":"J Rural Health"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"212","DOI":"10.1021\/acs.jcim.7b00589","article-title":"Chemotext: a publicly available web server for mining drug\u2013target\u2013disease relationships in PubMed","volume":"58","author":"Capuzzi","year":"2018","journal-title":"J Chem Inf Model"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib43","article-title":"How is the COVID-19 vaccination campaign going in your state?","author":"Carlsen","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib44","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1038\/s41586-022-04788-w","article-title":"Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk","volume":"607","author":"Carlson","year":"2022","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib46","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"872","DOI":"10.1126\/science.aap7463","article-title":"The Global Virome Project","volume":"359","author":"Carroll","year":"2018","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib48","article-title":"1918 pandemic (H1N1 virus)","author":"CDC","year":"2019"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib49","article-title":"Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice","volume-title":"An Introduction to Applied Epidemiology and Biostatistics","author":"CDC","year":"2019","edition":"3rd edn"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib47","article-title":"Zika travel information","author":"CDC"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib50","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2","DOI":"10.1038\/s41928-020-00535-z","article-title":"The past, present and future of digital contact tracing","volume":"4","author":"Cebrian","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Electron"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib59","article-title":"2022\u00a0U.S. Monkeypox outbreak","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)","year":"\u00a02022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib56","article-title":"Dengue around the World","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib57","article-title":"Ebola treatments","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib51","article-title":"Outbreak distribution map, Lassa fever, CDC","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib58","article-title":"Rural communities","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib55","article-title":"Ten years of gains: a look back at progress since the 2009 H1N1 pandemic","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib52","article-title":"Vaccine effectiveness: how well do the flu vaccines work?","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib53","article-title":"What you should know about flu antiviral drugs","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib9","article-title":"Different types of flu vaccines","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, CDC","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib10","article-title":"History of Marburg Virus Disease (MVD) outbreaks, Marburg (Marburg Virus Disease)","author":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, CDC","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib60","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"51","DOI":"10.1016\/B978-0-12-804177-2.00004-X","article-title":"Structure and genotypes of Noroviruses","author":"Chan","year":"2017","journal-title":"The Norovirus"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib61","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5212","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jmb.2020.07.009","article-title":"Mutations strengthened SARS-CoV-2 infectivity","volume":"432","author":"Chen","year":"2020","journal-title":"J Mol Biol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib5","first-page":"12","article-title":"A chronicle on the SARS epidemic","volume-title":"Chin Law Govern","author":"Chinese Law and Government","year":"2014"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib62","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"40","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epidem.2014.09.011","article-title":"Synthesizing data and models for the spread of MERS-CoV, 2013: key role of index cases and hospital transmission","volume":"9","author":"Chowell","year":"2014","journal-title":"Epidemics"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib63","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1049","DOI":"10.3201\/eid2006.140299","article-title":"MERS Coronaviruses in Dromedary Camels, Egypt","volume":"20","author":"Chu","year":"2014","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib64","first-page":"1","article-title":"Introduction: Nipah virus \u2013 discovery and origin","volume":"359","author":"Chua","year":"2012","journal-title":"Curr Top Microbiol Immunol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib66","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"97","DOI":"10.1016\/j.coviro.2016.12.003","article-title":"Nipah virus: transmission of a zoonotic paramyxovirus","volume":"22","author":"Clayton","year":"2017","journal-title":"Curr Opin Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib67","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0007978","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0007978","article-title":"Impact of age-specific immunity on the timing and burden of the next Zika virus outbreak","volume":"13","author":"Counotte","year":"2019","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib69","first-page":"16","article-title":"Oropouche virus: clinical, epidemiological, and molecular aspects of a neglected Orthobunyavirus","volume":"96","author":"da\u00a0Rosa","year":"2017","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib71","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"552","DOI":"10.1016\/j.mib.2005.08.010","article-title":"Recent highlights in the development of new antiviral drugs","volume":"8","author":"De\u00a0Clercq","year":"2005","journal-title":"Curr Opin Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib75","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"375","DOI":"10.2217\/fvl-2019-0051","article-title":"Mayaro virus: a neglected threat could cause the next worldwide viral epidemic","volume":"14","author":"De\u00a0O\u00a0Mota","year":"2019","journal-title":"Fut Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib74","article-title":"Alarming surge in Amazon fires prompts global outcry","author":"Oliveira","year":"2019","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib72","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"63","DOI":"10.3390\/vaccines8010063","article-title":"A review on dengue vaccine development","volume":"8","author":"Deng","year":"2020","journal-title":"Vaccines"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib76","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"509","DOI":"10.1016\/0035-9203(52)90042-4","article-title":"Zika Virus (I). Isolations and serological specificity","volume":"46","author":"Dick","year":"1952","journal-title":"Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib77","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0179057","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0179057","article-title":"Understanding the dynamics of terrorism events with multiple-discipline datasets and machine learning approach","volume":"12","author":"Ding","year":"2017","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib153","article-title":"Marburg virus disease \u2013 Equatorial Guinea","author":"Disease Outbreak News","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib78","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1758","DOI":"10.3201\/eid2509.190143","article-title":"Worldwide reduction in MERS cases and deaths since 2016","volume":"25","author":"Donnelly","year":"2019","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib79","first-page":"333","article-title":"Marburg virus","volume":"10","author":"Dowdle","year":"1976","journal-title":"Bull Pan Am Health Organ"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib80","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"574","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.1961.10.574","article-title":"Oropouche virus: a new human disease agent from Trinidad, West Indies","volume":"10","author":"Downs","year":"1961","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib82","article-title":"Can future epidemics be predicted?","author":"Drake","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib83","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"23","DOI":"10.1038\/nrmicro1323","article-title":"Hendra and Nipah viruses: different and dangerous","volume":"4","author":"Eaton","year":"2006","journal-title":"Nat Rev Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib84","article-title":"Canadian Norovirus outbreak linked to live spot prawns \u2013 eFoodAlert","author":"Entis","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib85","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"540","DOI":"10.1016\/j.bjid.2017.06.002","article-title":"Will Mayaro virus be responsible for the next outbreak of an arthropod-borne virus in Brazil?","volume":"21","author":"Esposito","year":"2017","journal-title":"Braz J Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib217_1693916531572","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0202493","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0202493","article-title":"A SEIR model of influenza A virus infection and reinfection within a farrow-to-finish swine farm","volume":"13","author":"Etbaigha","year":"2018","journal-title":"PLOS ONE"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib86","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"591","DOI":"10.1038\/s41591-021-01301-0","article-title":"Vaccine development for emerging infectious diseases","volume":"27","author":"Excler","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Med"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib87","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"677","DOI":"10.1038\/nri1154","article-title":"Ebola virus: from discovery to vaccine","volume":"3","author":"Feldmann","year":"2003","journal-title":"Nat Rev Immunol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib89","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e388","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000388","article-title":"Risk maps of lassa fever in West Africa","volume":"3","author":"Fichet-Calvet","year":"2009","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib90","first-page":"1","article-title":"Baseline mapping of Oropouche virology, epidemiology, therapeutics, and vaccine research and development","volume":"7","author":"Files","year":"2022","journal-title":"Npj Vacc"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib91","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1421","DOI":"10.1016\/j.watres.2012.12.012","article-title":"A probabilistic model of norovirus disease burden associated with greywater irrigation of home-produced lettuce in Melbourne, Australia","volume":"47","author":"Fiona\u00a0Barker","year":"2013","journal-title":"Water Res"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib92","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0249891","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0249891","article-title":"Mask adherence and rate of COVID-19 across the United States","volume":"16","author":"Fischer","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib93","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"816","DOI":"10.1016\/S1473-3099(20)30160-2","article-title":"Safety and immunogenicity of a candidate Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus viral-vectored vaccine: a dose-escalation, open-label, non-randomised, uncontrolled, phase 1 trial","volume":"20","author":"Folegatti","year":"2020","journal-title":"Lancet Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib94","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.2200065119","article-title":"A recombinant VSV-vectored vaccine rapidly protects nonhuman primates against lethal Nipah virus disease","volume":"119","author":"Foster","year":"2022","journal-title":"Proc Natl Acad Sci USA"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib96","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-022-28802-x","article-title":"Structural insight into Marburg virus nucleoprotein\u2013RNA complex formation","volume":"13","author":"Fujita-Fujiharu","year":"2022","journal-title":"Nat Commun"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib97","volume-title":"The Coming Plague: Newly Emerging Diseases in a World Out of Balance","author":"Garrett","year":"1994"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib98","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"NEJMp2003762","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMp2003762","article-title":"Responding to Covid-19\u2014a once-in-a-century pandemic?","volume":"382","author":"Gates","year":"2020","journal-title":"N Engl J Med"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib99","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"53","DOI":"10.5694\/j.1326-5377.1971.tb50407.x","article-title":"Did the Asian virus protect us from Hong Kong influenza?","volume":"2","author":"Gill","year":"1971","journal-title":"Med J Aust"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"242","DOI":"10.5694\/j.1326-5377.1972.tb47264.x","article-title":"The incidence of A2-Hong Kong infections in blood donors during the winter of 1970","volume":"2","author":"Gill","year":"1972","journal-title":"Med J Aust"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib101","article-title":"Shutdown of PREDICT infectious disease program challenged by senators Warren and King","author":"Global Biodefense Staff","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib102","article-title":"Exposure Notifications: using technology to help public health authorities fight COVID19","author":"Google","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib103","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"365","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asej.2016.01.012","article-title":"A review on application of data mining techniques to combat natural disasters","volume":"9","author":"Goswami","year":"2018","journal-title":"Ain Shams Eng J"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib104","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"185","DOI":"10.1002\/path.4454","article-title":"Molecular pathology of emerging coronavirus infections","volume":"235","author":"Gralinski","year":"2015","journal-title":"J Pathol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib106","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S860","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/jix451","article-title":"History and emergence of Zika virus","volume":"216","author":"Gubler","year":"2017","journal-title":"J Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib105","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"480","DOI":"10.1128\/CMR.11.3.480","article-title":"Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever","volume":"11","author":"Gubler","year":"1998","journal-title":"Clin Microbiol Rev"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib107","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"g6305","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.g6305","article-title":"Fifteen countries are at risk of Ebola outbreak, says WHO","volume":"349","author":"Gulland","year":"2014","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib108","first-page":"e01127","article-title":"Evolutionary dynamics of Oropouche virus in South America","volume":"94","author":"Gutierrez","year":"2019","journal-title":"J Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib109","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"100371","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epidem.2019.100371","article-title":"Accurate forecasts of the effectiveness of interventions against Ebola may require models that account for variations in symptoms during infection","volume":"29","author":"Hart","year":"2019","journal-title":"Epidemics"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib110","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13793","DOI":"10.1128\/JVI.78.24.13793-13803.2004","article-title":"Replicon system for Lassa virus","volume":"78","author":"Hass","year":"2004","journal-title":"J Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib111","first-page":"1631","article-title":"Hantavirus structure\u2013molecular interactions behind the scene","volume-title":"J Gen Virol","author":"Hepojoki","year":"2012"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib112","article-title":"Bolivia: hantavirus health alert issued for Palos Blancos","author":"Herriman","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib113","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S12","DOI":"10.26719\/2013.19.supp1.S12","article-title":"Novel coronavirus infections in Jordan, April 2012: epidemiological findings from a retrospective investigation","volume":"19","author":"Hijawi","year":"2013","journal-title":"East Mediterr Health J"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib114","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"468","DOI":"10.1021\/acsptsci.2c00049","article-title":"Allosteric binders of ACE2 are promising anti-SARS-CoV-2 agents","volume":"5","author":"Hochuli","year":"2022","journal-title":"ACS Pharmacol Transl Sci"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib115","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"307","DOI":"10.1136\/oem.2008.044966","article-title":"Dengue fever and El Nino\/Southern oscillation in Queensland, Australia: a time series predictive model","volume":"67","author":"Hu","year":"2010","journal-title":"Occup Environ Med"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib116","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0246548","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0246548","article-title":"Urban-rural differences in COVID-19 exposures and outcomes in the South: a preliminary analysis of South Carolina","volume":"16","author":"Huang","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib118","article-title":"COVID-19 projections","author":"Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib119","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"465","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/kwp394","article-title":"Estimates of the transmissibility of the 1968 (Hong Kong) influenza pandemic: evidence of increased transmissibility between successive waves","volume":"171","author":"Jackson","year":"2010","journal-title":"Am J Epidemiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1007\/s10708-022-10607-6","article-title":"Economic globalization and the COVID-19 pandemic: global spread and inequalities","volume":"88","author":"Jeanne","year":"2022","journal-title":"GeoJournal"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib121","article-title":"Zika: Delhi gets first confirmed Zika case, surveillance up","author":"Jha","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib122","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"32","DOI":"10.1007\/s12250-016-3899-x","article-title":"Hantavirus infection: a global zoonotic challenge","volume":"32","author":"Jiang","year":"2017","journal-title":"Virol Sin"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib123","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"412","DOI":"10.1128\/CMR.00062-09","article-title":"A global perspective on hantavirus ecology, epidemiology, and disease","volume":"23","author":"Jonsson","year":"2010","journal-title":"Clin Microbiol Rev"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib124","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1075","DOI":"10.1128\/jvi.10.5.1075-1081.1972","article-title":"Visualization by immune electron microscopy of a 27-nm particle associated with acute infectious nonbacterial gastroenteritis","volume":"10","author":"Kapikian","year":"1972","journal-title":"J Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib126","article-title":"5 Things To Know About the Delta Variant","author":"Katella","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib127","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"80","DOI":"10.1016\/j.antiviral.2014.02.012","article-title":"Treatment of norovirus infections: moving antivirals from the bench to the bedside","volume":"105","author":"Kaufman","year":"2014","journal-title":"Antiviral Res"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib128","first-page":"28","article-title":"Preparing for the next influenza outbreak \u2013 or (inevitably) pandemic","volume":"12","author":"Keavey","year":"1999","journal-title":"J Am Acad Phys Assist"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib129","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"174","DOI":"10.1089\/vim.2017.0141","article-title":"Influenza virus: dealing with a drifting and shifting pathogen","volume":"31","author":"Kim","year":"2018","journal-title":"Viral Immunol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib130","first-page":"1","article-title":"Adenoviral-vectored Mayaro and Chikungunya virus vaccine candidates afford partial cross-protection from lethal challenge in A129 mouse model","volume":"11","author":"Kroon\u00a0Campos","year":"2020","journal-title":"Front Immunol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib131","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"717","DOI":"10.1016\/S0092-8674(02)00660-8","article-title":"Structure of dengue virus: implications for flavivirus organization, maturation, and fusion","volume":"108","author":"Kuhn","year":"2002","journal-title":"Cell"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib132","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"20190658","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2019.0658","article-title":"Correction to \u2018Long-term wildlife mortality surveillance in northern Congo: a model for the detection of Ebola virus disease epizootics.\u2019","volume":"374","author":"Kuisma","year":"2019","journal-title":"Phil Trans R Soc B"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib133","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1128\/CMR.00168-19","article-title":"Host-directed antiviral therapy","volume":"33","author":"Kumar","year":"2020","journal-title":"Clin Microbiol Rev"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib134","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3390\/microorganisms9040734","article-title":"Repurposing drugs for mayaro virus: identification of eidd-1931, favipiravir and suramin as mayaro virus inhibitors","volume":"9","author":"Langendries","year":"2021","journal-title":"Microorganisms"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib135","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"298","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/137.3.298","article-title":"Isolation of the etiologic agent of Korean hemorrhagic fever","volume":"137","author":"Lee","year":"1978","journal-title":"J Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib136","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"610","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268806007217","article-title":"Understanding the dynamics of Ebola epidemics","volume":"135","author":"Legrand","year":"2007","journal-title":"Epidemiol Infect"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib137","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"387","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1092528","article-title":"Multiple Ebola virus transmission events and rapid decline of Central African wildlife","volume":"303","author":"Leroy","year":"2004","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib138","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1189","DOI":"10.1016\/S1473-3099(14)70995-8","article-title":"Dynamics and control of Ebola virus transmission in Montserrado, Liberia: a mathematical modelling analysis","volume":"14","author":"Lewnard","year":"2014","journal-title":"Lancet Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib218_1693916721473","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e78618","DOI":"10.7554\/eLife.78618","article-title":"Vaccination decreases the risk of influenza A virus reassortment but not genetic variation in pigs","volume":"11","author":"Li","year":"2022","journal-title":"Elife"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib139","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"104","DOI":"10.1186\/s12929-020-00695-2","article-title":"Coronavirus vaccine development: from SARS and MERS to COVID-19","volume":"27","author":"Li","year":"2020","journal-title":"J Biomed Sci"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib141","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2989","DOI":"10.3389\/fmicb.2019.02989","article-title":"Vaccines and therapeutics against hantaviruses","volume":"10","author":"Liu","year":"2020","journal-title":"Front Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib143","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"693","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2019.02.026","article-title":"Climate change may enable Aedes aegypti infestation in major European cities by 2100","volume":"172","author":"Liu-Helmersson","year":"2019","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib145","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"380","DOI":"10.1002\/jmv.24345","article-title":"Origin and evolution of Nipah virus","volume":"88","author":"Lo\u00a0Presti","year":"2016","journal-title":"J Med Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib144","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"104637","DOI":"10.1016\/j.antiviral.2019.104637","article-title":"Antiviral activity of the FDA-approved drug candesartan cilexetil against Zika virus infection","volume":"172","author":"Loe","year":"2019","journal-title":"Antiviral Res"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib146","article-title":"WHO says delta is the fastest and fittest Covid variant and will \u2018pick off\u2019 most vulnerable","author":"Lovelace","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib147","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"864","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.5549","article-title":"The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil","volume":"32","author":"Lowe","year":"2013","journal-title":"Statist Med"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib148","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"57","DOI":"10.1038\/nature13087","article-title":"A predictive fitness model for influenza","volume":"507","author":"\u0141uksza","year":"2014","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib149","first-page":"158","article-title":"The pig as a mixing vessel for influenza viruses: human and veterinary implications","volume":"3","author":"Ma","year":"2008","journal-title":"J Mol Genet Med"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib151","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"656","DOI":"10.1038\/d41586-022-02175-z","article-title":"New \u2018Langya\u2019 virus identified in China: what scientists know so far","volume":"608","author":"Mallapaty","year":"2022","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib152","first-page":"294","article-title":"Epidemic of A2 Hong-Kong influenza in Montpellier (winter 1969-70)","volume":"79","author":"Mandin","year":"1971","journal-title":"Presse Med"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib154","first-page":"105620","article-title":"Small Molecule Antiviral Compound Collection (SMACC): a database to support the discovery of broad-spectrum antiviral drug molecules","volume-title":"Antiviral Res","author":"Martin","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib155","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4538","DOI":"10.3389\/fimmu.2021.774026","article-title":"Single dose of a VSV-based vaccine rapidly protects macaques from Marburg virus disease","volume":"12","author":"Marzi","year":"2021","journal-title":"Front Immunol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib156","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"105360","DOI":"10.1016\/j.antiviral.2022.105360","article-title":"Conserved coronavirus proteins as targets of broad-spectrum antivirals","volume":"204","author":"Melo-Filho","year":"2022","journal-title":"Antiviral Res"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib158","first-page":"1","volume":"63","author":"Meltzer","year":"2014","journal-title":"Uppl"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib159","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1063","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(19)33221-0","article-title":"Middle East respiratory syndrome","volume":"395","author":"Memish","year":"2020","journal-title":"Lancet North Am Ed"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"77","DOI":"10.1016\/j.coviro.2019.06.005","article-title":"A short history of Lassa fever: the first 10\u201315 years after discovery","volume":"37","author":"Monath","year":"2019","journal-title":"Curr Opin Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib161","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1956","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(12)61684-5","article-title":"Prediction and prevention of the next pandemic zoonosis","volume":"380","author":"Morse","year":"2012","journal-title":"Lancet North Am Ed"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib162","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"247","DOI":"10.1038\/s41562-020-01044-x","article-title":"Tracking and promoting the usage of a COVID-19 contact tracing app","volume":"5","author":"Munzert","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Hum Behav"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib163","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3669","DOI":"10.1681\/ASN.2005050561","article-title":"Hantavirus Infection","volume":"16","author":"Muranyi","year":"2005","journal-title":"J Am Soc Nephrol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib164","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1249","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2021.2828","article-title":"The potential future of the COVID-19 pandemic","volume":"325","author":"Murray","year":"2021","journal-title":"JAMA"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib165","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"309","DOI":"10.1016\/S0065-308X(00)47013-2","article-title":"Forecasting disease risk for increased epidemic preparedness in public health","volume":"47","author":"Myers","year":"2000","journal-title":"Adv Parasitol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib166","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"165878","DOI":"10.1016\/j.bbadis.2020.165878","article-title":"Insights into SARS-CoV-2 genome, structure, evolution, pathogenesis and therapies: structural genomics approach","volume":"1866","author":"Naqvi","year":"2020","journal-title":"Biochim Biophys Acta Mol Basis Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib167","article-title":"Chronology of Marburg hemorrhagic fever outbreaks","author":"National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases (NCEZID)","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib168","article-title":"Influenza treatment","author":"National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)","year":"2017"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib169","first-page":"27060","article-title":"How urbanization affects the epidemiology of emerging infectious diseases","volume":"5","author":"Neiderud","year":"2015","journal-title":"Infect Ecol Epidemiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib193","article-title":"Safety tolerability and immunogenicity of INO-4700 for MERS-CoV in healthy volunteers \u2013 ClinicalTrials.gov","author":"NIH US National Library of Medicine","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib191","article-title":"Safety and immunogenicity of the candidate vaccine MVA-MERS-S_DF-1 against MERS \u2013 ClinicalTrials.gov","author":"NIH US National Library of Medicine","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib242","article-title":"Zika virus vaccines","author":"NIH: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases","year":"2018"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib170","article-title":"Omicron could be the beginning of the end of the COVID-19 pandemic","author":"Park","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib172","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"114","DOI":"10.1016\/j.actatropica.2016.06.012","article-title":"Geographic potential of disease caused by Ebola and Marburg viruses in Africa","volume":"162","author":"Peterson","year":"2016","journal-title":"Acta Trop"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib171","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"NP824","DOI":"10.1177\/1010539512471965","article-title":"Mapping risk of Nipah virus transmission across Asia and across Bangladesh","volume":"27","author":"Peterson","year":"2015","journal-title":"Asia Pac J Pub Health"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib173","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.7554\/eLife.04395","article-title":"Mapping the zoonotic niche of Ebola virus disease in Africa","volume":"3","author":"Pigott","year":"2014","journal-title":"eLife"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib174","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"366","DOI":"10.1093\/trstmh\/trv024","article-title":"Mapping the zoonotic niche of Marburg virus disease in Africa","volume":"109","author":"Pigott","year":"2015","journal-title":"Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib175","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"60","DOI":"10.3389\/fimmu.2019.00060","article-title":"Repurposing of drugs as novel influenza inhibitors from clinical gene expression infection signatures","volume":"10","author":"Pizzorno","year":"2019","journal-title":"Front Immunol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib176","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"20180276","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2018.0276","article-title":"Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens","volume":"374","author":"Polonsky","year":"2019","journal-title":"Phil Trans R Soc B"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib177","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"572","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2672.2001.01492.x","article-title":"A history of influenza","volume":"91","author":"Potter","year":"2001","journal-title":"J Appl Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib179","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"7454","DOI":"10.1021\/acsomega.0c05996","article-title":"Repurposing the Ebola and Marburg virus inhibitors Tilorone, Quinacrine, and Pyronaridine: in vitro activity against SARS-CoV-2 and potential mechanisms","volume":"6","author":"Puhl","year":"2021","journal-title":"ACS Omega"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib181","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"339","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jngse.2018.07.019","article-title":"Tracing and prediction analysis of an urban pipeline leakage accident based on the catastrophe DBN model","volume":"57","author":"Qiu","year":"2018","journal-title":"J Nat Gas Sci Eng"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib182","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e3143","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0003143","article-title":"A new approach for monitoring Ebolavirus in wild great apes","volume":"8","author":"Reed","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib183","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4470","DOI":"10.1016\/j.vaccine.2017.04.082","article-title":"AIDS, Avian flu, SARS, MERS, Ebola, Zika\u2026 what next?","volume":"35","author":"Reperant","year":"2017","journal-title":"Vaccine"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib205","article-title":"World must be better prepared for next pandemic, says WHO boss","author":"Reuters Staff","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib216_1693916287214","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e106177","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0106177","article-title":"Mathematical modeling of influenza A virus dynamics within swine farms and the effects of vaccination","volume":"9","author":"Reynolds","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLOS ONE"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib184","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-021-23400-9","article-title":"Cryo-EM structure of the mature and infective Mayaro virus at 4.4\u2009\u00c5 resolution reveals features of arthritogenic alphaviruses","volume":"12","author":"Ribeiro-Filho","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Commun"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib185","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"693","DOI":"10.1001\/jamadermatol.2016.1635","article-title":"Zika virus","volume":"152","author":"Robinson","year":"2016","journal-title":"JAMA Dermatol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib186","article-title":"Infectious agents","volume-title":"CDC Yellow Book 2020","author":"Roguski","year":"2017"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib188","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1696","DOI":"10.3201\/eid2409.180233","article-title":"Use of Favipiravir to treat Lassa virus infection in macaques","volume":"24","author":"Rosenke","year":"2018","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib189","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"283","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1102.040533","article-title":"Wild animal mortality monitoring and human ebola outbreaks, Gabon and Republic of Congo, 2001\u20132003","volume":"11","author":"Rouquet","year":"2005","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib190","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"68","DOI":"10.1111\/tbed.12369","article-title":"Review of the current status of relevant zoonotic pathogens in wild swine (Sus scrofa) populations: changes modulating the risk of transmission to humans","volume":"64","author":"Ruiz-Fons","year":"2017","journal-title":"Transbound Emerg Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib194","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"205","DOI":"10.1016\/j.coviro.2013.01.001","article-title":"Animal models for highly pathogenic emerging viruses","volume":"3","author":"Safronetz","year":"2013","journal-title":"Curr Opin Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"175","DOI":"10.3390\/v10040175","article-title":"Oropouche fever: a review","volume":"10","author":"Sakkas","year":"2018","journal-title":"Viruses"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib196","first-page":"713","article-title":"Hong Kong influenza in the Sudan","volume":"44","author":"Salim","year":"1971","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib197","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"584","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2012.11-0770","article-title":"The history of dengue outbreaks in the Americas","volume":"87","author":"San\u00a0Mart\u00edn","year":"2012","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib198","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0008065","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0008065","article-title":"A realistic two-strain model for MERS-CoV infection uncovers the high risk for epidemic propagation","volume":"14","author":"Sardar","year":"2020","journal-title":"PLoS Negl Trop Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib199","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"46","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268806006595","article-title":"Predicting the emergence of human hantavirus disease using a combination of viral dynamics and rodent demographic patterns","volume":"135","author":"Sauvage","year":"2007","journal-title":"Epidemiol Infect"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib200","first-page":"306","article-title":"Listen to my heart? How privacy concerns shape users\u2019 acceptance of e-health technologies","volume-title":"Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Wireless and Mobile Computing, Networking and Communications (WiMob)","author":"Schomakers","year":"2019"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib202","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S131","DOI":"10.1086\/520551","article-title":"Forty years of Marburg virus","volume":"196","author":"Slenczka","year":"2007","journal-title":"J Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib203","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"66","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(00)78541-2","article-title":"A virus obtained from influenza patients","volume":"222","author":"Smith","year":"1933","journal-title":"Lancet North Am Ed"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib204","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"100728","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jemep.2021.100728","article-title":"Epidemics and pandemics: is human overpopulation the elephant in the room?","volume":"19","author":"Spernovasilis","year":"2021","journal-title":"Ethics Med Pub Health"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib207","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fmicb.2019.00116","article-title":"Predicting directions of changes in genotype proportions between norovirus seasons in Japan","volume":"10","author":"Suzuki","year":"2019","journal-title":"Front Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib208","first-page":"S13","article-title":"Imported dengue fever\/dengue hemorrhagic fever cases in Japan","volume":"39","author":"Takasaki","year":"2011","journal-title":"TropMedHealth"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib209","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1641","DOI":"10.3390\/pathogens10121641","article-title":"Norovirus vaccines: current clinical development and challenges","volume":"10","author":"Tan","year":"2021","journal-title":"Pathogens"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib210","first-page":"16","article-title":"Influenza: the once and future pandemic","volume":"125","author":"Taubenberger","year":"2010","journal-title":"Pub Health Rep"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib211","article-title":"Urban Americans more likely to follow Covid-19 prevention behaviors than rural Americans","author":"Texas A&M University","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"97","DOI":"10.1016\/S1473-3099(13)70016-1","volume":"13","author":"The inexorable progress of norovirus","year":"2013","journal-title":"Lancet Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib212","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"175","DOI":"10.1038\/d41586-020-02341-1","article-title":"Why deforestation and extinctions make pandemics more likely","volume":"584","author":"Tollefson","year":"2020","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib213","article-title":"FG deploys response teams as Lassa fever kills 153","author":"Tolu-Kolawole","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib214","article-title":"Coronavirus (COVID-19) drugs","author":"U.S. Food & Drug Administration (FDA)","year":"2023"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib178","article-title":"PREDICT","author":"Univeristy of California, Davis","year":"2009"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib68","article-title":"COVID-19 vaccines","author":"US Food and Drug Administration, FDA","year":"2022"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib192","article-title":"Safety tolerability and immunogenicity of INO-4500 in healthy volunteers \u2013 ClinicalTrials.gov","author":"US National Library of Medicine","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib215","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"508","DOI":"10.1186\/s13071-020-04354-1","article-title":"The Mayaro virus and its potential epidemiological consequences in Colombia: an exploratory biomathematics analysis","volume":"13","author":"Valencia-Mar\u00edn","year":"2020","journal-title":"Parasit Vectors"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib217","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"540","DOI":"10.1186\/s13071-020-04419-1","article-title":"No evidence for sylvatic cycles of chikungunya, dengue and Zika viruses in African green monkeys (Chlorocebus aethiops sabaeus) on St. Kitts, West Indies","volume":"13","author":"Valentine","year":"2020","journal-title":"Parasit Vectors"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib218","article-title":"Genomic characterization of a newly discovered coronavirus associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome in humans","volume":"3","author":"Van\u00a0Boheemen","year":"2012","journal-title":"mBio"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib219","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"598","DOI":"10.1002\/jmv.2078","article-title":"Epidemic of jungle yellow fever in Brazil, 2000: implications of climatic alterations in disease spread","volume":"65","author":"Vasconcelos","year":"2001","journal-title":"J Med Virol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib220","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"152","DOI":"10.3389\/fcimb.2021.580532","article-title":"Chloroquine, an anti-malaria drug as effective prevention for hantavirus infections","volume":"11","author":"Vergote","year":"2021","journal-title":"Front Cell Infect Microbiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib221","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"592","DOI":"10.3201\/eid2104.141073","article-title":"Norovirus genotype profiles associated with foodborne transmission, 1999\u20132012","volume":"21","author":"Verhoef","year":"2015","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib219_1693917428736","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"240","DOI":"10.1590\/S1415-790X2013000200002","article-title":"The ocurrence of dengue and weather changes in Brazil: a systematic review","volume":"16","author":"Viana","year":"2013","journal-title":"Rev Bras Epidemiol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib222","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epidem.2017.08.002","article-title":"The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: synthesis and lessons learnt","volume":"22","author":"Viboud","year":"2018","journal-title":"Epidemics"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib223","first-page":"1","article-title":"Zika virus genome biology and molecular pathogenesis","volume":"6","author":"Wang","year":"2017","journal-title":"Emerg Microbes Infect"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib224","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"627","DOI":"10.1289\/ehp.1509764","article-title":"Modeling and prediction of oyster norovirus outbreaks along Gulf of Mexico coast","volume":"124","author":"Wang","year":"2016","journal-title":"Environ Health Perspect"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib225","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"185","DOI":"10.1038\/s41392-020-00302-8","article-title":"Profiling and characterization of SARS-CoV-2 mutants\u2019 infectivity and antigenicity","volume":"5","author":"Wang","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sig Transduct Target Ther"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib227","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"780","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-021-21034-5","article-title":"Predicting mammalian hosts in which novel coronaviruses can be generated","volume":"12","author":"Wardeh","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat Commun"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib3","article-title":"Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) multi-country outbreak - Update 6","author":"WHO","year":"2009"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib229","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"160018","DOI":"10.1038\/sdata.2016.18","article-title":"The FAIR Guiding Principles for scientific data management and stewardship","volume":"3","author":"Wilkinson","year":"2016","journal-title":"Sci Data"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e3001135","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pbio.3001135","article-title":"How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?","volume":"19","author":"Wille","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS Biol"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib231","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e1010078","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.ppat.1010078","article-title":"Current state of Ebola virus vaccines: a snapshot","volume":"17","author":"Woolsey","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS Pathog"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib6","article-title":"Oropouche virus disease \u2013 French Guiana, France","author":"World Health Organization","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib7","article-title":"Mayaro virus disease \u2013 French Guiana, France","author":"World Health Organization","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib8","article-title":"Ebola virus disease: vaccines","author":"World Health Organization","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib233","article-title":"Ebola Outbreak 2021\u2013 N'Zerekore, Guinea","author":"World Health Organization","year":"2021"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib234","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"951","DOI":"10.1126\/science.abp8715","article-title":"The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic","volume":"377","author":"Worobey","year":"2022","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib236","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"226","DOI":"10.1016\/S1672-0229(03)01028-3","article-title":"Genome organization of the SARS-CoV","volume":"1","author":"Xu","year":"2003","journal-title":"Genomics Proteomics Bioinformatics"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib237","first-page":"14","article-title":"Nipah virus outbreak in Kerala State, India amidst of COVID-19 pandemic","volume":"10","author":"Yadav","year":"2022","journal-title":"Front Pub Health"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib238","first-page":"2697","article-title":"Tempel: time-series mutation prediction of influenza A viruses via attention-based recurrent neural networks","volume-title":"Bioinformatics","author":"Yin","year":"2020"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib240","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1186\/s40249-015-0055-z","article-title":"Possible FDA-approved drugs to treat Ebola virus infection","volume":"4","author":"Yuan","year":"2015","journal-title":"Infect Dis Poverty"},{"key":"2023102716230357200_bib241","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3262","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-019-39871-2","article-title":"Predicting seasonal influenza epidemics using cross-hemisphere influenza surveillance data and local internet query data","volume":"9","author":"Zhang","year":"2019","journal-title":"Sci Rep"}],"container-title":["FEMS Microbiology Reviews"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/femsre\/advance-article-pdf\/doi\/10.1093\/femsre\/fuad048\/51172713\/fuad048.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"am","intended-application":"syndication"},{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/femsre\/article-pdf\/47\/5\/fuad048\/52633554\/fuad048.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"syndication"},{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/femsre\/article-pdf\/47\/5\/fuad048\/52633554\/fuad048.pdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,27]],"date-time":"2023-10-27T17:34:49Z","timestamp":1698428089000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/femsre\/article\/doi\/10.1093\/femsre\/fuad048\/7246058"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,18]]},"references-count":219,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,5]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/femsre\/fuad048","relation":{},"ISSN":["1574-6976"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1574-6976","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published-other":{"date-parts":[[2023,9]]},"published":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,18]]},"article-number":"fuad048"}}