{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,23]],"date-time":"2026-07-23T10:03:27Z","timestamp":1784801007676,"version":"3.55.0"},"reference-count":32,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"3","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2015,5,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Objective Markers of illness severity are increasingly captured in emergency department (ED) electronic systems, but their value for surveillance is not known. We assessed the value of age, triage score, and disposition data from ED electronic records for predicting influenza-related hospitalizations.<\/jats:p>\n               <jats:p>Materials and Methods From June 2006 to January 2011, weekly counts of pneumonia and influenza (P&amp;I) hospitalizations from five Montreal hospitals were modeled using negative binomial regression. Over lead times of 0\u20135 weeks, we assessed the predictive ability of weekly counts of 1) total ED visits, 2) ED visits with influenza-like illness (ILI), and 3) ED visits with ILI stratified by age, triage score, or disposition. Models were adjusted for secular trends, seasonality, and autocorrelation. Model fit was assessed using Akaike information criterion, and predictive accuracy using the mean absolute scaled error (MASE).<\/jats:p>\n               <jats:p>Results Predictive accuracy for P&amp;I hospitalizations during non-pandemic years was improved when models included visits from patients \u226565 years old and visits resulting in admission\/transfer\/death (MASE of 0.64, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.54\u20130.80) compared to overall ILI visits (0.89, 95% CI 0.69\u20131.10). During the H1N1 pandemic year, including visits from patients &amp;lt;18 years old, visits with high priority triage scores, or visits resulting in admission\/transfer\/death resulted in the best model fit.<\/jats:p>\n               <jats:p>Discussion Age and disposition data improved model fit and moderately reduced the prediction error for P&amp;I hospitalizations; triage score improved model fit only during the pandemic year.<\/jats:p>\n               <jats:p>Conclusion Incorporation of age and severity measures available in ED records can improve ILI surveillance algorithms.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1093\/jamia\/ocu002","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2015,2,28]],"date-time":"2015-02-28T01:22:21Z","timestamp":1425086541000},"page":"688-696","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":3,"title":["Using age, triage score, and disposition data from emergency department electronic records to improve Influenza-like illness surveillance"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"22","author":[{"given":"No\u00e9mie","family":"Savard","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Lucie","family":"B\u00e9dard","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Direction de sant\u00e9 publique de l\u2019Agence de la sant\u00e9 et des services sociaux de Montr\u00e9al, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"},{"name":"Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Montr\u00e9al, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robert","family":"Allard","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"},{"name":"Direction de sant\u00e9 publique de l\u2019Agence de la sant\u00e9 et des services sociaux de Montr\u00e9al, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"David L","family":"Buckeridge","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"},{"name":"Direction de sant\u00e9 publique de l\u2019Agence de la sant\u00e9 et des services sociaux de Montr\u00e9al, Montr\u00e9al, Qu\u00e9bec, Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2015,2,27]]},"reference":[{"key":"2020110613013014300_ocu002-B1","first-page":"93","article-title":"Accuracy versus timeliness for influenza detection: a comparison of hospital syndromic surveillance data with discharge data","volume":"2","author":"Berenbaum","year":"2007","journal-title":"Adv Dis 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