{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,23]],"date-time":"2026-06-23T16:56:10Z","timestamp":1782233770819,"version":"3.54.5"},"reference-count":40,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,23]],"date-time":"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1782172800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":49,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"National Institutes of Health","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["1OT2HL156812-01"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["1OT2HL156812-01"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000060","name":"National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000060","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"National Institutes of Health","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]},{"name":"NIAID and the National Cancer Institute"},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"NIH","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["75N91019D00024"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["75N91019D00024"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"NIH","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["75N91020F00014"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["75N91020F00014"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"NIH","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["75N91020F00039"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["75N91020F00039"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"NIH","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["75N91020F00009"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["75N91020F00009"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000016","name":"Department of Health and Human Services","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000016","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"U.S. Government. The TICO"},{"name":"MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL"},{"name":"UK Research & Innovation","award":["MC_UU_00004\/03"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["MC_UU_00004\/03"]}]},{"name":"UK Research & Innovation","award":["MC_UU_00004\/04"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["MC_UU_00004\/04"]}]},{"name":"UK Research & Innovation","award":["MC_UU_00004\/08"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["MC_UU_00004\/08"]}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001732","name":"Danish National Research Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["126"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["126"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001732","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"the Danish Government"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,5]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Objective<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>To compare differences in risk factors and 90-day mortality prediction from 2 machine learning (ML) models with a previously published non-ML model and investigate their validity in an external cohort.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Materials and methods<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Prospectively collected data from 2 separate randomized controlled trial (RCT) cohorts from 2020 to 2021, the Therapeutics for Inpatients with COVID-19 (TICO\/ACTIV-3) Trial (derivation and internal validation cohort) and the Inpatient Treatment with Anti-Coronavirus Immunoglobulin (ITAC) Trial (external validation cohort) were used. Data were collected from 114 sites in 10 countries (TICO\/ACTIV-3) and 63 sites in 11 countries (ITAC). A ML pipeline including 5 classification models, and 1 survival model was used for risk factor identification and clinical outcome prediction. Risk factors were compared between a ML-based classification model, a ML-based survival model and a previously published Cox model. Performance of the ML-based classification model was compared across TICO\/ACTIV-3 and ITAC.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Results<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>A total of 2625 (TICO\/ACTIV-3) and 579 (ITAC) adults hospitalized for COVID-19 were included. Some overlap of risk factors was identified across models. Five were identified in all models, 3 only in ML models, and 4 only in the non-ML model. The ML model showed good predictive performance in TICO\/ACTIV-3. Internal validation showed no overfitting. Lower model performance was observed in ITAC (\u221215.8%), but performance remained above chance level.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Discussion<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Differences in methods for risk factor identification using ML and non-ML complicates the comparison of results derived from each approach, but using multiple approaches may unveil overlooked risk factors.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Conclusion<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Risk factor identification may benefit from integrating both ML and non-ML methods, but external validation is necessary, even in RCTs.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1093\/jamiaopen\/ooag079","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,6]],"date-time":"2026-05-06T11:44:57Z","timestamp":1778067897000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Comparing risk factors in severe COVID-19 using machine learning and non-machine learning methods: analysis from 2 international randomized controlled trials"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"9","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0873-4127","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Christian","family":"M\u00f8ller Jensen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"CHIP, Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity, and Infections, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9233-1656","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ramtin","family":"Zargari Marandi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CHIP, Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity, and Infections, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3736-6156","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kasper Sommerlund","family":"Moestrup","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CHIP, Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity, and Infections, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3149-597X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Ahmad","family":"Mourad","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine , Durham, NC 27710,","place":["United States"]},{"name":"Duke Clinical Research Institute , Durham, NC 27701,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8337-757X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Alfredo J","family":"Mena Lora","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Illinois Chicago , Chicago, IL 60607,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5815-7359","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Brad T","family":"Sherman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research , Frederick, MD 21701,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5459-9579","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"David M","family":"Vock","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Biostatistics & Health Data Science, University of Minnesota , Minneapolis, MN 55414,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0005-6339-1701","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jacqueline A","family":"Nordwall","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Biostatistics & Health Data Science, University of Minnesota , Minneapolis, MN 55414,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8043-0200","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Joanne M","family":"Carson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales , Sydney, NSW 2052,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1166-1958","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Nathan","family":"Peiffer-Smadja","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Universit\u00e9 Paris Cit\u00e9 et Universit\u00e9 Sorbonne Paris Nord, Inserm, IAME , Paris, 75018,","place":["France"]},{"name":"Infectious and Tropical Diseases Department, Hopital Bichat \u2013 Claude Bernard, AP-HP, Paris, 75018 ,","place":["France"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0922-8824","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Neil R","family":"Aggarwal","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, University of Colorado School of Medicine , Aurora, CO 80045,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6116-555X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Nicole E","family":"Naiman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center , Dallas, TX 75390,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1206-6261","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Samuel M","family":"Brown","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Pulmonary\/Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center , Salt Lake City, UT 84132,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0002-9392-0764","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Thomas W","family":"Barrett","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"VA Portland Health Care System , Portland, OR 97239,","place":["United States"]},{"name":"Oregon Health & Science University , Portland, OR 97239,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3755-4309","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Timothy","family":"Hatlen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Harbor-UCLA Medical Center , Torrance, CA 90502,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3062-0206","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Victoria S","family":"Kj\u00e6rgaard","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CHIP, Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity, and Infections, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1413-2763","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Weizhong","family":"Chang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research , Frederick, MD 21701,","place":["United States"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9323-1371","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Matthew R","family":"Sydes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL , London WC1V 6LJ,","place":["United Kingdom"]},{"name":"Data for R&D, Transformation Directorate, NHS England , London,","place":["United Kingdom"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8901-7850","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jens","family":"Lundgren","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CHIP, Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity, and Infections, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]},{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]},{"name":"Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen N, 2200,","place":["Denmark"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0398-4431","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Tomas O","family":"Jensen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CHIP, Centre of Excellence for Health, Immunity, and Infections, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen \u00d8, 2100,","place":["Denmark"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"name":"for the STRIVE Network and ITAC and TICO Study Groups","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mark N","family":"Polizzotto","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jacqueline","family":"Nordwall","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Abdel G","family":"Babiker","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Andrew","family":"Phillips","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"David M","family":"Vock","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nnakelu","family":"Eriobu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Vivian","family":"Kwaghe","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Roger","family":"Paredes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Lourdes","family":"Mateu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Srikanth","family":"Ramachandruni","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Rajeev","family":"Narang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mamta K","family":"Jain","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Susana M","family":"Lazarte","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jason V","family":"Baker","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anne E P","family":"Frosch","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Garyfallia","family":"Poulakou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Konstantinos N","family":"Syrigos","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Gretchen S","family":"Arnoczy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Natalie A","family":"McBride","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Philip A","family":"Robinson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Farjad","family":"Sarafian","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sanjay","family":"Bhagani","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Hassan S","family":"Taha","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Thomas","family":"Benfield","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sean T H","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anastasia","family":"Antoniadou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jens Ulrik St\u00e6hr","family":"Jensen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ioannis","family":"Kalomenidis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Adityo","family":"Susilo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Prasetyo","family":"Hariadi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tomas O","family":"Jensen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jose Luis","family":"Morales-Rull","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Marie","family":"Helleberg","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sreenath","family":"Meegada","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Isik S","family":"Johansen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Daniel","family":"Canario","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Eduardo","family":"Fern\u00e1ndez-Cruz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Simeon","family":"Metallidis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Amish","family":"Shah","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Aki","family":"Sakurai","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nikolaos G","family":"Koulouris","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robin","family":"Trotman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Amy C","family":"Weintrob","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Daria","family":"Podlekareva","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Usman","family":"Hadi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Kathryn M","family":"Lloyd","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Birgit Thorup","family":"R\u00f8ge","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sho","family":"Saito","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Kelly","family":"Sweerus","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jakob J","family":"Malin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Christoph","family":"L\u00fcbbert","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jose","family":"Mu\u00f1oz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Matthew J","family":"Cummings","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Marcelo H","family":"Losso","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Dan","family":"Turner","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Kathryn","family":"Shaw-Saliba","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robin","family":"Dewar","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Helene","family":"Highbarger","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Perrine","family":"Lallemand","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tauseef","family":"Rehman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Norman","family":"Gerry","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Dona","family":"Arlinda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Christina C","family":"Chang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Birgit","family":"Grund","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Michael R","family":"Holbrook","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Horace P","family":"Holley","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Fleur","family":"Hudson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Laura A","family":"McNay","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Daniel D","family":"Murray","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sarah L","family":"Pett","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Megan","family":"Shaughnessy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mary C","family":"Smolskis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Giota","family":"Touloumi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mary E","family":"Wright","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mittie K","family":"Doyle","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sharon","family":"Popik","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Christine","family":"Hall","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Roshan","family":"Ramanathan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Huyen","family":"Cao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Elsa","family":"Mondou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Todd","family":"Willis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Joseph V","family":"Thakuria","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Leman","family":"Yel","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Elizabeth","family":"Higgs","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Virginia L","family":"Kan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jens D","family":"Lundgren","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"James D","family":"Neaton","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"H Clifford","family":"Lane","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,23]]},"reference":[{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"52","DOI":"10.1177\/17407745211049829","article-title":"Design and implementation of an international, multi-arm, multi-stage platform master protocol for trials of novel SARS-CoV-2 antiviral agents: therapeutics for inpatients with COVID-19 (TICO\/ACTIV-3)","volume":"19","author":"Murray","year":"2022","journal-title":"Clin Trials Lond Engl"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1490","DOI":"10.1093\/cid\/ciad780","article-title":"Viral and host factors are associated with mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19","volume":"78","author":"Aggarwal","year":"2024","journal-title":"Clin Infect Dis"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4200","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-021-83784-y","article-title":"Early risk assessment for COVID-19 patients from emergency department data using machine learning","volume":"11","author":"Heldt","year":"2021","journal-title":"Sci Rep"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"785","DOI":"10.1093\/ntr\/ntab223","article-title":"Smoking status and factors associated with COVID-19 In-Hospital mortality among US veterans","volume":"24","author":"Razjouyan","year":"2022","journal-title":"Nicotine Tob Res"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e0243262","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0243262","article-title":"COVID-19 mortality risk assessment: an international multi-center study","volume":"15","author":"Bertsimas","year":"2020","journal-title":"PLoS One."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e70640","DOI":"10.7554\/eLife.70640","article-title":"Early prediction of in-hospital death of COVID-19 patients: a machine-learning model based on age, blood analyses, and chest x-ray score","volume":"10","author":"Garrafa","year":"2021","journal-title":"Elife."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1899","DOI":"10.1016\/j.numecd.2020.07.031","article-title":"Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study","volume":"30","author":"Di Castelnuovo","year":"2020","journal-title":"Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis NMCD"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jemermed.2023.06.012","article-title":"Risk factor analysis and multiple predictive machine learning models for mortality in COVID-19: a multicenter and multi-ethnic cohort study","author":"Shi","year":"2023","journal-title":"J Emerg Med"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1433","DOI":"10.1097\/ACM.0000000000002792","article-title":"An introduction to machine learning for clinicians","volume":"94","author":"Rowe","year":"2019","journal-title":"Acad Med"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"537","DOI":"10.1186\/s13063-021-05489-x","article-title":"The role of machine learning in clinical research: transforming the future of evidence generation","volume":"22","author":"Weissler","year":"2021","journal-title":"Trials."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B11","first-page":"24","article-title":"Prediction of treatment response to antipsychotic drugs for precision medicine approach to schizophrenia: randomized trials and multiomics analysis","volume":"10","author":"Guo","year":"2023","journal-title":"Mil Med Res"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e234198","DOI":"10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2023.4198","article-title":"An unsupervised machine learning approach to evaluating the association of symptom clusters with adverse outcomes among older adults with advanced cancer: a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial","volume":"6","author":"Xu","year":"2023","journal-title":"JAMA Netw Open."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1092","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCRESAHA.117.311312","article-title":"Cardiovascular event prediction by machine learning: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis","volume":"121","author":"Ambale-Venkatesh","year":"2017","journal-title":"Circ Res"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"164","DOI":"10.1126\/science.adg8538","article-title":"Illusory generalizability of clinical prediction models","volume":"383","author":"Chekroud","year":"2024","journal-title":"Science."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2200302","DOI":"10.1002\/bimj.202200302","article-title":"Stability of clinical prediction models developed using statistical or machine learning methods","volume":"65","author":"Riley","year":"2023","journal-title":"Biom J"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e074819","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj-2023-074819","article-title":"Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation","volume":"384","author":"Collins","year":"2024","journal-title":"BMJ."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"530","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(22)00101-5","article-title":"Hyperimmune immunoglobulin for hospitalised patients with COVID-19 (ITAC): a double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3, randomised trial","volume":"399","author":"Polizzotto","year":"2022","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e078378","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj-2023-078378","article-title":"TRIPOD+AI statement: updated guidance for reporting clinical prediction models that use regression or machine learning methods","volume":"385","author":"Collins","year":"2024","journal-title":"BMJ."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"972","DOI":"10.1016\/S2213-2600(22)00215-6","article-title":"Tixagevimab\u2013cilgavimab for treatment of patients hospitalised with COVID-19: a randomised, double-blind, phase 3 trial","volume":"10","author":"Holland","year":"2022","journal-title":"Lancet Respir Med"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","author":"Marandi","year":"2025","DOI":"10.48550\/arXiv.2501.04547"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1010933404324","article-title":"Random forests","volume":"45","author":"Breiman","year":"2001","journal-title":"Mach Learn"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B22","volume-title":"Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems","author":"Ke","year":"2017"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","author":"Dorogush","year":"2018","DOI":"10.48550\/arXiv.1810.11363"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B24","first-page":"2825","article-title":"Scikit-learn: machine learning in python","volume":"12","author":"Pedregosa","year":"2011","journal-title":"J Mach Learn Res"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"301","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9868.2005.00503.x","article-title":"Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net","volume":"67","author":"Zou","year":"2005","journal-title":"J R Stat Soc Ser B Stat Methodol"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"841","DOI":"10.1214\/08-AOAS169","article-title":"Random survival forests","volume":"2","author":"Ishwaran","year":"2008","journal-title":"Ann Appl Stat"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"110234","DOI":"10.1016\/j.knosys.2022.110234","article-title":"SurvSHAP(t): time-dependent explanations of machine learning survival models","volume":"262","author":"Krzyzi\u0144ski","year":"2023","journal-title":"Knowl-Based Syst"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"56","DOI":"10.1038\/s42256-019-0138-9","article-title":"From local explanations to global understanding with explainable AI for trees","volume":"2","author":"Lundberg","year":"2020","journal-title":"Nat Mach Intell"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"428","DOI":"10.1111\/all.14657","article-title":"Risk factors for severe and critically ill COVID-19 patients: a review","volume":"76","author":"Gao","year":"2021","journal-title":"Allergy."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"278","DOI":"10.1186\/s13054-022-04153-3","article-title":"Plasma SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antigen levels are associated with progression to severe disease in hospitalized COVID-19","volume":"26","author":"Wick","year":"2022","journal-title":"Crit Care Lond Engl"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1830","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/jiab445","article-title":"Baseline severe acute respiratory syndrome viral load is associated with coronavirus disease 2019 severity and clinical outcomes: post hoc analyses of a phase 2\/3 trial","volume":"224","author":"Boyapati","year":"2021","journal-title":"J Infect Dis"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"150","DOI":"10.1016\/j.resuscitation.2020.10.039","article-title":"The performance of the national early warning score and national early warning score 2 in hospitalised patients infected by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","volume":"159","author":"Kostakis","year":"2021","journal-title":"Resuscitation."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"293","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rce.2020.10.004","article-title":"The early use of sepsis scores to predict respiratory failure and mortality in non-ICU patients with COVID-19","volume":"222","author":"Lalueza","year":"2022","journal-title":"Rev Clin Esp (Barc)"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"699880","DOI":"10.3389\/fmed.2021.699880","article-title":"The prognostic accuracy of national early warning score 2 on predicting clinical deterioration for patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"8","author":"Zhang","year":"2021","journal-title":"Front Med (Lausanne)"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"589","DOI":"10.1136\/emermed-2020-210624","article-title":"Prognostic value of national early warning scores (NEWS2) and component physiology in hospitalised patients with COVID-19: a multicentre study","volume":"39","author":"Scott","year":"2022","journal-title":"Emerg Med J"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e12967","DOI":"10.1111\/sji.12967","article-title":"Lymphopenia an important immunological abnormality in patients with COVID-19: possible mechanisms","volume":"93","author":"Jafarzadeh","year":"2021","journal-title":"Scand J Immunol"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"67","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-024-10428-7","article-title":"Blood absolute lymphocyte count and trajectory are important in understanding severe COVID-19","volume":"25","author":"Paules","year":"2025","journal-title":"BMC Infect Dis"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"36","DOI":"10.1186\/s40560-020-00453-4","article-title":"Lymphopenia in severe coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"8","author":"Huang","year":"2020","journal-title":"J Intensive Care."},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"163","DOI":"10.1186\/s12874-016-0267-3","article-title":"No rationale for 1 variable per 10 events criterion for binary logistic regression analysis","volume":"16","author":"van Smeden","year":"2016","journal-title":"BMC Med Res Methodol"},{"key":"2026062312363720500_ooag079-B40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"710","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/kwk052","article-title":"Relaxing the rule of ten events per variable in logistic and cox regression","volume":"165","author":"Vittinghoff","year":"2007","journal-title":"Am J Epidemiol"}],"container-title":["JAMIA Open"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jamiaopen\/article-pdf\/9\/3\/ooag079\/68585306\/ooag079.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"syndication"},{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jamiaopen\/article-pdf\/9\/3\/ooag079\/68585306\/ooag079.pdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,23]],"date-time":"2026-06-23T16:36:51Z","timestamp":1782232611000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jamiaopen\/article\/doi\/10.1093\/jamiaopen\/ooag079\/8714031"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,5]]},"references-count":40,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,5]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/jamiaopen\/ooag079","relation":{},"ISSN":["2574-2531"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2574-2531","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published-other":{"date-parts":[[2026,6]]},"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,5]]},"article-number":"ooag079"}}