{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,2]],"date-time":"2025-12-02T18:07:41Z","timestamp":1764698861791,"version":"3.37.3"},"reference-count":32,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,26]],"date-time":"2024-10-26T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1729900800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/pages\/standard-publication-reuse-rights"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100012166","name":"National Key R & D Program of China","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["2022YFD1401105"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2022YFD1401105"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100012166","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,28]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Gynaephora alpherakii (Grum-Grschimailo) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) is a major pest in alpine meadow areas in the Qinghai\u2013Tibetan Plateau (QTP) and causes severe losses in the local livestock production industry. Assessing areas at high risk for G. alpherakii infestation is critical for the effective management of this pest. In this study, an ensemble distribution model was used to analyze areas suitable for G. alpherakii on the QTP. Risk zoning was performed based on the vegetation and environmental conditions in areas with high-occurrence points, and differences between high-occurrence points and other occurrence points were compared. The results revealed that the suitable areas for G. alpherakii on the QTP amounted to 28.27\u2005\u00d7\u2005104 hm2, accounting for 10.94% of the total area of the QTP; the area of high-risk was 19.07\u2005\u00d7\u2005104 hm2, and these areas were located mainly in the eastern part of the QTP. Qinghai Province had the highest risk, accounting for 77% of the total area identified as high-risk. In terms of habitat, G. alpherakii preferred alpine Kobresia meadows, which have abundant sunshine, loose soil, and scarce precipitation. This study supports efforts to manage G. alpherakii outbreaks and contributes to the ecological protection of the QTP.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1093\/jee\/toae251","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,26]],"date-time":"2024-10-26T14:18:21Z","timestamp":1729952301000},"page":"2433-2439","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Risk zoning of <i>Gynaephora alpherakii<\/i> (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) on the Qinghai\u2013Tibetan Plateau"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"117","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0232-4987","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Xuanye","family":"Wen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Biological Disaster Prevention and Control, National Forestry and Grassland Administration , Shenyang ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Ding","family":"Yang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Biological Disaster Prevention and Control, National Forestry and Grassland Administration , Shenyang ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Feng","family":"You","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Biological Disaster Prevention and Control, National Forestry and Grassland Administration , Shenyang ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Xiaopeng","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Gansu Grassland Technical Extension Station , Lanzhou ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Bingmin","family":"Tang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Grassland Station of Qinghai Province , Xining ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Chuanjie","family":"He","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Biological Disaster Prevention and Control, National Forestry and Grassland Administration , Shenyang ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1431-0769","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Rulin","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Sichuan Provincial Rural Economic Information Center , Chengdu ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Bingyu","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Gansu Yasheng Seed Industry Group Seed Research Institute Co., Ltd , Lanzhou ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6758-3472","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Tao","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Biological Disaster Prevention and Control, National Forestry and Grassland Administration , Shenyang ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0000-1355-9688","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Shouquan","family":"Chai","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Biological Disaster Prevention and Control, National Forestry and Grassland Administration , Shenyang ,","place":["China"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,26]]},"reference":[{"issue":"12","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0001","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2049","DOI":"10.3390\/f13122049","article-title":"Observed and predicted geographic distribution of Acer monspessulanum L. using the MaxEnt model in the context of climate change","volume":"13","author":"Aouinti","year":"2022","journal-title":"Forests"},{"issue":"0","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0002","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"203","DOI":"10.1101\/sqb.1957.022.01.021","article-title":"The role of weather in determining the distribution and abundance of animals","volume":"22","author":"Birch","year":"1957","journal-title":"Cold Spring Harb. Symp. Quant. Biol"},{"issue":"7","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0003","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2425","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.13280","article-title":"Unpacking the mechanisms captured by a correlative species distribution model to improve predictions of climate refugia","volume":"22","author":"Briscoe","year":"2016","journal-title":"Global Change Biol"},{"issue":"14","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0004","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2341","DOI":"10.3390\/ani13142341","article-title":"Time to step up conservation: climate change will further reduce the suitable habitats for the vulnerable species marbled polecat (Vormela peregusna)","volume":"13","author":"Cheng","year":"2023","journal-title":"Animals"},{"issue":"8","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0005","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"714","DOI":"10.3390\/insects14080714","article-title":"Evaluation of the effect of the ENSO cycle on the distribution potential of the Genus anastrepha of horticultural importance in the neotropics and panama","volume":"14","author":"Degracia","year":"2023","journal-title":"Insects"},{"issue":"2","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0006","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"671","DOI":"10.1002\/ps.6677","article-title":"Comparing, evaluating and combining statistical species distribution models and CLIMEX to forecast the distributions of emerging crop pests","volume":"78","author":"Early","year":"2022","journal-title":"Pest Manag. Sci"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0007","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"148918","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2021.148918","article-title":"Scenarios of potential vegetation distribution in the different gradient zones of Qinghai-Tibet plateau under future climate change","volume":"796","author":"Fan","year":"2021","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ"},{"issue":"2","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0008","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"245","DOI":"10.1111\/geb.12684","article-title":"Paintings predict the distribution of species, or the challenge of selecting environmental predictors and evaluation statistics","volume":"27","author":"Fourcade","year":"2018","journal-title":"Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0009","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"107943","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agrformet.2020.107943","article-title":"Warming and precipitation addition interact to affect plant spring phenology in alpine meadows on the central Qinghai-Tibetan plateau","volume":"287","author":"Ganjurjav","year":"2020","journal-title":"Agric. For. Meteorol"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0010","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1177307","DOI":"10.3389\/fpls.2023.1177307","article-title":"Priority conservation area of Larix gmelinii under climate change: application of an ensemble modeling","volume":"14","author":"Gao","year":"2023","journal-title":"Front. Plant Sci"},{"issue":"5","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0011","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"839","DOI":"10.1111\/ddi.12892","article-title":"A review of evidence about use and performance of species distribution modelling ensembles like BIOMOD","volume":"25","author":"Hao","year":"2019","journal-title":"Divers. Distrib"},{"issue":"4","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0012","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"657","DOI":"10.1139\/z95-077","article-title":"Winter mortality and the function of larval hibernacula during the 14-year life cycle of an arctic moth, Gynaephora groenlandica","volume":"73","author":"Kukal","year":"2011","journal-title":"Can. J. Zool"},{"issue":"2","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0013","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"405","DOI":"10.1002\/ps.4072","article-title":"Monitoring techniques of the western corn rootworm are the precursor to effective IPM strategies","volume":"72","author":"Lemic","year":"2016","journal-title":"Pest Manag. Sci"},{"issue":"2","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0014","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"594","DOI":"10.3390\/agronomy13020594","article-title":"Mapping of Gynaephora alpherakii inhabitability area in the national park of Qilian mountain, China","volume":"13","author":"Lv","year":"2023","journal-title":"Agronomy"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0015","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"109826","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolmodel.2021.109826","article-title":"Using species distribution models only may underestimate climate change impacts on future marine biodiversity","volume":"464","author":"Moullec","year":"2022","journal-title":"Ecol. Model"},{"issue":"1","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0016","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"95","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev-ento-011118-112147","article-title":"Blueberry IPM: past successes and future challenges","volume":"64","author":"Rodriguez-Saona","year":"2019","journal-title":"Annu. Rev. Entomol"},{"issue":"3","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0017","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"274","DOI":"10.1080\/10705519509540014","article-title":"Multivariate analysis of categorical data: theory","volume":"2","author":"Rose","year":"1995","journal-title":"Struct. Equ. Model"},{"issue":"7","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0018","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e06060","DOI":"10.1111\/ecog.06060","article-title":"Factors influencing transferability in species distribution models","volume":"2022","author":"Rousseau","year":"2022","journal-title":"Ecography"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0019","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"102209","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecoinf.2023.102209","article-title":"Genetic diversity analysis and potential suitable habitat of Chuanminshen violaceum for climate change","volume":"77","author":"Wang","year":"2023","journal-title":"Ecol. Inf"},{"issue":"1","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0020","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.1093\/jee\/toad209","article-title":"Predicting the potential distribution range of Batocera horsfieldi under CMIP6 climate change using the MaxEnt model","volume":"117","author":"Wei","year":"2024","journal-title":"J. Econ. Entomol"},{"issue":"7","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0021","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3128","DOI":"10.1002\/ps.6939","article-title":"Prediction of the potential distribution pattern of the great gerbil (Rhombomys opimus) under climate change based on ensemble modelling","volume":"78","author":"Wen","year":"2022","journal-title":"Pest Manag. Sci"},{"issue":"3","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0022","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e11159","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.11159","article-title":"Can ecological niche models be used to accurately predict the distribution of invasive insects? A case study of Hyphantria cunea in China","volume":"14","author":"Wen","year":"2024","journal-title":"Ecol. Evol"},{"issue":"6","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0023","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1012","DOI":"10.1603\/0013-8746(2006)99[1012:noiasd]2.0.co;2","article-title":"Number of instars and stadium duration of Gynaephora menyuanensis (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) from Qinghai-Tibetan plateau in China","volume":"99","author":"Yan","year":"2006","journal-title":"Ann. Entomol. Soc. Am"},{"issue":"3","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0024","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e01755","DOI":"10.1002\/ecs2.1755","article-title":"N addition suppresses the performance of grassland caterpillars (Gynaephora alpherakjj) by decreasing ground temperature","volume":"8","author":"Yang","year":"2017","journal-title":"Ecosphere"},{"issue":"4","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0025","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"328","DOI":"10.3109\/19401736.2012.760077","article-title":"The complete mitochondrial genome of Gynaephora menyuanensis (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) from the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau","volume":"24","author":"Yuan","year":"2013","journal-title":"Mitochondrial DNA"},{"issue":"6","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0026","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e0127257","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0127257","article-title":"Molecular phylogeny of grassland caterpillars (Lepidoptera: Lymantriinae: Gynaephora) endemic to the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau","volume":"10","author":"Yuan","year":"2015","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"issue":"9","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0027","first-page":"1773","article-title":"Establishment and analysis of key pest control indicators in grasslands in China","volume":"39","author":"Yue","year":"2022","journal-title":"Pratacultural Sci"},{"issue":"2","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0028","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"85","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1440-6055.2009.00690.x","article-title":"The future of IPM: whither or wither","volume":"48","author":"Zalucki","year":"2009","journal-title":"Aust. J. Entomol"},{"issue":"4","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0029","first-page":"638","article-title":"Research status and prospect of grassland caterpillars (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae)","volume":"30","author":"Zhang","year":"2013","journal-title":"Pratacultural Sci"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0030","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"108256","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2021.108256","article-title":"Analysis of the distribution pattern of Chinese Ziziphus jujuba under climate change based on optimized biomod2 and MaxEnt models","volume":"132","author":"Zhao","year":"2021","journal-title":"Ecol. Indic"},{"issue":"8","key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0031","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2319","DOI":"10.5846\/stxb201410081973","article-title":"Feeding preference of Gynaephora menyuanensis and its relationships with plant carbon and nitrogen contents in an alpine meadow on the Tibetan plateau","volume":"36","author":"Zheng","year":"2016","journal-title":"Acta Ecol. Sin"},{"key":"2024123006110747000_CIT0032","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.11888\/Terre.tpdc.272386","volume-title":"Approximate vegetation restoration map of Qinghai Tibet plateau","author":"Zhou","year":"2022"}],"container-title":["Journal of Economic Entomology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jee\/article-pdf\/117\/6\/2433\/60122983\/toae251.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"syndication"},{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jee\/article-pdf\/117\/6\/2433\/60122983\/toae251.pdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,30]],"date-time":"2024-12-30T06:11:17Z","timestamp":1735539077000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jee\/article\/117\/6\/2433\/7845222"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Yulin","family":"Gao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,26]]},"references-count":32,"journal-issue":{"issue":"6","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,26]]},"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,28]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/jee\/toae251","relation":{},"ISSN":["0022-0493","1938-291X"],"issn-type":[{"type":"print","value":"0022-0493"},{"type":"electronic","value":"1938-291X"}],"subject":[],"published-other":{"date-parts":[[2024,12]]},"published":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,26]]}}}