{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,2]],"date-time":"2025-08-02T14:53:03Z","timestamp":1754146383321,"version":"3.41.2"},"reference-count":46,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"4","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,12]],"date-time":"2025-05-12T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1747008000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000002","name":"National Institutes of Health","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["AI22501"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["AI22501"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000002","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,17]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>In the far western United States, the bacterial agent of Lyme disease, Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato, is primarily transmitted to humans by the nymphal stage of the western black-legged tick, Ixodes pacificus. Predicting nymphal tick abundance would benefit public health but is complicated by the tick\u2019s complex multi-year life cycle and data limitations. To address this, we used readily available climate data, a long-term dataset from northwestern California, and time lags based on the tick\u2019s life cycle. Our model showed that warmer early spring temperatures during non-drought conditions the year prior predicted higher nymphal tick densities, while hot, dry springs the year prior were linked to earlier peaks in their abundance. Incorporating human-induced climate change projections, we predicted earlier peaks of nymphal tick activity over the next century, with the potential for an initial doubling in questing nymph numbers. This approach provides a valuable tool for public health and offers insights into the changing dynamics of Lyme disease ecology in the far-western US.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1093\/jme\/tjaf047","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,12]],"date-time":"2025-05-12T08:12:23Z","timestamp":1747037543000},"page":"938-947","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Spring fever: early spring predicts <i>Ixodes pacificus<\/i> (Acari: Ixodidae) activity in northwestern California"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"62","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5571-5298","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Francesca I","family":"Rubino","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Veterinary Medicine, Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, University of California, Davis , CA ,","place":["USA"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3493-3485","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Emily","family":"Pascoe","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Veterinary Medicine, Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, University of California, Davis , CA ,","place":["USA"]},{"name":"Conservation Genomics Research Unit, Research and Innovation Centre , Fondazione Edmund Mach, Michele all\u2019Adige ,","place":["Italy"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Zachary A","family":"Barrand","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Pathogen and Microbiome Institute, Northern Arizona University , Flagstaff, AZ ,","place":["USA"]}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,12]]},"reference":[{"key":"2025071802364977500_CIT0001","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"181","DOI":"10.1186\/1756-3305-7-181","article-title":"Adverse moisture events predict seasonal abundance of Lyme disease vector ticks (Ixodes scapularis)","volume":"7","author":"Berger","year":"2014","journal-title":"Parasit. 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