{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,28]],"date-time":"2026-10-28T15:32:47Z","timestamp":1793201567405,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":53,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,20]],"date-time":"2026-10-20T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1792454400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":46,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,4]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>The mosquito Anopheles farauti Laveran (1902) is a coastal malaria vector with a wide distribution throughout the Southwest Pacific. This species shows strong population genetic structure across Australia, New Guinea, and the Solomon Archipelago. In Queensland, Australia, its southern range limit has been the 21\u00b0 latitude but, in 2023, it was detected in mosquito surveys 300\u2009km further south, at 23\u00b0 latitude. Additional collections undertaken in 2024 suggested that a population of An. farauti had established at this new southern limit. Sequencing of the mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase I (COI) gene revealed a single haplotype shared by all individuals, matching the nearest northern population. To investigate the suspected southward range expansion of An. farauti in Queensland, we performed machine learning ecological niche modeling using both MaxEnt and Random Forest approaches using historical collection data and WorldClim bioclimatic variables from that period. The model output indicated that the 23\u00b0 latitude in Queensland is within the species\u2019 projected suitability range and identified temperature-related factors as the primary drivers of its distribution in Queensland. We hypothesize that the prolonged La Ni\u00f1a (2020 to 2023), and the 2023 global marine heatwave, which drove warmer ocean and coastal ambient temperatures, facilitated the latitudinal expansion of An. farauti in Queensland.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1093\/jme\/tjag158","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,20]],"date-time":"2026-10-20T00:02:10Z","timestamp":1792454530000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["The southward expansion of\n                    <i>Anopheles farauti<\/i>\n                    (Diptera: Culicidae) in Australia: a genetic and ecological niche modeling investigation"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"63","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2611-5370","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Fitsum","family":"Bekele","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of the Environment, The University of Queensland , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Luke","family":"Ambrose","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Australian Defence Force Malaria and Infectious Disease Institute, Gallipoli Barracks, Enoggera , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6262-831X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Andrew F","family":"van den Hurk","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Public and Environmental Health Reference Laboratories, Queensland Health , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Cassie C","family":"Jansen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Health Protection and Regulation Branch, Queensland Health , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Weng K","family":"Chow","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Australian Defence Force Malaria and Infectious Disease Institute, Gallipoli Barracks, Enoggera , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Meredith","family":"Larney","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Central Queensland Public Health Unit, Queensland Health , Rockhampton,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tristan P W","family":"Dennis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of the Environment, The University of Queensland , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]},{"name":"Department of Vector Biology, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine , Liverpool,","place":["UK"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2877-0691","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Nigel W","family":"Beebe","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of the Environment, The University of Queensland , Brisbane,","place":["Australia"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,20]]},"reference":[{"key":"2026102810480128200_tjag158-B1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e10784","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.10784","article-title":"Evaluating the predictive performance of presence\u2013absence models: why can the same model appear excellent or poor?","volume":"13","author":"Abrego","year":"2023","journal-title":"Ecol. 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