{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,17]],"date-time":"2026-10-17T04:16:40Z","timestamp":1792210600391,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":33,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"4","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,4,15]],"date-time":"2025-04-15T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1744675200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/pages\/standard-publication-reuse-rights"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000001","name":"National Science Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["DMS-2413135"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["DMS-2413135"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000001","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,15]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific test unit(s) of interest, requiring uncertainty quantification tailored to these focal units. In such cases, marginally valid conformal prediction intervals may fail to provide valid coverage for the focal unit(s) due to selection bias. This article presents a general framework for constructing a prediction set with finite-sample exact coverage, conditional on the unit being selected by a given procedure. The general form of our method accommodates arbitrary selection rules that are invariant to the permutation of the calibration units and generalizes Mondrian Conformal Prediction to multiple test units and non-equivariant classifiers. We also work out computationally efficient implementation of our framework for a number of realistic selection rules, including top-K selection, optimization-based selection, selection based on conformal p-values, and selection based on properties of preliminary conformal prediction sets. The performance of our methods is demonstrated via applications in drug discovery and health risk prediction.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1093\/jrsssb\/qkaf016","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,31]],"date-time":"2025-03-31T16:29:14Z","timestamp":1743438554000},"page":"1239-1259","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":8,"title":["Confidence on the focal: conformal prediction with selection-conditional coverage"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"87","author":[{"given":"Ying","family":"Jin","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Data Science Initiative & Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard University , Boston, MA 02138 ,","place":["USA"]}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2872-5842","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Zhimei","family":"Ren","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Pennsylvania , 265 South 37th street, Room 317, 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