{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,2]],"date-time":"2025-08-02T17:57:24Z","timestamp":1754157444163,"version":"3.41.2"},"reference-count":9,"publisher":"Emerald","issue":"9\/10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2008,10,17]],"date-time":"2008-10-17T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1224201600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.emerald.com\/insight\/site-policies"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2008,10,17]]},"abstract":"<jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Purpose<\/jats:title><jats:p>To forecast the path of tropic cyclones by using a non\u2010linear statistical forecasting technique \u2013 the method of successive analogy.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Design\/methodology\/approach<\/jats:title><jats:p>Non\u2010linear statistical forecasting models can describe the non\u2010linear relationship between the factors and the forecasting objects and the real atmospheric movement more accurately, so they usually have stronger forecasting capability. In practice, however, it is shown that the relationships between predictors and predictands sometimes are so complex that it is very difficult or even impossible to establish the kind of non\u2010linear mathematical model. Therefore, it is an important topic for atmospheric science to solve non\u2010linear prediction problem of atmospheric systems by using the non\u2010function model approach.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Findings<\/jats:title><jats:p>The objective and quantitative prediction of tropical cyclone moving path can be given by using the method of successive analogy, a non\u2010linear forecasting technique, and calculating the similarity parameters between the grayscale field and the height field.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Research limitations\/implications<\/jats:title><jats:p>Further experiments are needed to verify this technique.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Practical implications<\/jats:title><jats:p>A very useful technique for solving non\u2010linear problem.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Originality\/value<\/jats:title><jats:p>Illustrates the new technique of solving non\u2010linear statistic problem and its application.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1108\/03684920810907724","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2008,10,25]],"date-time":"2008-10-25T07:12:50Z","timestamp":1224918770000},"page":"1417-1424","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["A new technique of non\u2010linear statistic prediction and its application in atmospheric systems"],"prefix":"10.1108","volume":"37","author":[{"given":"Kong","family":"Yushou","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Ji","family":"Lingling","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Wang","family":"Changyu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Li","family":"Liguo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Zeng","family":"Liming","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"140","reference":[{"key":"key2022021920482681500_b5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Lin, Y. 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(2000b), \u201cInfrastructural analysis and restriction in evolution of weather systems\u201d, Kybernetes, Vol. 29, pp. 184\u2010200.","DOI":"10.1108\/03684920010312731"},{"key":"key2022021920482681500_b8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"OuYang, S.C., Lin, Y., Wang, Z. and Peng, T.Y. (2001), \u201cEvolution science and infrastructural analysis of the second stir\u201d, Kybernetes, Vol. 30 No. 4, pp. 463\u201079.","DOI":"10.1108\/03684920110386964"},{"key":"key2022021920482681500_b3","unstructured":"Weimin, C. (2003), Satellite Meteorology, Meteorology Publishing Company, Beijing."},{"key":"key2022021920482681500_b4","unstructured":"Yushoug, K., Liguo, L., Huijun, L., Zhihua, Z., Changyu, W. and Fei, S. (2003), \u201cApplications of comprehensive decision in synoptic climate forecasting: integrative forecasting technology\u201d, Advances in Systems Science and Applications, Vol. 3 No. 1."},{"key":"key2022021920482681500_b2","unstructured":"Zhexian, L. (2001), \u201cResearch of predictability problems of tropical cyclone movement in weak environment flow\u201d, Proceedings on National Tropic Cyclone Conference, Meteorology Publishing Company, Beijing, People's Republic of China, pp. 18\u201022."},{"key":"key2022021920482681500_frd1","unstructured":"Yushou, K., Lingling, J., Donghua, Z., Liguo, L., Huijun, L. and Changyu, W. (2005), \u201cFuzzy inference technique in weather prediction knowledge acquisition\u201d, Advances in Systems Science and Applications, Vol. 5 No. 4."}],"container-title":["Kybernetes"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/www.emeraldinsight.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1108\/03684920810907724","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/www.emerald.com\/insight\/content\/doi\/10.1108\/03684920810907724\/full\/xml","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/www.emerald.com\/insight\/content\/doi\/10.1108\/03684920810907724\/full\/html","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,24]],"date-time":"2025-07-24T23:53:25Z","timestamp":1753401205000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/www.emerald.com\/k\/article\/37\/9-10\/1417-1424\/459642"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"given":"Mian\u2010yun","family":"Chen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"editor","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2008,10,17]]},"references-count":9,"journal-issue":{"issue":"9\/10","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2008,10,17]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1108\/03684920810907724"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1108\/03684920810907724","relation":{},"ISSN":["0368-492X"],"issn-type":[{"type":"print","value":"0368-492X"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2008,10,17]]}}}