{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,8,2]],"date-time":"2025-08-02T17:50:46Z","timestamp":1754157046875,"version":"3.41.2"},"reference-count":13,"publisher":"Emerald","issue":"7\/8","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2012,8,3]],"date-time":"2012-08-03T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1343952000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.emerald.com\/insight\/site-policies"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2012,8,3]]},"abstract":"<jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Purpose<\/jats:title><jats:p>The purpose of this paper is to reveal the pattern of passengers' transferring on occasion of a large crowd being stranded at transportation hubs (such as a bus station, railway station, airport, etc.) in climate disasters, and then propose the proper policy recommendations for the government to evacuate stranded passengers.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Design\/methodology\/approach<\/jats:title><jats:p>A model is established based on Bayesian network and influence diagram to catch the features of a passenger's decision\u2010making process, and the transition probabilities of passengers are revised on the basis of the theory of herd behaviors in information to describe the influence of group behaviors on passenger individuals. Subsequently, a multi\u2010agent model is developed in Repast platform in Java language, and simulation and analysis are also made.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Findings<\/jats:title><jats:p>The results of simulation show that it is possible to apply the theory of herd behaviors and the multi\u2010agent method in analyzing the effectiveness of government policies on evacuating stranded passengers in climate disasters.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-heading\">Originality\/value<\/jats:title><jats:p>The research of this paper has important practical significance for the government to developing policies to evacuating stranded passengers in climate disasters, and is a useful exploration to open up new methodologies for emergency management.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1108\/03684921211257810","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2013,3,25]],"date-time":"2013-03-25T13:07:49Z","timestamp":1364216869000},"page":"963-976","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":6,"title":["Modeling and simulation of stranded passengers' transferring decision\u2010making on the basis of herd behaviors"],"prefix":"10.1108","volume":"41","author":[{"given":"Yang","family":"Shen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Sifeng","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Zhigeng","family":"Fang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Mingli","family":"Hu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"140","reference":[{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Banerjee, A. (1992), \u201cA simple model of herd behaviors\u201d, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, pp. 797\u2010818.","DOI":"10.2307\/2118364"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Davidsson, P. (2000), \u201cMulti agent based simulation: beyond social simulation\u201d, in Moss, S. and Davidsson, P. (Eds), Multi Agent Based Simulation in Berlin, Springer, Berlin, pp. 97\u2010107.","DOI":"10.1007\/3-540-44561-7_7"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Helbing, D., Farkas, I. and Vicsek, T. (2000), \u201cSimulating dynamical features of escape panic\u201d, Nature, Vol. 407 No. 6803, pp. 487\u201090.","DOI":"10.1038\/35035023"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Howard, R.A. and Matheson, J.E. (2005), \u201cInfluence diagrams\u201d, Decision Analysis, Vol. 2 No. 3, pp. 127\u201043.","DOI":"10.1287\/deca.1050.0020"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"North, M.J., Collier, N.T. and Vos, R.J. (2006), \u201cExperiences creating three implementations of the Repast agent modeling toolkit\u201d, ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, Vol. 16 No. 1, pp. 1\u201025.","DOI":"10.1145\/1122012.1122013"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Sacco, K., Galletto, V. and Blanzieri, E. (2003), \u201cHow has the 911 terrorist attack influenced decision making\u201d, Applied Cognitive Psychology, Vol. 17 No. 9, pp. 1113\u201027.","DOI":"10.1002\/acp.989"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b7","unstructured":"Shen, Y. and Luo, Z.J. (2011), \u201cModel simulation of stranded passengers transfer among transport hubs in disastrous climate\u201d, Journal of Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics, Vol. 43 No. 1, pp. 35\u201040."},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b6","unstructured":"Sun, D.Y. (2005), \u201cStudy of individual and crowd behaviors decision under paroxysmal social public crisis\u201d, PhD dissertation, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 9 December."},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Teraji, S. (2003), \u201cHerd behaviors and the quality of opinions\u201d, The Journal of Socio\u2010Economics, Vol. 32 No. 6, pp. 661\u201073.","DOI":"10.1016\/j.socec.2003.10.004"},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b4","unstructured":"Yang, W.G., Huang, J. and Guo, T.D. (2010), \u201cOptimization models of allocation ambulances for large\u2010scale emergency\u201d, Systems Engineering \u2013 Theory & Practice, Vol. 30 No. 7, pp. 1218\u201024."},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b5","unstructured":"Zhao, H.L., Liu, J.P. and Liu, X.D. (2010), \u201cStudy on the optimal path of resource attemperment for urban transportation emergency events\u201d, Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), Vol. 12 No. 6, pp. 65\u20108."},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_b3","unstructured":"Zhu, D.J. (2003), \u201cThe establishment of emergency management model on the basis of system control\u201d, Shanghai Urban Management, No. 3, pp. 8\u20109."},{"key":"key2022031120245424100_frd1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Liu, S.F., Xie, N.M. and Forrest, J. 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