{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,9]],"date-time":"2026-04-09T17:25:32Z","timestamp":1775755532750,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":44,"publisher":"Emerald","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,4,12]],"date-time":"2024-04-12T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1712880000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.emerald.com\/insight\/site-policies"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["DTA"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,9,4]]},"abstract":"<jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-subheading\">Purpose<\/jats:title><jats:p>Forecasting population movement trends is crucial for implementing effective policies to regulate labor force growth and understand demographic changes. Combining migration theory expertise and neural network technology can bring a fresh perspective to international migration forecasting research.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-subheading\">Design\/methodology\/approach<\/jats:title><jats:p>This study proposes a conditional generative adversarial neural network model incorporating the migration knowledge \u2013 conditional generative adversarial network (MK-CGAN). By using the migration knowledge to design the parameters, MK-CGAN can effectively address the limited data problem, thereby enhancing the accuracy of migration forecasts.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-subheading\">Findings<\/jats:title><jats:p>The model was tested by forecasting migration flows between different countries and had good generalizability and validity. The results are robust as the proposed solutions can achieve lesser mean absolute error, mean squared error, root mean square error, mean absolute percentage error and <jats:italic>R<\/jats:italic><jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup> values, reaching 0.9855 compared to long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit, generative adversarial network (GAN) and the traditional gravity model.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title content-type=\"abstract-subheading\">Originality\/value<\/jats:title><jats:p>This study is significant because it demonstrates a highly effective technique for predicting international migration using conditional GANs. By incorporating migration knowledge into our models, we can achieve prediction accuracy, gaining valuable insights into the differences between various model characteristics. We used SHapley Additive exPlanations to enhance our understanding of these differences and provide clear and concise explanations for our model predictions. The results demonstrated the theoretical significance and practical value of the MK-CGAN model in predicting international migration.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1108\/dta-08-2023-0523","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,4,12]],"date-time":"2024-04-12T12:13:05Z","timestamp":1712923985000},"page":"787-806","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Application of deep learning model incorporating domain knowledge in international migration forecasting"],"prefix":"10.1108","volume":"58","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6769-6116","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Tongzheng","family":"Pu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Chongxing","family":"Huang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Haimo","family":"Zhang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Jingjing","family":"Yang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Ming","family":"Huang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"140","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,4,12]]},"reference":[{"issue":"2","key":"key2025010616364977600_ref001","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"183","DOI":"10.1007\/s11111-013-0186-8","article-title":"Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models","volume":"35","year":"2013","journal-title":"Population and Environment"},{"issue":"1","key":"key2025010616364977600_ref043","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"440004","DOI":"10.1063\/1.5044033","article-title":"Machine learning in labor migration prediction","volume":"1978","year":"2018"},{"key":"key2025010616364977600_ref002","unstructured":"Alvarez-Plata, P., Br\u00fccker, H. and Siliverstovs, B. 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