{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2022,3,31]],"date-time":"2022-03-31T19:32:36Z","timestamp":1648755156519},"reference-count":14,"publisher":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)","issue":"9","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["IEEE Trans. Syst., Man, Cybern."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[1978,9]]},"DOI":"10.1109\/tsmc.1978.4310051","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2008,7,22]],"date-time":"2008-07-22T15:20:05Z","timestamp":1216740005000},"page":"657-666","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":8,"title":["An Empirical Test of New Forecasting Methods Derived from a Theory of Intelligence: The Prediction of Conflict in Latin America"],"prefix":"10.1109","volume":"8","author":[{"given":"Paul J.","family":"Werbos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jim","family":"Titus","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"263","reference":[{"key":"ref10","author":"hopple","year":"0","journal-title":"Internal and external inputs Assessing the relative potency of sources of foreign behavior"},{"key":"ref11","author":"bryson","year":"1969","journal-title":"Applied Optimal Control"},{"key":"ref12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/1956964"},{"key":"ref13","volume":"1","author":"penner","year":"1975","journal-title":"Energy"},{"key":"ref14","author":"johnston","year":"1972","journal-title":"Econometric Methods"},{"key":"ref4","volume":"3","year":"1975","journal-title":"Stochastic simulations of long-range forecasting models Final technical report"},{"key":"ref3","first-page":"448","author":"tukey","year":"1960","journal-title":"Contributions to Probability and Statistics Essays in Honor of Howard Hotelling"},{"key":"ref6","article-title":"Advanced forecasting methods for global crisis warning and models of intelligence","volume":"22","author":"werbos","year":"1977","journal-title":"General Systems Yearbook"},{"key":"ref5","year":"1976","journal-title":"Developmental methodologies for medium- to long-range estimates Long-range forecasting models Final technical report"},{"key":"ref8","author":"mccormick","year":"0","journal-title":"Instability in the results of regression when applied to global political forecasting"},{"key":"ref7","author":"wonnacott","year":"1977","journal-title":"Introductory Statistics for Business and Economics"},{"key":"ref2","author":"werbos","year":"1974","journal-title":"Beyond Regression New Tools for Prediction and Analysis in the Behavioral Sciences"},{"key":"ref1","author":"werbos","year":"1978","journal-title":"Predicting conflict in Latin America The first full test of Werbos's robust method"},{"key":"ref9","author":"mcllroy","year":"1974","journal-title":"Dependency Development and Third World Regionalism"}],"container-title":["IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/xplorestaging.ieee.org\/ielx5\/21\/4310048\/04310051.pdf?arnumber=4310051","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2021,2,5]],"date-time":"2021-02-05T21:16:07Z","timestamp":1612559767000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/ieeexplore.ieee.org\/document\/4310051\/"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[1978,9]]},"references-count":14,"journal-issue":{"issue":"9"},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1109\/tsmc.1978.4310051","relation":{},"ISSN":["0018-9472","2168-2909"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0018-9472","type":"print"},{"value":"2168-2909","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[1978,9]]}}}