{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,7]],"date-time":"2026-10-07T06:54:53Z","timestamp":1791356093672,"version":"4.3.1"},"reference-count":85,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,22]],"date-time":"2026-07-22T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1784678400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,22]],"date-time":"2026-07-22T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1784678400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000203","name":"U.S. Geological Survey","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000203","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of Animal Ecology"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,10]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    <jats:list>\n                      <jats:list-item>\n                        <jats:p>Rare long\u2010distance movements can increase the spatial spread of invasive species and shifts in species ranges. For wildlife disease spread, however, seasonal migrations may only matter if they lead to transmission to individuals using different seasonal ranges, and the importance of juvenile dispersal depends on whether those juveniles are infected before they disperse.<\/jats:p>\n                      <\/jats:list-item>\n                      <jats:list-item>\n                        <jats:p>High\u2010resolution animal movement data are increasing, but it is unclear how to leverage these data to improve predictions of future disease spread particularly in regions without pre\u2010existing movement data.<\/jats:p>\n                      <\/jats:list-item>\n                      <jats:list-item>\n                        <jats:p>\n                          We predicted the speed of chronic wasting disease (CWD) spread based on movement metrics of mule deer (\n                          <jats:italic>Odocoileus hemionus<\/jats:italic>\n                          ) and white\u2010tailed deer (\n                          <jats:italic>Odocoileus virginianus<\/jats:italic>\n                          ) and compared our predictions to observed spreading rates in North America from 2005 to 2022. We hypothesized that CWD should spread faster in regions with long\u2010distance migratory mule deer, but this hypothesis was only partially supported.\n                        <\/jats:p>\n                      <\/jats:list-item>\n                      <jats:list-item>\n                        <jats:p>Observed rates of CWD spread were faster in western epicentres with more mobile mule deer than in epicentres with only white\u2010tailed deer (14\u201318\u2009km\/year compared with 5\u20137\u2009km\/year, respectively). However, the observed speed of CWD spread did not align well with migration distances. Deer movements in the Canadian Prairie Provinces were far shorter than those in Colorado and Wyoming, yet Canadian Prairie Provinces had faster CWD spread, and,\u00a0much of that spread was in open prairies where deer movements tend to be along riverine corridors rather than the longer elevational migrations in more montane regions.<\/jats:p>\n                      <\/jats:list-item>\n                      <jats:list-item>\n                        <jats:p>Generally, our predicted rates of CWD spread from three different models were slower than the observed rates regardless of whether the model included dispersal or migration. Understanding these discrepancies is needed before high\u2010resolution animal movement data can be used to predict broad\u2010scale patterns of disease invasion.<\/jats:p>\n                      <\/jats:list-item>\n                      <jats:list-item>\n                        <jats:p>Anthropogenic movements likely explain longer distance movements of CWD across North America, but it remains unclear whether human\u2010mediated movements or alternative analytical methods and deer movement metrics can explain the faster than predicted local CWD spread.<\/jats:p>\n                      <\/jats:list-item>\n                    <\/jats:list>\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1111\/1365-2656.70310","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,22]],"date-time":"2026-07-22T18:50:07Z","timestamp":1784746207000},"page":"1919-1932","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Predicting disease spread from host movement data: Chronic wasting disease in North America as a case study"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"95","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8045-5213","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Paul C.","family":"Cross","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"U.S. Geological Survey Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center  Bozeman Montana USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4994-2117","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Blake","family":"Lowrey","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"U.S. Geological Survey Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center  Bozeman Montana USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0127-3900","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Matthew","family":"Kauffman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"U.S. Geological Survey, Wyoming Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit University of Wyoming  Laramie Wyoming USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7737-958X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Evelyn","family":"Merrill","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biological Sciences University of Alberta  Edmonton Alberta Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,22]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","volume-title":"Wildlife management units","author":"Alberta Government","year":"2024"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2261103"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2261103"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0504272102"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.11418"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1121360"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0700741104"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsbl.2007.0523"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","volume-title":"An illustrated guide to theoretical ecology","author":"Case T. 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