{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,4]],"date-time":"2026-05-04T02:16:48Z","timestamp":1777861008144,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":115,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,4]],"date-time":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1775260800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,4]],"date-time":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1775260800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Expert Systems"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,5]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>ABSTRACT<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>Accurate forecasting of agricultural prices is essential for informed production planning, market stabilisation and effective policy design. This review examines 773 studies published between 2006 and 2025 to synthesise recent advances. We begin by analysing the factor systems and structural characteristics of agri\u2010price data, and organise forecasting tasks by input\u2013output design, temporal resolution and prediction objectives\u2014ranging from point estimates to trend detection and probabilistic forecasting. Evaluation practices are reviewed across multiple dimensions, including error metrics, trend alignment, model selection and uncertainty estimation. We then trace the evolution of forecasting 15 methods from traditional statistical models to machine learning and deep neural 16 architectures (RNN, CNN, GNN, Transformer), as well as decomposition\u2010based and 17 ensemble strategies. These developments are contextualised within bibliometric trends, highlighting shifts in research focus and global collaboration. Empirical evidence shows that hybrid pipelines combining decomposition, feature learning and ensemble techniques tend to outperform standalone models, while simple linear models remain competitive for long\u2010horizon or low\u2010frequency forecasts. Common challenges include data leakage, inconsistent testing horizons and insufficient treatment of uncertainty. Looking ahead, future research should emphasise integrating diverse data sources\u2014such as weather, trade and policy signals\u2014and building models that can adapt to unexpected market changes. It is equally important to understand how price dynamics respond to policy actions, improve model transferability across regions and commodities and provide well\u2010calibrated forecasts with interpretable uncertainty estimates to enhance the practical value of agricultural price prediction.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1111\/exsy.70254","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,4]],"date-time":"2026-04-04T08:21:41Z","timestamp":1775290901000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["A Comprehensive Review for Agricultural Product Prices Forecasting: Architectural Diversity and Open Challenges"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"43","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5215-0586","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Binrong","family":"Wu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Business School, Hohai University  Nanjing China"}]},{"given":"Jing","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Business School, Hohai University  Nanjing China"}]},{"given":"Qilei","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Artificial Intelligence in Education Central China Normal University  Wuhan China"}]},{"given":"Deqian","family":"Fu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Information Science and Engineering, Linyi University  Linyi China"}]},{"given":"Lin","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Management, Huazhong University of Science and Technology  Wuhan China"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,4]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_12_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ajae.12075"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eneco.2020.104862"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2016.01.002"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.engappai.2023.105899"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gfs.2022.100657"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.compag.2024.109439"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.2985"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2024.111557"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10489\u2010021\u201002845\u2010x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/ijoc.2021.1147"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3106"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/ajae.12142"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3168\/jds.2020\u201019523"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ACCESS.2025.3567903"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ipm.2022.103111"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/agec.12554"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1287\/ijoc.2022.1251"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2024.142101"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.2768"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41558\u2010021\u201001102\u2010w"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/cjag.12307"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_23_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00521\u2010022\u201007143\u20102"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_24_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.2665"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_25_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2023.111009"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_26_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2025.132778"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_27_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/agec.12829"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_28_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.17221\/107\/2023\u2010AGRICECON"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_29_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00521\u2010018\u201003970\u20104"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_30_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.70007"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_31_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tifs.2019.02.028"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_32_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2022.119063"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_33_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.irfa.2023.102702"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_34_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/aepp.13481"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_35_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2020.120378"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_36_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.measurement.2024.115612"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_37_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2024.123325"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_38_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2024.120520"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_39_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.engappai.2024.108501"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_40_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00521\u2010021\u201006621\u20103"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_41_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2025.125951"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_42_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.foodpol.2022.102347"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_43_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.foodpol.2019.02.005"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_44_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10579\u2010023\u201009683\u2010y"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_45_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10462\u2010025\u201011223\u20109"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_46_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.70025"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_47_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0275702"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_48_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/aepp.13474"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_49_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2023.129585"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_50_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2020.02.002"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_51_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/foods13182936"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_52_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jag.2023.103269"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_53_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.03.012"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_54_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.2649"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_55_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/su142315522"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_56_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ACCESS.2023.3314329"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_57_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2021.120492"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_58_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jretconser.2021.102790"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_59_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ajae.12088"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_60_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.08.007"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_61_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s40953\u2010023\u201000380\u20109"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_62_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1108\/JADEE\u201006\u20102023\u20100147"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_63_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1108\/JADEE\u201010\u20102019\u20100175"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_64_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ijfe.2369"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_65_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1108\/CAER\u201010\u20102019\u20100190"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_66_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.2811"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_67_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rtbm.2025.101491"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_68_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ins.2023.01.075"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_69_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00521\u2010023\u201008528\u20107"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_70_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/exsy.70062"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_71_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.econmod.2019.11.009"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_72_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.14674\/IJFS\u20101648"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_73_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.04.021"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_74_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00500\u2010021\u201006087\u20104"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_75_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1108\/BFJ\u201007\u20102018\u20100446"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_76_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/exsy.13700"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_77_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2023.110939"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_78_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1155\/2022\/4790736"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_79_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.foodpol.2022.102359"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_80_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cie.2025.110928"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_81_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.engappai.2024.109107"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_82_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.35716\/IJED\u201024008"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_83_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.worlddev.2025.106950"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_84_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/agriculture13091671"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_85_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3389\/fenvs.2022.906400"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_86_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/exsy.12714"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_87_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2025.136768"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_88_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.32604\/cmc.2018.03791"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_89_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2025.126467"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_90_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.08.006"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_91_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3119"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_92_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jallcom.2025.182936"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_93_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3278"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_94_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/08839514.2023.2204600"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_95_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2024.132929"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_96_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijepes.2023.109073"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_97_1","unstructured":"World Bank.2025.\u201cOverview.\u201dhttps:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/topic\/agriculture\/overview."},{"key":"e_1_2_12_98_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3246"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_99_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/land13111754"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_100_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2023.126906"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_101_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ajae.12041"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_102_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.compag.2021.106120"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_103_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0323714"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_104_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2019.106029"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_105_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epsr.2022.108966"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_106_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2023.110356"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_107_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2023.10.008"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_108_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ACCESS.2025.3581288"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_109_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2024.111543"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_110_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.asoc.2022.109833"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_111_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.irfa.2024.103770"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_112_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2021.149110"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_113_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/math12152308"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_114_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0322496"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_115_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10489\u2010024\u201005526\u20107"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_116_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.compag.2022.107068"}],"container-title":["Expert Systems"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1111\/exsy.70254","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1111\/exsy.70254","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1111\/exsy.70254","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,30]],"date-time":"2026-04-30T02:41:03Z","timestamp":1777516863000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/exsy.70254"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,4]]},"references-count":115,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,5]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1111\/exsy.70254"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/exsy.70254","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["0266-4720","1468-0394"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0266-4720","type":"print"},{"value":"1468-0394","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,4]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2025-12-03","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2026-03-24","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2026-04-04","order":3,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}],"article-number":"e70254"}}