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This study aimed to estimate trajectories of CUD severity (CUDS) in Swiss men aged from 20 to 25\u00a0years and to identify prospective predictors of these trajectories.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Design<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Latent class growth analysis of self\u2010reported CUDS in a cohort study with three data collection waves.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Setting<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>A general population sample of young Swiss men.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Participants<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>A total of 5987 Swiss men assessed longitudinally at the mean ages of 20, 21.5 and 25\u00a0years.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Measurements<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Latent CUDS in the last 12\u00a0months was measured at each wave with the Cannabis Use Disorders Identification Test\u2013Revised (CUDIT\u2010R). Predictors of CUDS trajectories, measured at age 20, were from six domains: factors related to cannabis use, family, peers, other substance use, mental health and personality.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Findings<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>We distinguished four CUDS trajectories: stable\u2013low (88.2%), decreasing (5.2%), stable\u2013high (2.6%) and increasing (4.0%). Predictors were generally associated with higher odds of membership in the decreasing and stable\u2013high trajectory (versus the stable\u2013low), and to a lesser degree with higher odds of membership in the increasing trajectory. Bivariate predictors of persistent high CUDS (stable\u2013high versus decreasing trajectory) were major depression severity [odds ratio (OR)\u00a0=\u00a01.19, 95% confidence interval (CI)\u00a0=\u00a01.01, 1.40], attention deficit hyperactivity disorder severity (OR\u00a0=\u00a01.25, 95% CI\u00a0=\u00a01.04, 1.51), antisocial personality disorder severity (OR = 1.18, 95 % CI = 1.04, 1.34), relationship with parents (OR\u00a0=\u00a00.74, 95% CI\u00a0=\u00a00.63, 0.88), number of friends with drug problems (OR\u00a0=\u00a01.33, 95% CI\u00a0=\u00a01.11, 1.60) and the personality dimensions neuroticism\u2013anxiety (OR\u00a0= 1.35, 95% CI\u00a0=\u00a01.11, 1.65) and sociability (OR\u00a0=\u00a00.78, 95% CI\u00a0=\u00a00.62, 0.97).<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>Factors associated with persistent cannabis use disorder in young Swiss men include cannabis use, cannabis use disorder severity, mental health problem severity, relationship with parents (before the age of 18), peers with drug problems and the personality dimensions neuroticism\u2013anxiety and sociability at or before age 20. Effect sizes may be small, and predictors are mainly associated with persistence via higher severity at age 20\u00a0years.<\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1111\/add.15177","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,7,4]],"date-time":"2020-07-04T06:15:58Z","timestamp":1593843358000},"page":"560-570","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":13,"title":["Cannabis use disorder trajectories and their prospective predictors in a large population\u2010based sample of young Swiss men"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"116","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9060-8567","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Simon","family":"Marmet","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Addiction Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne  Lausanne Switzerland"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1390-7707","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Joseph","family":"Studer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Addiction Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne  Lausanne Switzerland"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4255-5931","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Matthias","family":"Wicki","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Addiction Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne  Lausanne Switzerland"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9403-9405","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Gerhard","family":"Gmel","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Addiction Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne  Lausanne Switzerland"},{"name":"Addiction Switzerland  Lausanne Switzerland"},{"name":"Centre for Addiction and Mental Health  Toronto ON Canada"},{"name":"University of the West of England  Frenchay Campus Bristol UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,27]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_10_2_1","volume-title":"Suchtmonitoring Schweiz\u2014Konsum von Alkohol, Tabak und illegalen Drogen in der Schweiz im Jahr 2016 [Addiction Monitoring in Switzerland\u2014Consumption of Alcohol, Tobacco and Illegal Drugs in Switzerland]","author":"Gmel G.","year":"2017"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000441777"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S003329171400107X"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-319-90365-1_18"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(09)61037-0"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.addbeh.2012.02.014"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.55.11.973"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1360-0443.2007.02064.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11121-007-0064-7"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.psychres.2010.07.035"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/add.13557"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000377625"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1360-0443.2010.03194.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1360-0443.2011.03638.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.drugalcdep.2009.06.017"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1024\/0939-5911.a000380"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.drugalcdep.2013.02.029"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_19_1","unstructured":"Swiss Confederation.Performing compulsory service. 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