{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,28]],"date-time":"2026-10-28T05:28:02Z","timestamp":1793165282755,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":30,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,7,12]],"date-time":"2023-07-12T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1689120000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["obgyn.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Aust NZ J Obst Gynaeco"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,12]]},"abstract":"<jats:sec><jats:title>Background<\/jats:title><jats:p>Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is the fastest\u2010growing type of diabetes in Australia. We aimed to assess the time trends during 2009\u20132018 and projections of GDM in Queensland, Australia up to 2030.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Materials and Methods<\/jats:title><jats:p>The study data were from the Queensland Perinatal Data Collection (QPDC) and included data on 606\u2009662 birth events with the births reported from at least 20\u2009weeks gestational age or birth weight at least 400 g. Bayesian regression model was used to assess the trends in the prevalence of GDM.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>The prevalence of GDM increased from 5.47 to 13.62% from 2009 to 2018 (average annual rate of change, AARC\u2009=\u2009+10.71%). If the trend remains the same, the projected prevalence will increase to 42.04% (95% uncertainty interval\u2009=\u200934.77\u201348.96) by 2030. Observing AARC across different subpopulations, we found that the trend of GDM increased markedly among women living in inner regional areas (AARC\u2009=\u2009+12.49%), were non\u2010Indigenous (AARC\u2009=\u2009+10.93%), most disadvantaged (AARC\u2009=\u2009+11.84%), aged either of two age groups (AARC\u2009=\u2009+18.45% and\u2009+\u200915.17% for &lt;20\u2009years and 20\u201324\u2009years, respectively), were with obesity (AARC\u2009=\u2009+11.05%) and smoked during pregnancy (AARC\u2009=\u2009+12.26%).<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title><jats:p>Overall, the prevalence of GDM has sharply increased in Queensland, and if this trend continues, about 42% of pregnant women will experience GDM by 2030. The trends vary across different subpopulations. Therefore, targeting the most vulnerable subpopulations is vital to prevent the development of GDM.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1111\/ajo.13734","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,7,12]],"date-time":"2023-07-12T09:29:47Z","timestamp":1689154187000},"page":"811-820","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":14,"title":["Time trends and projections in the prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus in Queensland, Australia, 2009\u20132030: Evidence from the Queensland Perinatal Data Collection"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"63","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9377-6219","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sura M.","family":"Alwash","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Poche Centre for Indigenous Health The University of Queensland  Brisbane Queensland Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"M. Mamun","family":"Huda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Poche Centre for Indigenous Health The University of Queensland  Brisbane Queensland Australia"},{"name":"ARC Centre of Excellence for Children and Families Over the Life Course The University of Queensland  Brisbane Queensland Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"H. David","family":"McIntyre","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Mater Research The University of Queensland  Brisbane Queensland Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Abdullah A.","family":"Mamun","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Poche Centre for Indigenous Health The University of Queensland  Brisbane Queensland Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,7,12]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_7_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41572-019-0098-8"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s40618-016-0607-5"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/nu11020330"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2105\/AJPH.2009.186890"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.diabres.2020.108642"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3389\/fendo.2021.668447"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13098-019-0406-1"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0020-7292(15)30033-3"},{"key":"e_1_2_7_10_1","volume-title":"Australian Institute of Health and Welfare. 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