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Accurate prediction of conversion should decrease the incidence of conversion and improve patient care.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title><jats:p>The recent literature on conversion at laparoscopic cholecystectomy is reviewed to identify robust prediction models that are both internally and externally validated.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>Two prediction models are identified which meet these criteria.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title><jats:p>The Cairns Prediction Model using nomograms, is an easily applied tool predicting conversion, which is presently in use. Routine use of this tool should decrease conversion, and improve the process of patient consent.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1111\/ans.14849","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,9]],"date-time":"2018-10-09T04:58:43Z","timestamp":1539061123000},"page":"488-491","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Selective Cholecystectomy: using an evidence\u2010based prediction model to plan for cholecystectomy"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"89","author":[{"given":"Ronny","family":"Gunnarsson","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"College of Medicine and Dentistry Gothenburg University  Gothenburg Sweden"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8116-8099","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Alan","family":"de Costa","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Surgery James Cook University College of Medicine and Dentistry  Cairns Queensland Australia"},{"name":"Department of Surgery Cairns Hospital  Cairns Queensland Australia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,8]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_3_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/SLA.0000000000000254"},{"key":"e_1_2_3_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00423-007-0269-z"},{"key":"e_1_2_3_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/145749691210100102"},{"key":"e_1_2_3_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00268-011-0965-2"},{"key":"e_1_2_3_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.amjsurg.2013.08.049"},{"key":"e_1_2_3_7_1","unstructured":"Australian Government Department of Health.MBS Cholecystectomy Items. 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