{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,11]],"date-time":"2026-04-11T12:47:35Z","timestamp":1775911655226,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":83,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"2","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,2]],"date-time":"2026-02-02T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1769990400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,2]],"date-time":"2026-02-02T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1769990400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Disasters"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,4]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>Environmental volatility can inflate property values even as it destroys them. To show how, this article pairs a postcolonial micro\u2010state in the Caribbean (Sint Maarten after Hurricane Irma) with a Nordic welfare town (Grindav\u00edk in Iceland following volcanic eruptions) because they occupy the opposite ends of the governance capacity spectrum, while sharing certain similarities. Drawing on reports, media archives, 31 ethnographic interviews, and transaction data from 2015\u201325, it traces four mechanisms that convert danger into a \u2018volatility premium\u2019: distressed asset acquisition; symbolic risk branding; risk finance design; and distributive rules. In Sint Maarten, weak regulation permits private capital to aestheticise destruction and profit from speculative rebuilding, while in Grindav\u00edk, a universal state buy\u2010out socialises loss and freezes speculation. By combining disaster capitalism, speculative urbanism, and financialisation theory with market evidence, the study argues that turning risk into real estate value is political. The findings strengthen our understanding of climate risk economies and offer practitioners the means for auditing post\u2010crisis property policies.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1111\/disa.70046","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,3]],"date-time":"2026-02-03T07:45:52Z","timestamp":1770104752000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["From Hurricane Irma to the Grindav\u00edk eruptions: volatility premiums in disaster governance"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"50","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0005-5217-8809","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Thor","family":"Bj\u00f6rnsson","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"University of Iceland  Iceland"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,2]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_11_2_1","unstructured":"Aalbers M.B.(2019)Financial Geographies of Real Estate in the City: A Literature Review. 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