{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,27]],"date-time":"2026-02-27T02:46:56Z","timestamp":1772160416242,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":11,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,5]],"date-time":"2020-12-05T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1607126400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Influenza Resp Viruses"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,5]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>With the rapid increase of reported COVID\u201019 cases, German policymakers announced a 4\u2010week \u201cshutdown light\u201d starting on November 2, 2020. Applying mathematical models, possible scenarios for the evolution of the outbreak in Germany are simulated. The results indicate that independent of the effectiveness of the current restrictive measures they might not be sufficient to mitigate the outbreak. Repeated shutdown periods or permanently applied measures over the winter could be successful alternatives.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1111\/irv.12827","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,5]],"date-time":"2020-12-05T07:39:36Z","timestamp":1607153976000},"page":"326-330","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":3,"title":["Germany\u2019s next shutdown\u2014Possible scenarios and outcomes"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"15","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8788-1709","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Maria Vittoria","family":"Barbarossa","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies Ruth\u2010Moufang\u2010Stra\u00dfe 1  Frankfurt Germany"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7091-3740","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jan","family":"Fuhrmann","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies Ruth\u2010Moufang\u2010Stra\u00dfe 1  Frankfurt Germany"},{"name":"J\u00fclich Supercomputing Centre Forschungszentrum J\u00fclich, Wilhelm\u2010Johnen\u2010Stra\u00dfe  J\u00fclich Germany"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,5]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","unstructured":"The German Federal Government Overcoming the pandemic with a concerted effort 29 Oct 2020 https:\/\/www.bundesregierung.de\/breg\u2010en\/search\/government\u2010statement\u20101805880."},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","unstructured":"Robert Koch Institute T\u00e4glicher Lagebericht des RKI zur Coronavirus\u2010Krankheit\u20102019 (COVID\u201019) 2 Nov 2020."},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","unstructured":"Federal Ministry of Health Coronavirus SARS\u2010CoV\u20102: Chronik der bisherigen Ma\u00dfnahmen. https:\/\/www.bundesgesundheitsministerium.de\/coronavirus\/chronik\u2010coronavirus.html."},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","unstructured":"European Center for Disease Prevention and Control Situation update on COVID\u201019: COVID\u201019Data https:\/\/www.ecdc.europa.eu\/en\/covid\u201019\/data."},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0238559"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev-virology-012420-022445"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41577-020-00436-4"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10096-020-04057-6"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13690-020-00445-8"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_11_1","unstructured":"Robert Koch Institute Table with the current COVID\u201019 infections per day (time series) from the Robert Koch\u2010Institute. Berlin Germany. Available online: https:\/\/npgeo\u2010corona\u2010npgeo\u2010de.hub.arcgis.com\/datasets\/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0\/ (daily updates since March 2020)."},{"key":"e_1_2_9_12_1","unstructured":"Robert Koch Institute Aktueller Lage\u2010\/Situationsbericht des RKI zu COVID\u201019https:\/\/www.rki.de\/DE\/Content\/InfAZ\/N\/Neuartiges_Coronavirus\/Situationsberichte\/Gesamt.html (daily updates since 4 March 2020)."}],"container-title":["Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1111\/irv.12827","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1111\/irv.12827","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1111\/irv.12827","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,1]],"date-time":"2023-09-01T14:56:39Z","timestamp":1693580199000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/irv.12827"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,5]]},"references-count":11,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,5]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1111\/irv.12827"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/irv.12827","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{"has-review":[{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.1111\/IRV.12827\/v2\/decision1","asserted-by":"object"},{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.1111\/IRV.12827\/v2\/response1","asserted-by":"object"},{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.1111\/IRV.12827\/v1\/decision1","asserted-by":"object"}]},"ISSN":["1750-2640","1750-2659"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1750-2640","type":"print"},{"value":"1750-2659","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,5]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2020-11-12","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2020-11-17","order":1,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2020-12-05","order":2,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}