{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,25]],"date-time":"2026-09-25T06:56:36Z","timestamp":1790319396219,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":41,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"4","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2015,9,1]],"date-time":"2015-09-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1441065600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":1617,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2011,12]]},"DOI":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2011,3,29]],"date-time":"2011-03-29T20:01:26Z","timestamp":1301428886000},"page":"1605-1616","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":35,"title":["A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach for Estimating the Relative Risk of Mortality Associated with Heat Waves in 105 U.S. Cities"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"67","author":[{"given":"Jennifer F.","family":"Bobb","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Francesca","family":"Dominici","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Roger D.","family":"Peng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2011,3,29]]},"reference":[{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB1|cit1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"205","DOI":"10.1097\/EDE.0b013e318190ee08","article-title":"Weather-related mortality: How heat, cold, and heat waves affect mortality in the United States","volume":"20","author":"Anderson","year":"2009","journal-title":"Epidemiology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB2|cit2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"711","DOI":"10.1097\/EDE.0b013e318176bfcd","article-title":"Heat effects on mortality in 15 European cities","volume":"19","author":"Baccini","year":"2008","journal-title":"Epidemiology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB3|cit3","first-page":"265","article-title":"Deaths due to heat waves during the summer of 1994 in Osaka Prefecture, Japan","volume":"49","author":"Bai","year":"1995","journal-title":"Nihon Hoigaku Zasshi"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB4|cit4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"291","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1539-6924.2005.00590.x","article-title":"Model uncertainty and risk estimation for experimental studies of quantal responses","volume":"25","author":"Bailer","year":"2005","journal-title":"Risk Analysis"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB5|cit5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"40","DOI":"10.1186\/1476-069X-8-40","article-title":"High ambient temperature and mortality: A review of epidemiologic studies from 2001 to 2008","volume":"8","author":"Basu","year":"2009","journal-title":"Environmental Health: A Global Access Science Source"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB6|cit6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"190","DOI":"10.1093\/epirev\/mxf007","article-title":"Relation between elevated ambient temperature and mortality: A review of the epidemiologic evidence","volume":"24","author":"Basu","year":"2002","journal-title":"Epidemiologic Reviews"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB7|cit7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"247","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.publhealth.25.102802.124329","article-title":"Time-series studies of particulate matter","volume":"25","author":"Bell","year":"2004","journal-title":"Annual Review of Public Health"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB8|cit8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"38","DOI":"10.1016\/0013-9351(76)90007-4","article-title":"Mortality in St. Louis, Missouri, during heat waves in 1936, 1953, 1954, 1955, and 1966","volume":"12","author":"Bridger","year":"1976","journal-title":"Environmental Research"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB9|cit9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"745","DOI":"10.1002\/1099-095X(200011\/12)11:6<745::AID-ENV431>3.0.CO;2-N","article-title":"Model uncertainty and health effect studies for particulate matter","volume":"11","author":"Clyde","year":"2000","journal-title":"Environmetrics"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB10|cit10","unstructured":"Clyde , M. Guttorp , P. Sullivan , E. 2000 Effects of ambient fine and coarse particles on mortality in Phoenix, Arizona"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB11|cit11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"390","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2004.10.009","article-title":"Epidemiologic study of mortality during the summer 2003 heat wave in Italy","volume":"98","author":"Conti","year":"2005","journal-title":"Environmental Research"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB12|cit12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"80","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/155.1.80","article-title":"Temperature and mortality in 11 cities of the eastern United States","volume":"155","author":"Curriero","year":"2002","journal-title":"American Journal of Epidemiology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB13|cit13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"504","DOI":"10.1016\/0013-9351(78)90129-9","article-title":"Mortality in the elderly in a heat wave in New York City, August 1975","volume":"15","author":"Ellis","year":"1978","journal-title":"Environmental Research"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB14|cit14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"16","DOI":"10.1007\/s00420-006-0089-4","article-title":"Excess mortality related to the August 2003 heat wave in France","volume":"80","author":"Fouillet","year":"2006","journal-title":"International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB15|cit15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"165","DOI":"10.2807\/esm.10.07.00557-en","article-title":"The effect of the summer 2003 heat wave on mortality in the Netherlands","volume":"10","author":"Garssen","year":"2005","journal-title":"Eurosurveillance"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB16|cit16","first-page":"200","article-title":"Heat wave 2003 and mortality in Switzerland","volume":"135","author":"Grize","year":"2005","journal-title":"Swiss Medical Weekly: Official Journal of the Swiss Society of Infectious Diseases, the Swiss Society of Internal Medicine, the Swiss Society of Pneumology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB17|cit17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"367","DOI":"10.1136\/jech.56.5.367","article-title":"Impact of hot temperatures on death in London: A time series approach","volume":"56","author":"Hajat","year":"2002","journal-title":"Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB18|cit18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"632","DOI":"10.1097\/01.ede.0000239688.70829.63","article-title":"Impact of high temperatures on mortality: Is there an added heat wave effect","volume":"17","author":"Hajat","year":"2006","journal-title":"Epidemiology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB19|cit19","volume-title":"Generalized Additive Models","author":"Hastie","year":"1990"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB20|cit20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"407","DOI":"10.1007\/s10654-009-9359-2","article-title":"Quantification of the heat wave effect on cause-specific mortality in Essen, Germany","volume":"24","author":"Hertel","year":"2009","journal-title":"European Journal of Epidemiology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB21|cit21","first-page":"382","article-title":"Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial","volume":"14","author":"Hoeting","year":"1999","journal-title":"Statistical Science"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB22|cit22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"29","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1005633925903","article-title":"A GCM simulation of heat waves, dry spells, and their relationships to circulation","volume":"46","author":"Huth","year":"2000","journal-title":"Climatic Change"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB23|cit23","unstructured":"Interagency Working Group on Climate Change and Health (IWGCCH) 2010 A human health perspective on climate change: a report outlining the research needs of the human health effects of climate change Environmental Health Perspectives http:\/\/www.niehs.nih.gov\/health\/docs\/climatereport2010.pdf"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB24|cit24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"168","DOI":"10.2807\/esm.10.07.00558-en","article-title":"The impact of the 2003 heat wave on daily mortality in England and Wales and the use of rapid weekly mortality estimates","volume":"10","author":"Johnson","year":"2005","journal-title":"Eurosurveillance"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB25|cit25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-8306.1989.tb00249.x","article-title":"Weather and human mortality: An evaluation of demographic and interregional responses in the United States","volume":"79","author":"Kalkstein","year":"1989","journal-title":"Annals of the Association of American Geographers"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB26|cit26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"893","DOI":"10.1136\/oem.2003.012047","article-title":"Contrasting patterns of mortality and hospital admissions during hot weather and heat waves in Greater London, UK","volume":"61","author":"Kovats","year":"2004","journal-title":"Occupational and Environmental Medicine"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB27|cit27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"200","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-7-200","article-title":"Pattern and determinants of hospitalization during heat waves: An ecologic study","volume":"7","author":"Mastrangelo","year":"2007","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB28|cit28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"994","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1098704","article-title":"More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century","volume":"305","author":"Meehl","year":"2004","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB29|cit29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1087","DOI":"10.1063\/1.1699114","article-title":"Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines","volume":"21","author":"Metropolis","year":"1953","journal-title":"Journal of Chemical Physics"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB30|cit30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"473","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9876.2008.00626.x","article-title":"Analysis of heat wave effects on health by using generalized additive model and bootstrap-based model selection","volume":"57","author":"Pauli","year":"2008","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB31|cit31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"179","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-985X.2006.00410.x","article-title":"Model choice in time series studies of air pollution and mortality","volume":"162","author":"Peng","year":"2006","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB32|cit32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"251","DOI":"10.1093\/biomet\/83.2.251","article-title":"Approximate Bayes factors and accounting for model uncertainty in generalised linear models","volume":"83","author":"Raftery","year":"1996","journal-title":"Biometrika"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB33|cit33","volume-title":"Global Health Action","volume":"2","author":"Rockl\u00f6v","year":"2009"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB34|cit34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"319","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9868.2008.00700.x","article-title":"Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations","volume":"71","author":"Rue","year":"2009","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB35|cit35","volume-title":"The National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study (NMMAPS). Part I. Methods and Methodological Issues","author":"Samet","year":"2000"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB36|cit36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"84","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJM199607113350203","article-title":"Heat-related deaths during the July 1995 heat wave in Chicago","volume":"335","author":"Semenza","year":"1996","journal-title":"New England Journal of Medicine"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB37|cit37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"311","DOI":"10.1080\/15287390600884941","article-title":"Bayesian model averaging in time-series studies of air pollution and mortality","volume":"70","author":"Thomas","year":"2007","journal-title":"Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB38|cit38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"82","DOI":"10.2307\/2287970","article-title":"Accurate approximations for posterior moments and marginal densities","volume":"81","author":"Tierney","year":"1986","journal-title":"Journal of the American Statistical Association"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB39|cit39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"433","DOI":"10.1111\/1467-9876.00082","article-title":"Bayesian model averaging in proportional hazard models: Assessing the risk of a stroke","volume":"46","author":"Volinsky","year":"1997","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics)"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB40|cit40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"80","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/kwi157","article-title":"Are the acute effects of particulate matter on mortality in the national morbidity, mortality, and air pollution study the result of inadequate control for weather and season? A sensitivity analysis using flexible distributed lag models","volume":"162","author":"Welty","year":"2005","journal-title":"American Journal of Epidemiology"},{"key":"10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x-BIB41|cit41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"765","DOI":"10.1007\/s00484-008-0169-0","article-title":"The impact of excess heat events in Maricopa County, Arizona: 2000-2005","volume":"52","author":"Yip","year":"2008","journal-title":"International Journal of Biometeorology"}],"container-title":["Biometrics"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.wiley.com\/onlinelibrary\/tdm\/v1\/articles\/10.1111%2Fj.1541-0420.2011.01583.x","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/wol1\/doi\/10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x\/fullpdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,1,26]],"date-time":"2024-01-26T18:16:47Z","timestamp":1706293007000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/biometrics\/article\/67\/4\/1605-1616\/7381180"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2011,3,29]]},"references-count":41,"journal-issue":{"issue":"4","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2011,12]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1541-0420.2011.01583.x","relation":{},"ISSN":["0006-341X"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0006-341X","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2011,3,29]]}}}