{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,15]],"date-time":"2026-05-15T14:20:03Z","timestamp":1778854803916,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":51,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,10]],"date-time":"2024-07-10T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1720569600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["J Clinic Periodontology"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,10]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Aim<\/jats:title><jats:p>To develop a nomogram\u2010based predictive model of tooth survival by comprehensively analysing clinical and radiographic risk factors of tooth loss (TL).<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Materials and Methods<\/jats:title><jats:p>In this study, 3447 teeth of 131 subjects who underwent non\u2010surgical periodontal treatment were examined retrospectively within a mean follow\u2010up period of 11.6\u2009years. The association of risk factors including clinical and radiographic parameters with TL was assessed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram\u2010based predictive model was developed, and its validation and discriminatory ability were analysed.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>In all, 313 teeth were lost in 94 patients in this study (overall tooth loss [OTL] 9.08%; 0.21 teeth\/patient\/year). Male, heavy smoking, molar teeth, probing depth (PD), attachment loss (AL), tooth mobility and radiographic bone loss were significantly associated with TL (<jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009&lt;\u2009.05). A gradient effect of tooth mobility on TL increased from degree I to III versus none (<jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009&lt;\u2009.0001). The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.865. Calibration curve and decision curve analysis demonstrated good performance and high net benefit, respectively.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions<\/jats:title><jats:p>Adopting a specific nomogram could facilitate the prediction of tooth survival and the development of tailored treatment plans in Chinese patients with advanced periodontitis.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.14027","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,11]],"date-time":"2024-07-11T01:18:35Z","timestamp":1720660715000},"page":"1384-1394","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["A nomogram\u2010based predictive model for tooth survival in Chinese patients with periodontitis: An 11\u2010year retrospective cohort study"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"51","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1692-0325","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Shuwen","family":"Shi","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Periodontology Peking University School and Hospital of Stomatology &amp; National Center of Stomatology &amp; National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases &amp; National Engineering Laboratory for Digital and Material Technology of Stomatology &amp; Beijing Key Laboratory of Digital Stomatology &amp; Research Center of Engineering and Technology for Computerized Dentistry Ministry of Health &amp; NMPA Key Laboratory for Dental Materials  Beijing People's Republic of China"},{"name":"Department of Stomatology Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University  Beijing People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Yang","family":"Meng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Periodontology Qingdao Stomatological Hospital Affiliated to Qingdao University  Qingdao People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2466-2116","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jian","family":"Jiao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"First Clinical Division &amp; Department of Periodontology Peking University School and Hospital of Stomatology &amp; National Center of Stomatology &amp; National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases &amp; National Engineering Laboratory for Digital and Material Technology of Stomatology &amp; Beijing Key Laboratory of Digital Stomatology &amp; Research Center of Engineering and Technology for Computerized Dentistry Ministry of Health &amp; NMPA Key Laboratory for Dental Materials  Beijing..."}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Dong","family":"Shi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Periodontology Peking University School and Hospital of Stomatology &amp; National Center of Stomatology &amp; National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases &amp; National Engineering Laboratory for Digital and Material Technology of Stomatology &amp; Beijing Key Laboratory of Digital Stomatology &amp; Research Center of Engineering and Technology for Computerized Dentistry Ministry of Health &amp; NMPA Key Laboratory for Dental Materials  Beijing People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Xianghui","family":"Feng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Periodontology Peking University School and Hospital of Stomatology &amp; National Center of Stomatology &amp; National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases &amp; National Engineering Laboratory for Digital and Material Technology of Stomatology &amp; Beijing Key Laboratory of Digital Stomatology &amp; Research Center of Engineering and Technology for Computerized Dentistry Ministry of Health &amp; NMPA Key Laboratory for Dental Materials  Beijing People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2954-818X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Huanxin","family":"Meng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Periodontology Peking University School and Hospital of Stomatology &amp; National Center of Stomatology &amp; National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases &amp; National Engineering Laboratory for Digital and Material Technology of Stomatology &amp; Beijing Key Laboratory of Digital Stomatology &amp; Research Center of Engineering and Technology for Computerized Dentistry Ministry of Health &amp; NMPA Key Laboratory for Dental Materials  Beijing People's Republic of China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,10]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_12_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/JPER.21-0415"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1902\/jop.2009.080454"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1600-051X.2004.00563.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.13225"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1902\/jop.1984.55.9.505"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1902\/jop.1979.50.1.23"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.12517"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.13488"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1902\/jop.1991.62.5.308"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.13585"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1902\/jop.2011.110187"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jre.12087"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.12488"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.12533"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1600-051X.2007.01184.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1600-051X.2006.01045.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00784-021-03895-8"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1902\/jop.1989.60.7.402"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_20_1","first-page":"242","volume-title":"Clinical periodontology: Prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of periodontal disease in the practice of general dentistry","author":"Glickman I.","year":"1972"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jicd.12381"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jcpe.12460"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_23_1","first-page":"257","article-title":"Current clinical status and considering of periodontology in China","volume":"43","author":"Huan\u2010xin M.","year":"2008","journal-title":"Zhonghua Kou Qiang Yi Xue Za Zhi"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_24_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1034\/j.1600-051x.2003.00289.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_25_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12903-021-01573-5"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_26_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1034\/j.1600-051x.2002.291208.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_27_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/0022034519864889"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_28_1","first-page":"7","article-title":"Periodontal risk assessment (PRA) for patients in supportive periodontal therapy (SPT)","volume":"1","author":"Lang N. 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