{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,14]],"date-time":"2026-09-14T22:41:29Z","timestamp":1789425689416,"version":"build-2803163510"},"reference-count":25,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2013,5,17]],"date-time":"2013-05-17T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1368748800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Risk Analysis"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2014,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>This article provides a methodology for the economic analysis of the potential consequences of a simulated anthrax terrorism attack on real estate within the Seattle metropolitan area. We estimate spatially disaggregated impacts on median sales price of residential housing within the Seattle metro area following an attack on the central business district (CBD). Using a combination of longitudinal panel regression and GIS analysis, we find that the median sales price in the CBD could decline by as much as $280,000, and by nearly $100,000 in nearby communities. These results indicate that total residential property values could decrease by over $50 billion for Seattle, or a 33% overall decline. We combine these estimates with HUD's 2009 American Housing Survey (AHS) to further predict 70,000 foreclosures in Seattle spatial zones following the terrorism event.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1111\/risa.12059","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2013,5,17]],"date-time":"2013-05-17T19:04:03Z","timestamp":1368817443000},"page":"187-201","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":6,"title":["The Potential Impact of an Anthrax Attack on Real Estate Prices and Foreclosures in Seattle"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"34","author":[{"given":"Noah","family":"Dormady","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Assistant Professor, John Glenn School of Public Affairs The Ohio State University  Columbus OH USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Thomas","family":"Szelazek","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"GIS and Economic Analyst Point C Partners and RideAmigos Corp  Pasadena CA USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Adam","family":"Rose","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Research Professor, Sol Price School of Public Policy; Coordinator for Economics, CREATE, USC  Los Angeles CA USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2013,5,17]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_10_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1539-6924.2010.01567.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jue.2008.07.006"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_4_1","volume-title":"The Depth of Negative Equity and Mortgage Default Decisions","author":"Bhutta N","year":"2010"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jeem.2005.05.002"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s11166-006-0170-0"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/01944360903294556"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1540-6229.2008.00230.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0094-1190(91)90042-6"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_10_1","first-page":"152","volume-title":"The Economic Impacts of Terrorist Attacks","author":"Redfeam C","year":"2005"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_11_1","volume-title":"Seattle Urban Area Interagency Biological Restoration Demonstration (IBRD)","author":"U.S. Department of Homeland Security and U.S. Department of Defense","year":"2009"},{"issue":"1","key":"e_1_2_10_12_1","first-page":"1","article-title":"Structuring uncertainty and conflicting objectives for life or death decisions following an urban biological catastrophe","volume":"1","author":"Rosoff H","year":"2012","journal-title":"Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10669-012-9431-4"},{"issue":"2","key":"e_1_2_10_14_1","article-title":"A difficult recovery","volume":"18","author":"Conway D","year":"2010","journal-title":"Puget Sound Economic Forecaster"},{"key":"e_1_2_10_15_1","unstructured":"King County Office of Emergency Management.Regional recovery framework for a biological attack in the Seattle urban area. 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