{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,21]],"date-time":"2026-10-21T15:54:18Z","timestamp":1792598058561,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":42,"publisher":"Human Kinetics","issue":"11","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,1]]},"abstract":"\n \n Purpose<\/jats:italic>\n <\/jats:bold>\n :<\/jats:italic>\n The reduction of race distance from 2000 to 1500\u00a0m for the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games will require rowers to produce greater mean power output (MPO). However, current evidence suggests athletes are not achieving the \u223c6% increase anticipated for medal-level performance. This study examined how pacing strategy influenced 1500-m time-trial (TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n ) performance.\n \n Methods<\/jats:italic>\n <\/jats:bold>\n :<\/jats:italic>\n Thirty-three (11 females) under-23 international rowers completed maximal 2000-m (TT\n 2000<\/jats:sub>\n ) and 500-m (TT\n 500<\/jats:sub>\n ) trials, and 3 TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n trials with different pacing strategies (unprescribed, even, and fast start) on separate days. Individual critical speed models, derived from TT\n 2000<\/jats:sub>\n and TT\n 500<\/jats:sub>\n , were used to predict maximal TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n MPO (PO\n REF<\/jats:sub>\n ) and prescribe power targets for the first 1000\u00a0m of the even and fast-start TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n . Performance and physiological measures were compared using repeated-measures mixed-effect modeling.\n \n Results<\/jats:italic>\n <\/jats:bold>\n :<\/jats:italic>\n Rowers adopted similar reverse-J pacing profiles in TT\n 2000<\/jats:sub>\n and unprescribed TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n . Predicted PO\n REF<\/jats:sub>\n values equaled \u223c104% of TT\n 2000<\/jats:sub>\n MPO. Despite significant differences in pacing variance, TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n MPO did not differ between TT\n 1500<\/jats:sub>\n trials or from PO\n REF<\/jats:sub>\n (\n P<\/jats:italic>\n \u2009=\u2009.271). All pacing strategies enabled a sprint finish, with MPO in the final 250\u00a0m representing 104% to 106% PO\n REF<\/jats:sub>\n .\n \n Conclusion<\/jats:italic>\n <\/jats:bold>\n :<\/jats:italic>\n International rowers currently rely on familiar 2000-m pacing patterns when racing over 1500\u00a0m. Pacing prescriptions for the first 1000\u00a0m, derived from critical speed modeling, did not influence performance, with all strategies permitting a sprint finish. Greater first 1000\u00a0m output, through alternative pacing, may be required to maximize use of physiological capacities for optimal 1500-m performance.\n <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1123\/ijspp.2026-0020","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,3]],"date-time":"2026-08-03T18:04:46Z","timestamp":1785780286000},"page":"1263-1270","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Pacing Prescription Through Critical Speed Modeling for 1500-m Rowing at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games"],"prefix":"10.1123","volume":"21","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0473-8112","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Daniel J.","family":"Astridge","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Human Sciences (Sport and Exercise Sciences), University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia"},{"name":"Western Australian Institute of Sport, Mt Claremont, WA, Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3895-0015","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Peter","family":"Peeling","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Human Sciences (Sport and Exercise Sciences), University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia"},{"name":"Western Australian Institute of Sport, Mt Claremont, WA, Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2585-6852","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Paul S.R.","family":"Goods","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Western Australian Institute of Sport, Mt Claremont, WA, Australia"},{"name":"Physical Activity Sport, and Exercise (PHASE) Research Group, School of Allied Health (Exercise Science), Murdoch University, Perth, WA, Australia"},{"name":"Centre for Healthy Ageing, Health Futures Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4797-182X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Olivier","family":"Girard","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Human Sciences (Sport and Exercise Sciences), University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anthony J.","family":"Rice","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Sports Science, Rowing Australia, Yarralumla, ACT, Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7397-017X","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Martyn J.","family":"Binnie","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Human Sciences (Sport and Exercise Sciences), University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia"},{"name":"Western Australian Institute of Sport, Mt Claremont, WA, Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"100","reference":[{"issue":"1","key":"r1","series-title":"Int J Sports Physiol Perform","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"104","DOI":"10.1123\/ijspp.2022-0231","article-title":"Rowing in Los Angeles: performance considerations for the change to 1500\u2009m at the 2028 Olympic games","volume":"18","author":"Astridge DJ","year":"2022","unstructured":"Astridge DJ, Peeling P, Goods PSR, et al. 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