{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,27]],"date-time":"2026-02-27T03:24:08Z","timestamp":1772162648486,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":15,"publisher":"American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)","issue":"6445","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Science"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,14]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>\n                    Kubelka\n                    <jats:italic>et al<\/jats:italic>\n                    . (Reports, 9 November 2018, p. 680) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1126\/science.aaw8529","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,6,13]],"date-time":"2019-06-13T19:14:12Z","timestamp":1560453252000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":11,"title":["Comment on \u201cGlobal pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds\u201d"],"prefix":"10.1126","volume":"364","author":[{"given":"Martin","family":"Bulla","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, 82319 Seewiesen, Germany."},{"name":"NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department of Coastal Systems and Utrecht University, 1790 AB Den Burg, Texel, Netherlands."},{"name":"Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, 16521 Prague, Czech Republic."}]},{"given":"Jeroen","family":"Reneerkens","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department of Coastal Systems and Utrecht University, 1790 AB Den Burg, Texel, Netherlands."},{"name":"Conservation Ecology Group, Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences (GELIFES), University of Groningen, 9700 CC Groningen, Netherlands."}]},{"given":"Emily L.","family":"Weiser","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, U.S. Geological Survey, La Crosse, WI 54603, USA."}]},{"given":"Aleksandr","family":"Sokolov","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Arctic Research Station, Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, 629400 Labytnangi, Russia."}]},{"given":"Audrey R.","family":"Taylor","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Alaska, Anchorage, AK 99508, USA."}]},{"given":"Beno\u00eet","family":"Sittler","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Nature Conservation and Landscape Ecology, University of Freiburg, 79106 Freiburg, Germany."},{"name":"Arctic Ecology Research Group (GREA), F-21440 Francheville, France."}]},{"given":"Brian J.","family":"McCaffery","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Yukon Delta National Wildlife Refuge, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Grand View, WI 54839, USA."}]},{"given":"Dan R.","family":"Ruthrauff","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Alaska Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Anchorage, AK 99508, USA."}]},{"given":"Daniel H.","family":"Catlin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA."}]},{"given":"David C.","family":"Payer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Natural Resource Sciences, National Park Service, Anchorage, AK 99501, USA."}]},{"given":"David H.","family":"Ward","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Alaska Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Anchorage, AK 99508, USA."}]},{"given":"Diana V.","family":"Solovyeva","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Biological Problems of the North, FEB RAS, Magadan 685000, Russia."}]},{"given":"Eduardo S. A.","family":"Santos","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"BECO do Departamento de Zoologia, Rua do Mat\u00e3o, Universidade de S\u00e3o Paulo, 05508-090 S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil."}]},{"given":"Eldar","family":"Rakhimberdiev","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Conservation Ecology Group, Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences (GELIFES), University of Groningen, 9700 CC Groningen, Netherlands."},{"name":"Department of Vertebrate Zoology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119234 Moscow, Russia."}]},{"given":"Erica","family":"Nol","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Biology Department, Trent University, Peterborough, ON K9J 7B8, Canada."}]},{"given":"Eunbi","family":"Kwon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA."}]},{"given":"Glen S.","family":"Brown","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Wildlife Research and Monitoring, Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry, Peterborough, ON K9L 1Z8, Canada."}]},{"given":"Glenda D.","family":"Hevia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Grupo de Ecofisiolog\u00eda Aplicada al Manejo y Conservaci\u00f3n de Fauna Silvestre, Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR)-CCT CONICET-CENPAT, 9120 Puerto Madryn, Argentina."}]},{"given":"H. River","family":"Gates","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Pacific Flyway Program, National Audubon Society, Anchorage, AK 99501, USA."}]},{"given":"James A.","family":"Johnson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Migratory Bird Management, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Anchorage, AK 99503, USA."}]},{"given":"Jan A.","family":"van Gils","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department of Coastal Systems and Utrecht University, 1790 AB Den Burg, Texel, Netherlands."}]},{"given":"Jannik","family":"Hansen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark."}]},{"given":"Jean-Fran\u00e7ois","family":"Lamarre","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Science &amp; Technology Program, Polar Knowledge Canada, Cambridge Bay, NU X0B 0C0, Canada."}]},{"given":"Jennie","family":"Rausch","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment and Climate Change Canada, P.O. Box 2310, Yellowknife, NT X1A 2P7, Canada."}]},{"given":"Jesse R.","family":"Conklin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Conservation Ecology Group, Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences (GELIFES), University of Groningen, 9700 CC Groningen, Netherlands."}]},{"given":"Joe","family":"Liebezeit","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Audubon Society of Portland, Portland, OR 97210, USA."}]},{"given":"Jo\u00ebl","family":"B\u00eaty","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology and Center for Northern Studies, University of Quebec, Rimouski, QC G5L 3A1, Canada."}]},{"given":"Johannes","family":"Lang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Arctic Ecology Research Group (GREA), F-21440 Francheville, France."},{"name":"Clinic for Birds, Reptiles, Amphibians and Fish\/Working Group for Wildlife Biology, Giessen University, 35392 Giessen, Germany."}]},{"given":"Jos\u00e9 A.","family":"Alves","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"DBIO &amp; CESAM-Centre for Environmental and Marine Studies, Department of Biology, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, Portugal."},{"name":"South Iceland Research Centre, University of Iceland, Fjolheimar IS-800 Selfoss &amp; IS-861 Gunnarsholt, Iceland."}]},{"given":"Juan","family":"Fern\u00e1ndez-Elipe","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Aptdo. Correos 32, 5480 Candeleda, Spain."}]},{"given":"Klaus-Michael","family":"Exo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Avian Research \u201cVogelwarte Helgoland,\u201d 26386 Wilhelmshaven, Germany."}]},{"given":"Lo\u00efc","family":"Bollache","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratoire Chrono-environnement, Universit\u00e9 de Franche-Comt\u00e9, UMR 6249 CNRS-UFC, F-25000 Besan\u00e7on, France."}]},{"given":"Marcelo","family":"Bertellotti","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Grupo de Ecofisiolog\u00eda Aplicada al Manejo y Conservaci\u00f3n de Fauna Silvestre, Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR)-CCT CONICET-CENPAT, 9120 Puerto Madryn, Argentina."}]},{"given":"Marie-Andr\u00e9e","family":"Giroux","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Sciences, Universit\u00e9 de Moncton, Moncton, NB E1A 3E9, Canada."}]},{"given":"Martijn","family":"van de Pol","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), 6708PB Wageningen, Netherlands."}]},{"given":"Matthew","family":"Johnson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Plumas National Forest, USDA Forest Service, Quincy, CA 95971, USA."}]},{"given":"Megan L.","family":"Boldenow","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Biology and Wildlife Department, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK 99775, USA."}]},{"given":"Mihai","family":"Valcu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, 82319 Seewiesen, Germany."}]},{"given":"Mikhail","family":"Soloviev","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Vertebrate Zoology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119234 Moscow, Russia."}]},{"given":"Natalya","family":"Sokolova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Arctic Research Station, Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, 629400 Labytnangi, Russia."}]},{"given":"Nathan R.","family":"Senner","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biological Sciences, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC 29208, USA."}]},{"given":"Nicolas","family":"Lecomte","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology, Universit\u00e9 de Moncton, Moncton, NB E1A 3E9, Canada."}]},{"given":"Nicolas","family":"Meyer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Arctic Ecology Research Group (GREA), F-21440 Francheville, France."},{"name":"Laboratoire Chrono-environnement, Universit\u00e9 de Franche-Comt\u00e9, UMR 6249 CNRS-UFC, F-25000 Besan\u00e7on, France."}]},{"given":"Niels Martin","family":"Schmidt","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark."},{"name":"Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark."}]},{"given":"Olivier","family":"Gilg","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Arctic Ecology Research Group (GREA), F-21440 Francheville, France."},{"name":"Laboratoire Chrono-environnement, Universit\u00e9 de Franche-Comt\u00e9, UMR 6249 CNRS-UFC, F-25000 Besan\u00e7on, France."}]},{"given":"Paul A.","family":"Smith","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"National Wildlife Research Centre, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, Canada."}]},{"given":"Paula","family":"Mach\u00edn","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Aptdo. Correos 32, 5480 Candeleda, Spain."}]},{"given":"Rebecca L.","family":"McGuire","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Arctic Beringia Program, Wildlife Conservation Society, Fairbanks, AK 99709, USA."}]},{"given":"Ricardo A. S.","family":"Cerboncini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Departamento de Zoologia, Universidade Federal do Paran\u00e1, 81531-980 Curitiba, Brazil."}]},{"given":"Richard","family":"Ottvall","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Frostavallsv\u00e4gen 325, S-24393 H\u00f6\u00f6r, Sweden."}]},{"given":"Rob S. 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