{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,20]],"date-time":"2025-12-20T02:17:50Z","timestamp":1766197070449},"reference-count":70,"publisher":"World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt","issue":"03","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["New Math. and Nat. Computation"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2015,11]]},"abstract":"<jats:p> In electrical power management, load forecasting accuracy is an indispensable factor which influences the decision making and planning of power companies in the future. Previous research has explored various forecasting models to resolve this issue, ranging from linear and non-linear regression to artificial intelligence algorithm. However, the absolute percentage error has yet to significantly improve using these models. Through this paper, the fuzzy time series (FTS) model was suggested to obtain better forecasted values and increases the forecasting accuracy. This accuracy could be obtained by using effective length of intervals of the discourse universe. The yearly dataset of Taiwan regional electric load was used for this empirical study and the reliability of the proposed model was compared with other previous models. The results indicated that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the proposed model (FTS) is smaller than MAPE obtained from those previous models. <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1142\/s1793005715500076","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2015,8,27]],"date-time":"2015-08-27T05:02:58Z","timestamp":1440651778000},"page":"229-248","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":22,"title":["Application of Fuzzy Time Series Approach in Electric Load Forecasting"],"prefix":"10.1142","volume":"11","author":[{"given":"Zuhaimy","family":"Ismail","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 Skudai, Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia"}]},{"given":"Riswan","family":"Efendi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 Skudai, Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia"},{"name":"Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, State Islamic University of Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, 28294 Panam, Pekanbaru, Riau, Indonesia"}]},{"given":"Mustafa Mat","family":"Deris","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Computer Science, Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia, 86400 Batu Pahat, Johor, Malaysia"}]}],"member":"219","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2015,8,27]]},"reference":[{"key":"rf1","series-title":"Atlantis Computational Intelligence System","volume-title":"Computational Intelligence Systems in Industrial Engineering","volume":"6","author":"Ucal I.","year":"2012"},{"key":"rf2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0165-0114(93)90355-L"},{"key":"rf3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0165-0114(94)90067-1"},{"key":"rf4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0165-0114(95)00220-0"},{"key":"rf5","first-page":"234","volume":"2","author":"Chen S. M.","year":"2004","journal-title":"Applied Science and Engineering"},{"key":"rf6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/00207160410001712288"},{"key":"rf7","first-page":"375","volume":"1","author":"Sah M.","year":"2005","journal-title":"Proceeding of World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology"},{"key":"rf8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.amc.2006.09.140"},{"key":"rf9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2008.07.043"},{"key":"rf10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2009.01.024"},{"key":"rf11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2011.02.096"},{"key":"rf12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3923\/jai.2011.110.118"},{"key":"rf13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0165-0114(00)00093-2"},{"key":"rf14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.physa.2004.11.070"},{"key":"rf15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.physa.2004.11.006"},{"key":"rf16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2007.05.016"},{"key":"rf17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2007.09.037"},{"key":"rf18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/3477.836375"},{"key":"rf19","first-page":"613","volume":"18","author":"Lee H. L.","year":"2006","journal-title":"IEEE Transaction on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part B: Cybernetics"},{"key":"rf20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1142\/S1469026813500053"},{"key":"rf22","first-page":"1","volume":"1","author":"Alpaslan F.","year":"2012","journal-title":"Journal Social and Economic Statistics"},{"key":"rf23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/02533839.2011.576502"},{"key":"rf24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-0-85729-268-1"},{"key":"rf26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2009.06.053"},{"key":"rf27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.resconrec.2010.02.010"},{"key":"rf28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2009.07.008"},{"key":"rf29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2009.07.006"},{"key":"rf30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2008.04.031"},{"key":"rf31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0360-5442(97)00034-0"},{"key":"rf32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2007.07.004"},{"key":"rf33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9876.2008.00636.x"},{"key":"rf34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2006.09.012"},{"key":"rf35","first-page":"191","volume":"19","author":"Kizilaslan R.","year":"2009","journal-title":"Neural Network World"},{"key":"rf36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2008.08.023"},{"key":"rf37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2007.03.001"},{"key":"rf38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.advengsoft.2009.09.012"},{"key":"rf39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.physa.2005.02.066"},{"key":"rf40","unstructured":"P.\u00a0Potocnik, E.\u00a0Govekar and I.\u00a0Grabec, Natural Gas Research Progress, eds. N.\u00a0David and T.\u00a0Michel (Nova Science Publishers, 2008)\u00a0pp. 505\u2013530."},{"key":"rf41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eneco.2007.01.015"},{"key":"rf42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2006.07.005"},{"key":"rf43","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2007.12.008"},{"key":"rf44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enconman.2008.05.005"},{"key":"rf45","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2009.06.034"},{"key":"rf46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eneco.2008.02.003"},{"key":"rf47","first-page":"197","volume":"87","author":"Inglesi R.","year":"2010","journal-title":"Energy"},{"key":"rf48","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2009.11.079"},{"key":"rf49","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2006.05.009"},{"key":"rf50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2006.02.013"},{"key":"rf51","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2008.02.035"},{"key":"rf52","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2007.04.020"},{"key":"rf53","first-page":"5229","volume":"50","author":"Kavakhoglu K.","year":"2009","journal-title":"Energy Conversion Management"},{"key":"rf54","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2009.04.049"},{"key":"rf55","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2008.03.010"},{"key":"rf56","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/00908310600718809"},{"key":"rf57","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enconman.2005.02.004"},{"key":"rf58","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enconman.2011.08.004"},{"key":"rf59","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enconman.2005.11.017"},{"key":"rf60","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/TPWRS.2004.835632"},{"key":"rf61","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2009.12.023"},{"key":"rf62","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.energy.2011.10.034"},{"key":"rf63","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2009.12.037"},{"key":"rf64","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijepes.2010.08.008"},{"key":"rf65","first-page":"265","volume":"13","author":"Viet N.","year":"2005","journal-title":"Neural, Parallel, and Scientific Computations"},{"key":"rf67","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enbuild.2010.06.016"},{"key":"rf68","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2010.08.010"},{"key":"rf69","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2008.10.051"},{"key":"rf70","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enconman.2007.06.015"},{"key":"rf71","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2007.02.015"},{"key":"rf72","volume-title":"Business Forecasting","author":"Hanke J. E.","year":"2009"},{"key":"rf73","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2010.05.033"}],"container-title":["New Mathematics and Natural Computation"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.worldscientific.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1142\/S1793005715500076","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,8,6]],"date-time":"2019-08-06T13:51:09Z","timestamp":1565099469000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.worldscientific.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1142\/S1793005715500076"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2015,8,27]]},"references-count":70,"journal-issue":{"issue":"03","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2015,8,27]]},"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2015,11]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1142\/S1793005715500076"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1142\/s1793005715500076","relation":{},"ISSN":["1793-0057","1793-7027"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1793-0057","type":"print"},{"value":"1793-7027","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2015,8,27]]}}}