{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,19]],"date-time":"2025-06-19T04:54:19Z","timestamp":1750308859981,"version":"3.41.0"},"reference-count":8,"publisher":"Association for Computing Machinery (ACM)","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[1985,6,1]],"date-time":"1985-06-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":486432000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.acm.org\/publications\/policies\/copyright_policy#Background"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["dl.acm.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["SIGMETRICS Perform. Eval. Rev."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[1985,6]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>As modern business and financial institutions have come to rely more and more on large scale computers for management support, the magnitude of the risks and their potential consequences has increased correspondingly. In addition, large systems involving multiprocessing, resource sharing, and distributed processing have given rise to a new generation of risks due to the increased vulnerabilities of such large scale systems and the potential for fraudulent or malicious misuse of their resources. Somehow, these risks must be managed since either deliberate or accidental impairment of these large scale systems can have serious consequences for the business. That is, threats must be identified, and the likelihood of their occurrences and the elements of the system vulnerable to each of these threats must be established. Any program for risk management must begin with a risk analysis to compare the vulnerabilities in order to pinpoint and rank the system's weaknesses and to provide a guide for the cost-effective, systematic reduction of the probability of the system's being subverted or otherwise impaired.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1145\/1041838.1041839","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2007,1,17]],"date-time":"2007-01-17T18:32:02Z","timestamp":1169058722000},"page":"5-12","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":8,"title":["Bayesian probabilistic risk analysis"],"prefix":"10.1145","volume":"13","author":[{"given":"Ali","family":"Mosleh","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"E. Richard","family":"Hilton","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Peter S.","family":"Browne","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"320","published-online":{"date-parts":[[1985,6]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_1_1_1","unstructured":"(BRAF81) Brafman M. J. 1981 Evaluating computer controls using the matrix approach; The EDP Audit Control and Secrity Newsletter.  (BRAF81) Brafman M. J. 1981 Evaluating computer controls using the matrix approach; The EDP Audit Control and Secrity Newsletter."},{"key":"e_1_2_1_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"(COUR77) Courtney R. H. 1977 Security risk assessment in electrical data processing systems; Proceedings of the National Computer Conference.  (COUR77) Courtney R. H. 1977 Security risk assessment in electrical data processing systems; Proceedings of the National Computer Conference.","DOI":"10.1145\/1499402.1499424"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"(LOBE80) Lobel J. 1980 Risk analysis in the 1980's; Proceedings of the National Computer Conference.  (LOBE80) Lobel J. 1980 Risk analysis in the 1980's; Proceedings of the National Computer Conference.","DOI":"10.1145\/1500518.1500666"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_4_1","unstructured":"(KAPL etal) Kaplan S. et al. Methodology for probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants; Pickard Lowe and Garrick Inc. PLG-0209.  (KAPL et al.) Kaplan S. et al. Methodology for probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power plants; Pickard Lowe and Garrick Inc. PLG-0209."},{"key":"e_1_2_1_5_1","unstructured":"(PICK82) Pickard Lowe and Garrick Inc. 1982 Proprietary data.  (PICK82) Pickard Lowe and Garrick Inc. 1982 Proprietary data."},{"key":"e_1_2_1_6_1","unstructured":"(CINL75) Cinlar E. 1975 Introduction to stochastic processes; Prentice-Hall Englewood Cliffs New York.  (CINL75) Cinlar E. 1975 Introduction to stochastic processes; Prentice-Hall Englewood Cliffs New York."},{"key":"e_1_2_1_7_1","unstructured":"(WINK75) Winkler R. L. and Hays W. L. 1975 Statistics; Holt Rinehard and Winston New York.  (WINK75) Winkler R. L. and Hays W. L. 1975 Statistics; Holt Rinehard and Winston New York."},{"key":"e_1_2_1_8_1","unstructured":"(MOSL82) Mosleh A. Hilton E. R. and Gersman A. F. 1982 ATM key management risk analysis; Pickard Lowe and Garrick Inc. PLG-0233 prepared for Target Bank.  (MOSL82) Mosleh A. Hilton E. R. and Gersman A. F. 1982 ATM key management risk analysis; Pickard Lowe and Garrick Inc. PLG-0233 prepared for Target Bank."}],"container-title":["ACM SIGMETRICS Performance Evaluation Review"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/1041838.1041839","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/pdf\/10.1145\/1041838.1041839","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,18]],"date-time":"2025-06-18T21:14:58Z","timestamp":1750281298000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/1041838.1041839"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[1985,6]]},"references-count":8,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[1985,6]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1145\/1041838.1041839"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/1041838.1041839","relation":{},"ISSN":["0163-5999"],"issn-type":[{"type":"print","value":"0163-5999"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[1985,6]]},"assertion":[{"value":"1985-06-01","order":2,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}