{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,19]],"date-time":"2025-06-19T04:39:28Z","timestamp":1750307968709,"version":"3.41.0"},"reference-count":1,"publisher":"Association for Computing Machinery (ACM)","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2007,7,1]],"date-time":"2007-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1183248000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.acm.org\/publications\/policies\/copyright_policy#Background"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["dl.acm.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Queue"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2007,7]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>You may well expect from my title that I\u2019m about to plumb the depths of Nassim Nicholas Taleb\u2019s theories on catastrophe and quasi-empirical randomness. I, in turn, expect that you\u2019ve already read Taleb\u2019s best-selling The Black Swan\u2014The Impact of the Highly Improbable dealing with life\u2019s innate uncertainties and how to expect or even cope with the unexpected. Coping involves learning that the right answer to some problems is, \u201cDon\u2019t know.\u201d I was tempted to end my column right here in order to prove something or other about our many failures in predicting the future, compared with our occasional successes in \u201cpostdicting\u201d the past.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1145\/1281881.1281900","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2007,9,14]],"date-time":"2007-09-14T13:44:55Z","timestamp":1189777495000},"page":"52","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Some Swans are Black"],"prefix":"10.1145","volume":"5","author":[{"given":"Stan","family":"Kelly-Bootle","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"320","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2007,7]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_1_1_1","unstructured":"1\n  .  Quoted rom Nassim Taleb's Fooled by Randomness (W.W. Norton 2001) by David Smith in his interview with Taleb: Sunday Times May 6 2007.  1. Quoted rom Nassim Taleb's Fooled by Randomness (W.W. Norton 2001) by David Smith in his interview with Taleb: Sunday Times May 6 2007."}],"container-title":["Queue"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/1281881.1281900","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/pdf\/10.1145\/1281881.1281900","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,18]],"date-time":"2025-06-18T14:58:17Z","timestamp":1750258697000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/1281881.1281900"}},"subtitle":["\u2026and other catastrophes"],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2007,7]]},"references-count":1,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2007,7]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1145\/1281881.1281900"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/1281881.1281900","relation":{},"ISSN":["1542-7730","1542-7749"],"issn-type":[{"type":"print","value":"1542-7730"},{"type":"electronic","value":"1542-7749"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2007,7]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2007-07-01","order":2,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}