{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,27]],"date-time":"2026-06-27T07:10:59Z","timestamp":1782544259098,"version":"3.54.5"},"publisher-location":"New York, NY, USA","reference-count":61,"publisher":"ACM","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,18]],"date-time":"2021-08-18T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1629244800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["dl.acm.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,20]]},"DOI":"10.1145\/3468264.3468563","type":"proceedings-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,19]],"date-time":"2021-08-19T01:40:03Z","timestamp":1629337203000},"page":"1056-1067","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/crossmark-policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":25,"title":["Sustainability forecasting for Apache incubator projects"],"prefix":"10.1145","author":[{"given":"Likang","family":"Yin","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"University of California at Davis, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zhuangzhi","family":"Chen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Zhejiang University of Technology, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Qi","family":"Xuan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Zhejiang University of Technology, China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Vladimir","family":"Filkov","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"University of California at Davis, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"320","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,18]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_1_1","volume-title":"Exploring the impact of soclo-technlcal core-periphery structures in open source software development. journal of information technology, 25, 2","author":"Amrit Chintan","year":"2010","unstructured":"Chintan Amrit and Jos Van Hillegersberg . 2010. Exploring the impact of soclo-technlcal core-periphery structures in open source software development. journal of information technology, 25, 2 ( 2010 ), 216\u2013229. Chintan Amrit and Jos Van Hillegersberg. 2010. Exploring the impact of soclo-technlcal core-periphery structures in open source software development. journal of information technology, 25, 2 (2010), 216\u2013229."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Erling S Andersen Anders Dysvik and Anne Live Vaagaasar. 2009. Organizational rationality and project management. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business.  Erling S Andersen Anders Dysvik and Anne Live Vaagaasar. 2009. Organizational rationality and project management. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business.","DOI":"10.1108\/17538370910991106"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/002224379102800203"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/1137983.1138016"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ISSRE.2009.17"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/2786805.2786854"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.infsof.2010.03.011"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/TSE.2014.2381249"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/3106237.3106246"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_10_1","volume-title":"\u201creal","author":"Cooke-Davies Terry","year":"2002","unstructured":"Terry Cooke-Davies . 2002. The \u201creal \u201d success factors on projects. International journal of project management, 20, 3 ( 2002 ), 185\u2013190. Terry Cooke-Davies. 2002. The \u201creal\u201d success factors on projects. International journal of project management, 20, 3 (2002), 185\u2013190."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/spip.259"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13174-017-0061-4"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/RE.2019.00013"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10606-005-9000-1"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_15_1","volume-title":"Apache and Eclipse: Comparing open source project incubators","author":"Due\u00f1as Juan C","year":"2007","unstructured":"Juan C Due\u00f1as , F\u00e9lix Cuadrado , Manuel Santill\u00e1n , and Jos\u00e9 L Ruiz . 2007. Apache and Eclipse: Comparing open source project incubators . IEEE software, 24, 6 ( 2007 ), 90\u201398. Juan C Due\u00f1as, F\u00e9lix Cuadrado, Manuel Santill\u00e1n, and Jos\u00e9 L Ruiz. 2007. Apache and Eclipse: Comparing open source project incubators. IEEE software, 24, 6 (2007), 90\u201398."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.4018\/jskd.2011010101"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_17_1","volume-title":"glmnet: Lasso and elastic-net regularized generalized linear models. R package version, 1, 4","author":"Friedman Jerome","year":"2009","unstructured":"Jerome Friedman , Trevor Hastie , and Rob Tibshirani . 2009. glmnet: Lasso and elastic-net regularized generalized linear models. R package version, 1, 4 ( 2009 ). Jerome Friedman, Trevor Hastie, and Rob Tibshirani. 2009. glmnet: Lasso and elastic-net regularized generalized linear models. R package version, 1, 4 (2009)."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jss.2013.11.1077"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_19_1","volume-title":"Quality and Success in Open Source Software: A Systematic Mapping. In 2019 45th Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA). 363\u2013370","author":"Gezici Bahar","year":"2019","unstructured":"Bahar Gezici , Nurseda \u00d6zdemir , Nebi Y\u0131lmaz , Evren Co\u015fkun , Ay\u00e7a Tarhan , and Oumout Chouseinoglou . 2019 . Quality and Success in Open Source Software: A Systematic Mapping. In 2019 45th Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA). 363\u2013370 . Bahar Gezici, Nurseda \u00d6zdemir, Nebi Y\u0131lmaz, Evren Co\u015fkun, Ay\u00e7a Tarhan, and Oumout Chouseinoglou. 2019. Quality and Success in Open Source Software: A Systematic Mapping. In 2019 45th Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA). 363\u2013370."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.is.2014.10.005"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_21_1","volume-title":"A taxonomy for measuring the success of open source software projects. First Monday, 16, 8","author":"Ghapanchi Amir Hossein","year":"2011","unstructured":"Amir Hossein Ghapanchi , Aybuke Aurum , and Graham Low . 2011. A taxonomy for measuring the success of open source software projects. First Monday, 16, 8 ( 2011 ). Amir Hossein Ghapanchi, Aybuke Aurum, and Graham Low. 2011. A taxonomy for measuring the success of open source software projects. First Monday, 16, 8 (2011)."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10664-014-9332-x"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_23_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1049\/ic:20040263"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_24_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/01449290310001644840"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_25_1","volume-title":"Long short-term memory. Neural computation, 9, 8","author":"Hochreiter Sepp","year":"1997","unstructured":"Sepp Hochreiter and J\u00fcrgen Schmidhuber . 1997. Long short-term memory. Neural computation, 9, 8 ( 1997 ), 1735\u20131780. Sepp Hochreiter and J\u00fcrgen Schmidhuber. 1997. Long short-term memory. Neural computation, 9, 8 (1997), 1735\u20131780."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_26_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Robert Joslin and Ralf M\u00fcller. 2016. The impact of project methodologies on project success in different project environments. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business.  Robert Joslin and Ralf M\u00fcller. 2016. The impact of project methodologies on project success in different project environments. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business.","DOI":"10.1108\/IJMPB-03-2015-0025"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_27_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/2635868.2666600"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_28_1","unstructured":"Jennifer W Kuan. 2001. Open source software as consumer integration into production. Available at SSRN 259648.  Jennifer W Kuan. 2001. Open source software as consumer integration into production. Available at SSRN 259648."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_29_1","first-page":"6","article-title":"Three ways to fail in project management and the role of project management methodology","volume":"28","author":"Lehtonen P\u00e4ivi","year":"2006","unstructured":"P\u00e4ivi Lehtonen and Miia Martinsuo . 2006 . Three ways to fail in project management and the role of project management methodology . Project Perspectives , 28 , 1 (2006), 6 \u2013 11 . P\u00e4ivi Lehtonen and Miia Martinsuo. 2006. Three ways to fail in project management and the role of project management methodology. Project Perspectives, 28, 1 (2006), 6\u201311.","journal-title":"Project Perspectives"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_30_1","unstructured":"Hsiu-Fen Lin and Gwo-Guang Lee. 2006. Effects of socio-technical factors on organizational intention to encourage knowledge sharing. Management decision.  Hsiu-Fen Lin and Gwo-Guang Lee. 2006. Effects of socio-technical factors on organizational intention to encourage knowledge sharing. Management decision."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_31_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/2110486.2110490"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_32_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Nora McDonald and Sean Goggins. 2013. Performance and participation in open source software on github. In CHI\u201913 Extended Abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems. 139\u2013144.  Nora McDonald and Sean Goggins. 2013. Performance and participation in open source software on github. In CHI\u201913 Extended Abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems. 139\u2013144.","DOI":"10.1145\/2468356.2468382"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_33_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/1985793.1985832"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_34_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jss.2011.11.010"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_35_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/567793.567795"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_36_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/TSE.2017.2756043"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_37_1","unstructured":"JJH Piggott. 2013. Open source software attributes as success indicators. Univ. of Twente.  JJH Piggott. 2013. Open source software attributes as success indicators. Univ. of Twente."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_38_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ICSME.2014.31"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_39_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ICIS.2010.11"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_40_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/TSE.2011.39"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_41_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/2939672.2939778"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_42_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/MSR.2007.35"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_43_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s10606-006-9020-5"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_44_1","volume-title":"Internet success: a study of open-source software commons","author":"Schweik Charles M","unstructured":"Charles M Schweik and Robert C English . 2012. Internet success: a study of open-source software commons . MIT Press . Charles M Schweik and Robert C English. 2012. Internet success: a study of open-source software commons. MIT Press."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_45_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/15239080701622873"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_46_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/2675133.2675215"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_47_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.infsof.2014.11.001"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_48_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.dss.2008.10.005"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_49_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/CSMR.2013.15"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_50_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_51_1","unstructured":"Eric Trist. 1981. The evolution of socio-technical systems: A conceptual framework and an action research program. Ontario Ministry of Labour.  Eric Trist. 1981. The evolution of socio-technical systems: A conceptual framework and an action research program. Ontario Ministry of Labour."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_52_1","volume-title":"Communication and co-operation on projects between the project owner as principal and the project manager as agent. European management journal, 22, 3","author":"Rodney Turner J","year":"2004","unstructured":"J Rodney Turner and Ralf M\u00fcller . 2004. Communication and co-operation on projects between the project owner as principal and the project manager as agent. European management journal, 22, 3 ( 2004 ), 327\u2013336. J Rodney Turner and Ralf M\u00fcller. 2004. Communication and co-operation on projects between the project owner as principal and the project manager as agent. European management journal, 22, 3 (2004), 327\u2013336."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_53_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/3236024.3236062"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_54_1","first-page":"295","volume-title":"A study of the reality of project management: WG Morris and GH Hough","author":"Wearne Stephen","year":"1987","unstructured":"Stephen Wearne and AAR Stanbury . 1989. A study of the reality of project management: WG Morris and GH Hough , John Wiley , UK ( 1987 )\u00a3 29.95, ISBN 0471 915513 pp 295 . International Journal of Project Management, 7, 1 (1989), 58. Stephen Wearne and AAR Stanbury. 1989. A study of the reality of project management: WG Morris and GH Hough, John Wiley, UK (1987)\u00a3 29.95, ISBN 0471 915513 pp 295. International Journal of Project Management, 7, 1 (1989), 58."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_55_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1145\/3274451"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_56_1","volume-title":"ICIS 2007 Proceedings, 105","author":"Wu Jing","year":"2007","unstructured":"Jing Wu , Khim-Yong Goh , and Qian Tang . 2007 . Investigating success of open source software projects: A social network perspective . ICIS 2007 Proceedings, 105 . Jing Wu, Khim-Yong Goh, and Qian Tang. 2007. Investigating success of open source software projects: A social network perspective. ICIS 2007 Proceedings, 105."},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_57_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/MSR52588.2021.00081"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_58_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/ICSE.2012.6227030"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_59_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/CHASE.2013.6614731"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_60_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/TSE.2016.2599161"},{"key":"e_1_3_2_1_61_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1109\/MSR.2019.00068"}],"event":{"name":"ESEC\/FSE '21: 29th ACM Joint European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering","location":"Athens Greece","acronym":"ESEC\/FSE '21","sponsor":["SIGSOFT ACM Special Interest Group on Software Engineering"]},"container-title":["Proceedings of the 29th ACM Joint Meeting on European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/3468264.3468563","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/pdf\/10.1145\/3468264.3468563","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,17]],"date-time":"2025-06-17T21:24:50Z","timestamp":1750195490000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/dl.acm.org\/doi\/10.1145\/3468264.3468563"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,18]]},"references-count":61,"alternative-id":["10.1145\/3468264.3468563","10.1145\/3468264"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1145\/3468264.3468563","relation":{},"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,18]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2021-08-18","order":2,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}