{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,17]],"date-time":"2026-09-17T05:59:53Z","timestamp":1789624793362,"version":"build-2803163510"},"reference-count":26,"publisher":"Wiley","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2014,1,1]],"date-time":"2014-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1388534400000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/3.0\/"}],"funder":[{"name":"Regional Government of Castilla-Le\u00f3n","award":["0.37.526.2013"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["0.37.526.2013"]}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100004285","name":"Saint-Petersburg State University","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","award":["0.37.526.2013"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["0.37.526.2013"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100004285","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["BioMed Research International"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2014]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>We analyze through a climatic model the influence of regional warming on the geographical spreading and potential risk of infection of human dirofilariosis in Russia, Ukraine, and other post-Soviet states from 1981 to 2011 and estimate the situation by 2030. The model correctly predicts the spatiotemporal location of 97.10% of 2154 clinical cases reported in the area during the studied period, identified by a retrospective review of the literature. There exists also a significant correlation between annual predicted<jats:italic>Dirofilaria<\/jats:italic>generations and calculated morbidity. The model states the progressive increase of 14.8% in the potential transmission area, up to latitude 64\u00b0N, and 14.7% in population exposure. By 2030 an increase of 18.5% in transmission area and 10.8% in population exposure is expected. These findings strongly suggest the influence of global warming in both geographical spreading and increase in the number of<jats:italic>Dirofilaria<\/jats:italic>generations. The results should alert about the epidemiological behavior of dirofilariosis and other mosquito-borne diseases in these and other countries with similar climatic characteristics.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1155\/2014\/858936","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2014,6,22]],"date-time":"2014-06-22T02:29:01Z","timestamp":1403404141000},"page":"1-11","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":35,"title":["Regional Warming and Emerging Vector-Borne Zoonotic Dirofilariosis in the Russian Federation, Ukraine, and Other Post-Soviet States from 1981 to 2011 and Projection by 2030"],"prefix":"10.1155","volume":"2014","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4581-6148","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Vladimir","family":"Kartashev","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases, Rostov State Medical University, Nakhichevanskiy Pereulok 29, Rostov-na-Donu 344022, Russia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Alexandr","family":"Afonin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Geography, Saint Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya Nab. 7-9, Saint Petersburg 199034, Russia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Javier","family":"Gonz\u00e1lez-Miguel","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory of Parasitology, Faculty of Pharmacy & IBSAL, University of Salamanca, C\/del Licenciado M\u00e9ndez Nieto s\/n, 37007 Salamanca, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Rosa","family":"Sep\u00falveda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Statistics, University of Salamanca, C\/Alfonso X el Sabio S\/N, 37007 Salamanca, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Luis","family":"Sim\u00f3n","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory of Parasitology, Faculty of Pharmacy & IBSAL, University of Salamanca, C\/del Licenciado M\u00e9ndez Nieto s\/n, 37007 Salamanca, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2699-1482","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Rodrigo","family":"Morch\u00f3n","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory of Parasitology, Faculty of Pharmacy & IBSAL, University of Salamanca, C\/del Licenciado M\u00e9ndez Nieto s\/n, 37007 Salamanca, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8177-6083","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Fernando","family":"Sim\u00f3n","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Laboratory of Parasitology, Faculty of Pharmacy & IBSAL, University of Salamanca, C\/del Licenciado M\u00e9ndez Nieto s\/n, 37007 Salamanca, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","reference":[{"key":"1","first-page":"104","volume-title":"Climate change 2007: synthesis report","year":"2007"},{"key":"2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(06)68079-3"},{"key":"3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S1473-3099(09)70104-5"},{"key":"5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1128\/CMR.00012-12"},{"key":"6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0065-308X(08)00204-2"},{"key":"7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pt.2009.06.003"},{"issue":"3","key":"8","first-page":"35","volume":"112","year":"1996","journal-title":"Vestnik oftalmologii"},{"key":"9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1089\/vbz.2010.0247"},{"issue":"1","key":"10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"69","DOI":"10.1016\/0046-8177(89)90205-0","volume":"20","year":"1989","journal-title":"Human Pathology"},{"key":"11"},{"key":"12","first-page":"121","volume-title":"Epidemiology of canine and feline dirofilariasis: a global view","year":"2001"},{"key":"13","first-page":"83","volume-title":"Human dirofilariasis to Dirofilaria (Nochtiella) repens: an update of world literature from 1995\u20132000","year":"2007"},{"issue":"1","key":"14","first-page":"150","volume":"13","year":"2007","journal-title":"Emerging Infectious Diseases"},{"key":"15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.4061\/2011\/685713"},{"issue":"1","key":"16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"33","DOI":"10.4081\/gh.2006.279","volume":"1","year":"2006","journal-title":"Geospatial Health"},{"key":"17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(03)14898-2"},{"key":"18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.vetpar.2009.03.026"},{"key":"20","year":"2008"},{"key":"21","first-page":"625","volume":"41","year":"1981","journal-title":"Mosquito News"},{"issue":"3","key":"23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"836","DOI":"10.2135\/cropsci1999.0011183X003900030037x","volume":"39","year":"1999","journal-title":"Crop Science"},{"key":"25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.vetpar.2013.12.027"},{"issue":"9","key":"27","first-page":"1136","volume":"78","year":"2000","journal-title":"Bulletin of the World Health Organization"},{"key":"29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"18792","DOI":"10.3402\/ijch.v71i0.18792","volume":"71","year":"2012","journal-title":"International Journal of Circumpolar Health"},{"key":"30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1289\/ehp.1103805"},{"key":"31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.vetpar.2005.03.033"},{"issue":"5","key":"32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1265","DOI":"10.1007\/s00436-010-1987-7","volume":"107","year":"2010","journal-title":"Parasitology Research"}],"container-title":["BioMed Research International"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/downloads.hindawi.com\/journals\/bmri\/2014\/858936.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/downloads.hindawi.com\/journals\/bmri\/2014\/858936.xml","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/downloads.hindawi.com\/journals\/bmri\/2014\/858936.pdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2017,6,22]],"date-time":"2017-06-22T11:21:58Z","timestamp":1498130518000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/www.hindawi.com\/journals\/bmri\/2014\/858936\/"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2014]]},"references-count":26,"alternative-id":["858936","858936"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1155\/2014\/858936","relation":{},"ISSN":["2314-6133","2314-6141"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2314-6133","type":"print"},{"value":"2314-6141","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2014]]}}}