{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,30]],"date-time":"2025-07-30T13:19:47Z","timestamp":1753881587671,"version":"3.41.2"},"reference-count":34,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,27]],"date-time":"2021-01-27T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1611705600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":26,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100010814","name":"Anhui Provincial Department of Education","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["SK2017A0452"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["SK2017A0452"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100010814","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100003995","name":"Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["1808085MC88"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["1808085MC88"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100003995","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Complexity"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>In recent years, due to factors such as rising sea levels, several island nations such as Maldives, Tuvalu, Kiribati, and the Marshall Islands are in danger of disappearing completely. When the land of an island country disappeared, the human rights protection of Environmentally Displaced Persons in the migration process and the possible loss of their unique culture, language, and lifestyle have aroused great concern. We call such Environmentally Displaced Persons as EDPs. This study selects the EDPs\u2019 data of 241 countries or regions from 2008 to 2018, establishes an ARIMA model, and predicts the future population of EDPs. By combining the influencing factors of cultural loss, the risk assessment model of cultural loss is established to evaluate the possibility of cultural loss during the migration process of EDPs. We have established a Bayesian Network and a Fault Tree Model to demonstrate the improvement brought about by the implementation of policy recommendations from both qualitative and quantitative perspectives and use the method of fault tree analysis to illustrate the importance of policies from the degree of probability reduction after policy changes. Finally, based on the above model establishment and data analysis, corresponding countermeasures are proposed to protect EDPs\u2019 human rights from being violated and their culture will not be lost.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1155\/2021\/6627637","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,28]],"date-time":"2021-01-28T00:50:26Z","timestamp":1611795026000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["Research on the Human Rights and Cultural Protection of Environmentally Displaced Persons under Rising Sea Levels"],"prefix":"10.1155","volume":"2021","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7250-8493","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Rui","family":"Xie","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2498-0499","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Wen-Bo","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5680-0504","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Meng-Chun","family":"Lin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2828-9518","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Di","family":"Lu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9419-9433","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jia-Ming","family":"Zhu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,27]]},"reference":[{"doi-asserted-by":"publisher","key":"e_1_2_12_1_2","DOI":"10.3233\/EPL-180064"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_2_2","first-page":"365","article-title":"The protection of environmentally-displaced persons in international law","volume":"37","author":"Lopez A.","year":"2007","journal-title":"Environmental Law"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_3_2","article-title":"Seeking protection: recognition of environmentally displaced persons under international human rights law","volume":"1","author":"Havard B.","year":"2007","journal-title":"Villanova Environmental Law Journal"},{"doi-asserted-by":"publisher","key":"e_1_2_12_4_2","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apm.2018.03.016"},{"doi-asserted-by":"publisher","key":"e_1_2_12_5_2","DOI":"10.1017\/s037689290003099x"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_6_2","article-title":"Square pegs in round holes: the case of environmentally displaced persons and the need for a specific protection regime in the United States","author":"Naser-Hall E.","year":"2014","journal-title":"Tulane Journal of International & Comparative Law"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_7_2","article-title":"The application of ARIMA model in investing forecast in fixed assets of Shanghai","author":"Shi M.-J.","year":"2005","journal-title":"Application of Stats and Management"},{"doi-asserted-by":"publisher","key":"e_1_2_12_8_2","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3980020104"},{"doi-asserted-by":"publisher","key":"e_1_2_12_9_2","DOI":"10.1002\/er.3067"},{"doi-asserted-by":"publisher","key":"e_1_2_12_10_2","DOI":"10.1080\/08941920.2011.618487"},{"volume-title":"No State, No Protection, Exploring the Legal Protection for Environmentally Displaced Persons","year":"2013","author":"Arn\u00f6r A.","key":"e_1_2_12_11_2"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_12_2","first-page":"45","article-title":"Report on the human rights of internally displaced persons on the profiles in displacement: east timor","volume":"23","author":"Deng M. 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