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But while the citations accrued by authors are the sum of the citations of their papers, translating the dynamics of citation accumulation from the paper to the author level is not trivial. Here we conduct a systematic study of the evolution of author citations, and in particular their bursty dynamics. We find empirical evidence of a correlation between the number of citations most recently accrued by an author and the number of citations they receive in the future. Using a simple model where the probability for an author to receive new citations depends only on the number of citations collected in the previous 12\u201324 months, we are able to reproduce both the citation and burst size distributions of authors across multiple decades.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1162\/qss_a_00070","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,6,15]],"date-time":"2020-06-15T20:51:24Z","timestamp":1592254284000},"page":"1298-1308","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1162\/mitpressjournals.corrections.policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":8,"title":["Recency predicts bursts in the evolution of author citations"],"prefix":"10.1162","volume":"1","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9151-6517","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Filipi Nascimento","family":"Silva","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Indiana University Network Science Institute, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0015-9954","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Aditya","family":"Tandon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Luddy School of Informatics, Computing and Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"}]},{"given":"Diego Raphael","family":"Amancio","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of S\u00e3o Paulo, S\u00e3o Carlos, Brazil"}]},{"given":"Alessandro","family":"Flammini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Indiana University Network Science Institute, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"},{"name":"Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Luddy School of Informatics, Computing and Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4384-2876","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Filippo","family":"Menczer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Indiana University Network Science Institute, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"},{"name":"Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Luddy School of Informatics, Computing and Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"}]},{"given":"Sta\u0161a","family":"Milojevi\u0107","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Luddy School of Informatics, Computing and Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9039-4730","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Santo","family":"Fortunato","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Indiana University Network Science Institute, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"},{"name":"Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Luddy School of Informatics, Computing and Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA"}]}],"member":"281","reference":[{"key":"bib1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"615","DOI":"10.2307\/2095162","volume":"47","author":"Allison P. 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